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Description

National best seller

“A startling vision of what the cycles of history predict for the future.” (USA Weekend)

William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world - and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America’s past will predict its future. 

Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back 500 years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four eras - or "turnings" - that last about 20 years and that always arrive in the same order. In The Fourth Turning, the authors illustrate these cycles using a brilliant analysis of the post-World War II period.

First comes a High, a period of confident expansion as a new order takes root after the old has been swept away. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion against the now-established order. Then comes an Unraveling, an increasingly troubled era in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis - the Fourth Turning - when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. Together, the four turnings comprise history's seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth.

The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for America’s next rendezvous with destiny.

©1997 William Strauss and Neil Howe

Ce que les critiques en disent

"One of the best efforts to give us an integrated vision of where we are going." (Wall Street Journal)
"A startling vision of what the cycles of history predict for the future." (USA Weekend)

Ce que les auditeurs disent de The Fourth Turning

Moyenne des évaluations de clients
Au global
  • 4.5 out of 5 stars
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  • 4.5 out of 5 stars
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Histoire
  • 4.5 out of 5 stars
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Évaluations – Cliquez sur les onglets pour changer la source des évaluations.

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  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    5 out of 5 stars
  • G
  • 2021-03-14

mind-blowing!

Reading this in 2021 is absolutely mind-blowing. I highly recommend for anyone that wants to open their mind to new ideas.

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    5 out of 5 stars

I cannot believe how prophetic this nook is.

My only real criticism of this book is I wish I would have read this book 20 years ago.

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    5 out of 5 stars

A story about how history repeats itself.

The way they predicted the future is uncanny. If you want to know how to prepare for the events of today and the future, you need to read this book.

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    5 out of 5 stars

Super interesting

Considering they wrote this in or before 1997, listening to it in mid 2020 was pretty mind blowing.
A definite must read!!!

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    5 out of 5 stars

Loved it

A must read during the current climax of the fourth turning of 2020. Loved it!

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  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    5 out of 5 stars
  • highwoltage
  • 2021-01-09

Required reading 2021

Written more than 20 years ago, this book provides an avid description of the current situation in America: we’re in the midst of a generational crisis.
As such “the forth turning” is required reading to make sense of the societal upheaval, racial conflict, growing deficits and government influence, etc
While not providing all the answers or a complete manual to where well end up, after all the world is dynamic ... the book helps with the essential task of pinning down our current position and highlight the parallels to historic precedents.

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  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Amazon Customer
  • 2010-04-17

Fascinating

This book gave me a new perspective on our history and our possible future. This book was written in 1997 and I read it in 2010. It's not a book predicting the future, but it does make some forecasts that are pretty spot-on. I find this book quite valuable and would recommend this book to my children when they grow up. The knowledge in it is valuable in that it gives you foresight of cycles to come in our culture. I agree with the authors' premise that time is cyclical and not linear.

27 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    3 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    3 out of 5 stars
  • GiniO
  • 2017-03-02

Authors take a "short" view of history

We are a new country and I'm not sanguine with the authors using the last 400+ years of America's existence as the basis for their speculative theory. If they wish to show that their theory "holds water", then they need to visit European culture from the 1600's to the present. Even go back another 500 years in European history to show these 4 "turnings" at work. Their ideas are provocative and worth exploring but I have a sense that they've manipulated history to fit their theories.

26 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    2 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    4 out of 5 stars
  • MB
  • 2018-11-04

Inaccurate predictions on generations

This book isn’t new, and so it does give us the ability to determine the accuracy of the predictions over the last two decades. There is evidence to suggest there are cycles and seasons within human history, and that we are likely entering into winter or within one. My issue with this book is the completely wrong predictions about Baby Boomers and beyond. The authors predictions on the millennials generation is just laughable. As a tail end GenXer, I can also say that the majority of observations and predictions about our generation are wrong. The authors offered additional opinion based suggestions and commentary at the end, which they offered as empirical truths. This wasn’t a bad book, but their predictions doesn’t stand the test of time. For that reason, I’m not satisfied with it. I do wish they would make a new version of this book and revisit and improve upon their predictions and timeline.

23 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    3 out of 5 stars
  • Carol Barnes
  • 2018-02-23

Abridged

I really dislike that this was abridged. I don't think that I had sufficient access to understanding some of the points being made because of it. Sweeping statements would be made without enough support or discussion as to why I should think that they are so

14 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    1 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    3 out of 5 stars
  • Histoire
    1 out of 5 stars
  • Keith J.
  • 2020-05-02

Nothin like the book

This is an abridged version of the book. Wish they would have said this. Weak, comparative speaking.

13 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Beloo
  • 2003-10-17

As the World Turns...

This book presents a fresh and fascinating viewpoint of how the order and relationship of generations to one another bring about great and unexpected changes in our society. The thesis builds upon a previous study done by the authors in an earlier book entitled "Generations" and works to apply the theories advanced in that book to the conditions as we have them today. Far more than a book of shallow prognosication, it equips each of us with a new lens that can be used to see relationships and trends heretofore invisible. I recommend it for anyone with an interest in history who wishes to challenge their staid views of the past.

13 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Judd Bagley
  • 2009-05-03

The grand unified theory of sociology

People who really get what this book is saying find it changes their entire world views. I am one of them and cannot recommend it highly enough. Having said that, I also cannot do enough to recommend that you get paper and audio versions and consume them in parallel. Some of these concepts really need to be seen in tabular format to be understood. At the same time, I found that listening to this abridged version greatly enhanced by comprehension of the full print version, and helped me to be more patient with it when it grew occasionally circular.

25 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Greg
  • 2010-04-06

Outstanding

This is a great book. Though it was written in 1996 because of the accuracy of their predictions you would have thought it was written today (2010) in retrospect of the happenings of this past decade. It'll change the way you think about and see the things happening in America today.

8 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Richard
  • 2010-11-13

An Amazing Map of What is to Come

I listened to this book four times to date. This book lays out history in a completely new and insightful way and provides razor sharp insight into what is going on in society now and what is to come. It is at once hopeful and terrifying.

5 les gens ont trouvé cela utile

  • Au global
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Robert
  • 2004-06-29

Explanation of generational interaction

Future generations will judge this book and the theories it presents as a foundation to understanding how the generations interact. Anyone who takes the time to understand this book will be uniquely prepared for the events that are about to unfold in the not too distant future (2009).

16 les gens ont trouvé cela utile