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Crude Tightrope: Geopolitics, OPEC, & Demand Battles

Crude Tightrope: Geopolitics, OPEC, & Demand Battles

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This is your Daily Crude Oil Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, welcome back to the Daily Crude Oil Price Tracker. I'm your host, Vanessa Clark, and I'm so glad you're here with me today. Let's dive right into what's happening in the oil markets right now because it's been quite the week.

So first things first, here's where we stand on this Wednesday, December third, twenty twenty five. West Texas Intermediate crude is trading around fifty eight dollars and ninety cents per barrel, while Brent crude is sitting at approximately sixty two dollars and seventy cents per barrel. Now, both of these benchmarks are holding relatively steady, but there's definitely some underlying tension in the markets that we need to talk about.

The big story today is what went down in Moscow. US officials just wrapped up talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, and folks, they did not come away with a peace agreement on the Ukraine situation. This is actually pushing crude prices up a little bit right now because the market had been hoping for some kind of deal that might ease tensions and potentially increase oil supplies from Russia. Without that agreement, we're still sitting with geopolitical uncertainty hanging over the market.

Here's what's really interesting though. The oil market is being squeezed from multiple angles. On one hand, we've got weak global demand. China's manufacturing numbers are struggling, and the eurozone is also showing signs of sluggish activity. On the other hand, OPEC Plus just decided to keep their production cuts in place at two point two million barrels per day through the first quarter of twenty twenty six. They're basically hitting the pause button on any planned increases.

What this means for you as someone watching the markets is that we're likely looking at oil prices staying in a pretty tight range. Analysts are predicting crude will probably stay between fifty seven and sixty one dollars per barrel in the near term, though any major geopolitical flare up could push prices higher. We're also keeping a close eye on Venezuelan supply concerns and ongoing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refining infrastructure, which continue to add that risk premium to prices.

The bottom line is this. We've got a market that's caught between supply discipline from OPEC Plus and softer demand from major consumers. Geopolitical risks are providing a floor under prices, but economic weakness is capping any upside. It's a tug of war, and that means volatility is likely to continue.

Thanks so much for tuning in to the Daily Crude Oil Price Tracker. Make sure you subscribe so you don't miss tomorrow's update on crude oil prices and market movements. I'll be back tomorrow with the latest numbers and insights, so tune in next time. Take care.

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