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Cattle Crunch: Herd Mentality Drives Prices Down

Cattle Crunch: Herd Mentality Drives Prices Down

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This is your Daily Live Cattle Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, welcome back to the Daily Live Cattle Price Tracker. I'm Vanessa Clark, and thanks so much for tuning in. Today is Friday, November 14th, 2025, and we've got some important market updates to break down for you.

Let's jump right into what's happening with live cattle prices today. According to Trading Economics, live cattle fell to 218.21 dollars per pound today, down about 0.36 percent from yesterday. Now, if you've been following the market closely, you know we've seen quite a bit of volatility recently. Over the past month alone, live cattle prices have dropped nearly 10 percent, though they're still sitting about 19.76 percent higher than they were a year ago.

Looking at the futures market, we're seeing some mixed signals heading into the close of the week. December 2025 live cattle futures are trading around 219.15, up just slightly by 0.15 cents. February 2026 contracts are looking a bit better at 219.52, up 0.57 cents. The overall trend this week has been pretty rough though. Most live cattle contracts are trading around six dollars lower compared to earlier in the week, which tells us that we're definitely in a challenging market environment right now.

Here's what's interesting. Cash prices have slipped as well this week. In the North, we're seeing light trade reported at around 225 to 227 dollars per hundredweight, with some southern trades happening near 228 dollars. Compared to just a few weeks ago, these numbers represent a significant decline, and that's putting pressure on the entire supply chain.

One thing to pay attention to is what's driving these market moves. We've been seeing some pretty extreme daily volatility lately. The interplay between live cattle and feeder cattle futures, market fundamentals, and frankly, emotional trading has created some unusual trading ranges. Feeder cattle futures, by the way, are showing some resilience today with January contracts up 2.10 and March up 1.57.

From a supply perspective, last week's slaughter totaled 555,000 head, which was down about 4,000 head from the previous week and significantly lower than last year's numbers. That's about 10 percent below prior year volumes, which is an important data point for understanding where supply pressures might be heading.

Looking ahead, Trading Economics is projecting live cattle to trade around 223.22 dollars per pound by the end of this quarter, and they're estimating prices could move toward 233.27 dollars over the next 12 months. Now, those longer-term projections suggest some recovery potential, but we're definitely in the thick of near-term headwinds right now.

The bottom line for today is that while we're not seeing dramatic moves on Friday, the underlying trend has been downward, and market sentiment seems cautious. Traders are watching government reports closely, and there's definitely some uncertainty about where this market heads next.

That's what's happening in the live cattle market today. Thanks so much for joining me on the Daily Live Cattle Price Tracker. Be sure to subscribe and tune in tomorrow for your next market update. Take care.

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