#056 Thinking in Bets: The Foundational Mindset for Smarter Decisions (Episodes 1-5)
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#056 Thinking in Bets: The Foundational Mindset for Smarter Decisions (Episodes 1-5)
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This first collection of episodes introduces former professional poker player Annie Duke's revolutionary framework for decision-making in an uncertain world. We will explore the core mindset shift required to think like a bettor: learning to separate the quality of your decisions from their outcomes, acknowledging the powerful role of luck, expressing your beliefs as probabilities, and avoiding the trap of hindsight bias.
Episodes in This Collection:
- Episode 1: Beyond Certainty – Annie Duke and the Power of Probabilistic Thinking [00:00]
- Episode 2: The Outcome Bias – Why Results Don't Tell the Whole Story [06:10]
- Episode 3: The Role of Luck – Understanding Uncontrollable Variables [13:37]
- Episode 4: The Truth Is a Bet – Expressing Beliefs as Probabilities [19:02]
- Episode 5: Resulting – Avoiding the Trap of Hindsight [25:40]
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