We are watching two different realities play out simultaneously: diplomats shaking hands in Florida and Washington while air raid sirens blare across Eastern Europe and Central Africa. This week, we dissect the jarring dissonance between the peace deals being promised on paper and the wars actually being fought on the ground, from the freezing trenches of Ukraine to the collapsing truces in the Congo.

Episode Highlights

• Russia’s "Negotiation" Tactics: How Moscow is targeting energy infrastructure and "shaping the battlefield" to prove they can still weaponize the cold, regardless of ongoing diplomatic talks.

  
  

• Gaza’s "Yellow Line": Why the US plan for an International Stabilization Force is stalling as allies refuse to cross into the "Red Zone," forcing Washington to consider a command structure that looks dangerously like owning the conflict.

  
  

• Humiliation in the Congo: The collapse of a "historic" peace deal in less than a week as M23 rebels capture the strategic hub of Uvira, humiliating US diplomatic efforts.

  
  

• Thailand vs. Cambodia: A breakdown of the airstrikes and mass evacuations on the border that signal the end of yet another US-brokered ceasefire.

  
  

• The Rise of "Pax Silica": Inside the new US-led alliance to ringfence the future of AI, treating technology as a strategic resource akin to oil.

  
  

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