Gemini 3 Pro is out, and records fell like snowflakes in Svalbard.

No long description, chapters or links today, huge technical difficulties, including with audio, so just want to publish asap.


https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained


https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

A lot just got released in the last 36 hours, and it will all affect hundreds of millions of people. 10 details you would miss if you just read the headlines, from GPT 5.1 regressions, to how Claude hacked Govt Agencies, to SIMA 2, and Musical Turing Tests.

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction

00:56 - GPT 5.1 Smarter?

01:47 - Some Regressions

03:22 - Sycophancy?

05:22 - Claude Auto-Hacking

06:16 - Jailbreaking through Granularity

08:22 - This Will be Re-used

09:30 - Hallucinating Hacker

09:57 - Surprisingly Neutral Tone

12:18 - SIMA 2

14:10 - Alpha Parallels

17:24 - AI Music

GPT 5.1 Announcement: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/

System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/4173ec8d-1229-47db-96de-06d87147e07e/5_1_system_card.pdf

Benchmarks: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1-for-developers/

Simple Bench: https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks

Auto-Hacking: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1989033793190277618

https://www.anthropic.com/news/disrupting-AI-espionage

Report: https://assets.anthropic.com/m/ec212e6566a0d47/original/Disrupting-the-first-reported-AI-orchestrated-cyber-espionage-campaign.pdf

Sima 2 Announcement: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/

https://x.com/amoufarek/status/1988986075331858693

Scepticism: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/11/13/1127921/google-deepmind-is-using-gemini-to-train-agents-inside-goat-simulator-3/

Voyager: https://voyager.minedojo.org/

Reuters Music: https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/are-you-listening-bots-survey-shows-ai-music-is-virtually-undetectable-2025-11-12/

Don’t let headlines about bubbles distract you from the real avenues of progress being explored in AI every week, including what had been thought to be a long-term blocker - continual learning (learning on the fly).

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

This, plus models introspecting (hesitate before you berate), Nano Banana 2 possibly spotted, Chinese imagen and more.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:26 - Continual Learning (Nested Learning / HOPE)
07:00 - Introspection
10:54 - Image-Gen Progress

Nested Learning Post: https://research.google/blog/introducing-nested-learning-a-new-ml-paradigm-for-continual-learning/

Nested Learning Paper: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf

Original Titans Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.00663

Siri News: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siri

Introspection: https://www.anthropic.com/research/introspection

Full Paper: https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/introspection/index.html#mechanisms

Earlier Work: https://www.anthropic.com/research/mapping-mind-language-model
https://transformer-circuits.pub/2024/scaling-monosemanticity/index.html

Release Post: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1983584136972677319

https://lmcouncil.ai



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Sora 2 - the start of the infinite slop-feed or a key step to a generalist agent? Better than VEO 3 or over-hyped? I bring out 6 details you may have missed, contrast the announcement to Periodic Labs and even squeeze in some Claude Sonnet 4.5 analysis. Maybe I should make my videos longer…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:40 - Two models?
01:15 - Rollout Details
01:43 - Versus Sora 1 / Veo 3
04:30 - Sora App / Social Media
06:40 - Masterplan
09:30 - Generalist Agent? Periodic Labs
12:05 - Claude Sonnet 4.5
13:42 - Future Outlook

Announcement: https://openai.com/index/sora-2/
Launch Video: https://www.youtube.com/live/gzneGhpXwjU
System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/50d5973c-c4ff-4c2d-986f-c72b5d0ff069/sora_2_system_card.pdf
Sam Altman Blog Post on Sora App: https://blog.samaltman.com/sora-2

Most Intelligent Claim: https://x.com/willdepue/status/1973089331284681110
GTA: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1973298436536766666

Meta Vibes: https://x.com/alexandr_wang/status/1971295156411433228?s=46

Altman on Regulations: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5jjk4CDnj9tA7ugxr/openai-email-archives-from-musk-v-altman
OpenAI Profit: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-first-half-results-4-3-billion-sales-2-5-billion-cash-burn?rc=sy0ihq

Periodic Labs: https://periodic.com/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/technology/ai-meta-google-openai-periodic.html
https://x.com/LiamFedus/status/1973055380193431965
https://baincapitalventures.com/insight/we-must-know-we-will-know/?s=09

Sonnet 4.5: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5
https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

An OpenAI report released in the last 24 hours is the best look we have as to whether 2025 AI can automate your job. I’ll go through 4 unexpected findings, from which model is best at what, to practical tips and massive caveats. Plus UFC robots, radiologist essay, don’t trust videos and the blockers to the singularity.

Gray Swan: https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

GDPval: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d5eb7428-c4e9-4a33-bd86-86dd4bcf12ce/GDPval.pdf

[GDP Impact: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=331&eid=211

Task List: https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/11-9141.00

Summer Tweet: https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1971252567981146347

Emad: https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1971254153067593739

Robots: https://x.com/cixliv/status/1967663286679478759

Unitree G1: https://x.com/UnitreeRobotics/status/1970039940022239491

Don’t Trust Video: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1970453369446871420

AGI Tweet: https://x.com/hyhieu226/status/1968378785709133915

Blockers to the Singularity: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812

Framework: https://gemini.google.com/share/f4b9c85a6ae9

METR Study (Dev Slowdown): https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

Karpathy Tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1971220449515516391

Radiology Essay: https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-algorithm-will-see-you-now/

Chapters:

00:00 - Introduction

00:55 - OpenAI Report Summary

02:40 - Tipping Point Speed-up

04:11 - Better than Industry Experts?

06:33 - Big Caveat

11:10 - Karpathy and the Radiologist Analogy

13:30 - Outro

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, announced a set of new ‘protections’ and ‘privileges’ for ChatGPT users, requiring a significant amount of trust from users. From predicting your age based on your chat to calling law enforcement if you are at risk of harm, to allowing non-minors to flirt. But amidst all of these announcements, there are interview snippets you may have missed, as Altman dramatically revises his predictions of AI impact on jobs. Plus a Hassbis backtrack to boot.

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

Calling the Cops: https://openai.com/index/teen-safety-freedom-and-privacy/

Age Prediction: https://openai.com/index/building-towards-age-prediction/

Not Everyone Will Agree: https://x.com/sama/status/1967955739911364693?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Theory 1: NYT Lawsuit: https://openai.com/index/response-to-nyt-data-demands/

Theory 2: FTC Investigation into AI Companions: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1966167585994764743

YT Does the Same: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/youtube-ai-powered-technology-teen-users/

Carlsen Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5KmpT-BoVf4

vs Senate Testimony (70% Jobs): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5CWVP8-XVjQ

Hallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdf

Hassbis Quote 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toShbNUGAyo

vs Quote 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kr3Sh2PKA8Y

Wait, why did Sam Altman say AI was in a bubble? Or did he? Is it? 8 points for you to consider, before we all get distracted by Nano Banana.

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:14 - Sam Altman Clarification
02:30 - Media Calls a Bubble (for the tenth time)
03:40 - MIT and McKinsey Analysed
08:21 - Incremental Progress Deceptive
12:07 - Reasoning Breakthroughs
15:31 - CEOs might not know their products
17:25 - But did stocks go down?
17:31 - Media is Contradictory of course


https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/gaza-crisis-appeal


Bubble about to burst: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/08/20/ai-report-triggering-panic-and-fear-on-wall-street/

Nano Banana: https://blog.google/products/gemini/updated-image-editing-model/
https://ai.studio/banana

McKinsey Report: https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/seizing-the-agentic-ai-advantage#/
https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai#/
Revenue: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/mckinsey-consulting-firms-ai-strategy-89fbf1be

MIT Report: https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_in_Business_2025_Report.pdf

Safe Superintelligence: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/12/openai-co-founder-ilya-sutskevers-safe-superintelligence-reportedly-valued-at-32b/

Thinking Machines Lab: https://techcrunch.com/2025/07/15/mira-muratis-thinking-machines-lab-is-worth-12b-in-seed-round/

WSJ Prediction 2024: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-ai-revolution-is-already-losing-steam-a93478b1
WP Prediction 2023: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/08/05/ai-hype-bubble-chatgpt/

Companies are Pouring Billions into AI: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/business/ai-business-payoff-lags.html

Consumer Surplus: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/ais-overlooked-97-billion-contribution-to-the-economy-users-service-da6e8f55
Figure AI robot: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1958193476639826383

GDP Bet: https://x.com/adamdangelo/status/1627726566259318784?lang=en

Genie 3 Immersion: https://x.com/holynski_/status/1953879983535141043

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1953861448431718662
htttps://simple-bench.com
MMMU: https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/#leaderboard
Prophet Arena: https://www.prophetarena.co/leaderboard

NYT Jobs: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/opinion/ai-job-loss-deindustrialization.html

Dawn of Reasoning?: https://openreview.net/pdf?id=FkKBxp0FhR
vs :https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.04121

ARC-AGI: https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/1/
https://x.com/fchollet/status/1870169764762710376?lang=en-GB

Turing Test: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.23674

Mathematics of Starvation: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/31/the-mathematics-of-starvation-how-israel-caused-a-famine-in-gaza
https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/gaza-crisis-appeal

https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

METR Interview: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts

AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/
Paper: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf

Amodei: https://kantrowitz.medium.com/the-making-of-anthropic-ceo-dario-amodei-449777529dd6
https://www.theloganbartlettshow.com/archive/ep-82-dario-amodeis-ai-predictions-through-2030#:~:text=DARIO%3A%20I%20think%20our%20concern,being%20responsible%20to%20accelerate%20things
Unreleased OpenAI: https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1954966393419599962

VLMs Tricked: https://x.com/an_vo12/status/1943715159559545186



AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

GPT-5 will change how hundreds of millions of people use AI. Yes, you might have to forgive the chart crimes, the underwhelming livestream and Altman hype… But it’s a good model. I have read the 50 page system card in full, have the benchmark scores, coding tests, and things you might have missed.

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

Announcement: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5/

System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/8124a3ce-ab78-4f06-96eb-49ea29ffb52f/gpt5-system-card-aug7.pdf

Extra Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/be60c07b-6bc2-4f54-bcee-4141e1d6c69a/gpt-5-safe_completions.pdf

Altman tweet: https://x.com/sama/status/1953551377873117369

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Uu_VJeVVfo

METR Report: https://metr.github.io/autonomy-evals-guide/gpt-5-report/

ARC-AGI-2: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1953511631054680085

Claude Opus 4.1: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-1

MMMU: https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/

Cursor Praise: https://x.com/ryolu_/status/1953531724895596669