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*CHAPTERS / TIMESTAMPS*

0:00 Introduction: Monthly Briefing #2

0:25 The Economy: "Hard Data" Reality Check

0:42 GDP Cancellation: The Real Reason

0:58 K-Shaped Economy & Corporate Distress

1:24 The Wealth Gap Warning (Ray Dalio)

1:39 Consumer Sentiment: All-Time Low

1:45 The "GDP Mirage" Explained

2:05 The Fed: From "Soft Landing" to Panic

2:20 Banking Crisis: Repo Market Stress

3:09 The "Not QE" Pivot: $60B/Month Injection

4:00 The Fed's Balance Sheet: Higher Plateau

4:31 Powell's Silent Admission on Jobs

5:40 Banking Crisis Contagion: UBS & Bear Stearns

6:19 The "Smoking Gun": First Brand DIP Loan Collapse

7:12 Oracle Bonds Underwater & AI Risk

7:35 AI Bubble: From "Build It" to "Prove It"

8:08 Oracle & Broadcom: The Market Punishes Spending

9:04 Microsoft Cancels AI Sales Quotas

9:27 China Chip War: The Bifurcation Failure

9:56 Stock Market: Topping Process & Rotation

10:47 Negative Equity Risk Premium

11:10 VIX Signal: Complacency Before the Storm

11:36 The Opportunity: Portfolio Insurance is Cheap

11:53 How to Protect Your Portfolio (Resources)

12:26 Precious Metals & Crypto Update

12:45 Silver: Trading Halts & "Giffen Good" Demand

14:03 Looking Forward: December Volatility

14:22 Triple Witching & BoJ Rate Hike Risk

14:59 The Santa Claus Rally: Likely Cancelled

15:13 January Outlook: Tariffs & Central Banks

16:13 Conclusion: Prioritize Protection Over Greed

Video recorded 2025/12/16

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*Disclaimer*

The information presented is provided for informational purposes only and does not in any way constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an inducement to buy, sell, or hold financial assets. The opinions expressed are general in nature and do not take into account the financial situation, objectives, or specific needs of any individual. Before making investment decisions, it is recommended to consult a financial advisor accredited by the financial market’s authority for personalized advice. Investing involves risks, including the risk of capital loss.