5 Year mortgage Rate Projections
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5 Year mortgage Rate Projections
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A lot of long-range forecasts tie mortgage rates to the 10-year Treasury, because they usually move in the same direction. Most economists are projecting the 10-year Treasury to stay a little over 4% over the next several years, and mortgage rates typically run a spread above that. When you combine those two, the expectation is that 30-year fixed rates may hover around the low-to-mid 6% range over the next five years, rather than dropping dramatically.
Now, that’s not a guarantee, because rates can change quickly if the economy shifts, inflation changes, or there’s a major event like a recession. But the big takeaway is: waiting for a perfect rate can be risky. If the home and payment make sense today, the strategy is often to negotiate the best terms possible now and stay positioned to refinance later if rates improve.