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Destined for War

Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?

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Destined for War

Auteur(s): Graham Allison
Narrateur(s): Richard Ferrone
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War with China is much more likely than anyone thinks.

When Athens went to war with Sparta some 2,500 years ago, the Greek historian Thucydides identified one simple cause: A rising power threatened to displace a ruling one. As the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains, in the past 500 years, great powers have found themselves in "Thucydides's Trap" 16 times. In 12 of the 16 - from war between the French and the Habsburgs in the 16th century to the two world wars of the 20th - the results have been catastrophic. Today, the same structural forces propel China and the United States toward a cataclysm of unseen proportions, even as both sides insist that such a war could never occur.

In Destined for War, Allison compares the US-China conflict to its closest parallel: World War I. There, a rising Germany threatened the supremacy of the British Empire. He sketches several scenarios in which America and China might slide, against their intent and better judgment, into a similar conflict. But he also examines the rare instances when two clashing powers have avoided disaster. Can our current standoff be one of those exceptions? Allison's answer is essential listening for our age and ages to come.

©2017 Graham Allison (P)2017 Recorded Books
Affaires mondiales Asie Militaire Politique Sciences politiques Guerre Chine Impérialisme Russie Histoire ancienne Japon impérial Capitalisme Socialisme Amérique Latine Autodétermination Moyen Âge Afrique Union soviétique Grèce antique Empire britannique L’entre-deux-guerres
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Picked it up after Elon recommended it summed up today's China- US potential future, He wasn't wronge.....

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Loved learning more about how power dynamics have played out in the past, but this narrator extends the sounds of a few characters like "r" for a long time for no apparent reason. It distracted me from the actual content at times.

Good book, odd narration

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I was born in El Salvador and live there til the and of the war. It is so satisfying to finally know what bigger forces were at play on the last Cold War front.

Great and incredibly informative.

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