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Episode 1406: Think Tank: Asia chemicals see more competition from low cost producers in China, US

Episode 1406: Think Tank: Asia chemicals see more competition from low cost producers in China, US

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Chemical markets across Asia are seeing more trade flows from low cost producers such as China and the US as competition grows amid rising overcapacity.

- Asia downstream markets not expected to recover until 2027/8

- Low cost producers such as US, China, competing for market share

- US tariffs, sanctions disrupting regional chemical markets

- Moves in China, South Korea, Japan to close uncompetitive plants may help rebalance markets

- China producers are exporting to other regions, such as Latin America

- New China acetic acid plants add 10% to capacity in 2025

- Downstream demand growth not keeping pace

- Since the podcast was recorded on 3 November, a major plant has shut, driving up demand for imports into India, potentially widening arbitrage for Atlantic spot trades

- In China, retirement of older acetic acid plants unlikely to offset capacity addition in near future

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