Épisodes

  • Thankful Investing: Wellness, Tech, And Resilience
    Nov 19 2025

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    Gratitude can be a powerful investing edge. We open with what matters most—health, family, and the gift of time—and show how a calmer life widens the gap between impulse and action. That space lets us think in seasons, not seconds: read more deeply, travel for perspective, and build portfolios that can withstand surprise. From there, we pivot to the markets we’re thankful for, spotlighting a technology arc that’s reshaping the real economy. Custom chips, advanced lithography, and AI moving from tool to advisor create durable moats and new cash flows. This isn’t the old dot‑com play where clicks replaced profits; earnings and margins now anchor the thesis, even if some names have run ahead of themselves.

    We get honest about risk. Trimming concentrated AI winners, keeping cash ready for pullbacks, and holding gold as ballast form a simple, resilient playbook. We compare global prices through travel stories to make inflation tangible, then credit scientific breakthroughs like mRNA vaccines and GLP‑1 therapies for improving both lives and economic stability. Despite policy noise and tariff headlines, markets have shown surprising resilience—another reason to respect liquidity and stay skeptical of crowded trades. We also champion the humble 401(k) for compounding discipline and urge caution before stuffing complex private equity into retirement menus without strong guardrails.

    Across it all, a theme emerges: align money with meaning. Use gratitude to set pace, define purpose, and choose when to act. Own quality growth with valuation discipline, keep dry powder, and let compounding work while you live the life you’re funding. If this conversation sparked a new habit or helped you tune out the noise, share it with a friend, subscribe for more thoughtful finance, and leave a quick review telling us what you want us to tackle next.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    26 min
  • Trust, Data, And The Long View
    Nov 19 2025

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    Markets don’t break because of a single headline—they bend under the weight of what we choose to trust. We dig into where confidence belongs right now, from focused bets on innovation to the steady ballast of cash and gold. Along the way, we spotlight an underrated growth engine: America’s university system, where research, endowments, and relentless training keep producing the people and ideas that power AI, advanced chips, health tech, and the next wave of startups.

    We get honest about risk. Crypto’s shifting identity and the chorus of promoters look a lot more like a sentiment trade than a true hedge, and parts of private credit carry opacity and liquidity traps that investors too often ignore. Time horizon is a real edge; illiquidity by itself isn’t. We also unpack why government policy and tariff theatrics can distort decisions, and how markets frequently climb despite policy noise, not because of it. If you’re searching for a practical framework for innovation investing, risk management, and portfolio construction, this conversation offers a grounded path.

    There’s a human side to returns that rarely trends. Attention spans are shrinking, snap decisions are rising, and that’s bad for compounding. We make the case for a slower, clearer process—sleep on choices, define outcomes, and check assumptions—while elevating wellness as central to financial performance. Health, focus, and flexibility aren’t perks; they are part of your capital stack. Employers who support hybrid work and recovery build stronger teams, and investors who protect their energy make better calls across cycles.

    If this resonates, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review. Your feedback shapes what we explore next, and your questions might steer a future episode—tell us where you place your trust.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    28 min
  • Tariffs On Trial
    Nov 5 2025

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    A courtroom showdown over tariffs just forced the biggest question in trade policy: who gets to tax Americans in the name of national interest? We sat down to parse a marathon Supreme Court argument and why the Justices sounded skeptical of using emergency powers as a back door for sweeping tariffs. From first principles to practical fallout, we translate the legal jargon into plain English and outline what it could mean for markets, supply chains, and the balance of power between Congress and the White House.

    We walk through the key statutes—Section 301 for unfair trade, Section 232 for national security, and IEEPA for sanctions—and explain why each has distinct guardrails. When tariffs become a foreign policy tool rather than a revenue measure, the constitutional lines blur. The bench pressed that tension hard, probing hypotheticals like climate-driven tariffs and the risk of unbounded executive authority that Congress can’t realistically unwind without a veto-proof majority. We also examine a curious idea floated at argument: replacing tariffs with “license fees” under IEEPA, and why that likely runs against the statute’s purpose.

    If these tariffs are curtailed, what happens next? We explore scenarios from targeted rollbacks and importer reimbursements to narrower, evidence-based tariffs that fit within existing law. For investors, the near-term market impact may be muted compared to earnings and interest rates, but the structural payoff could be real: fewer policy whiplashes, clearer compliance, and better planning. Along the way, we offer a candid read on the Court’s likely split and how this case fits into a larger set of Capital D decisions that define the limits of presidential power.

    Enjoy the conversation, then tell a friend, subscribe for more policy-to-portfolio breakdowns, and leave a review to share what you want us to tackle next.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    25 min
  • New York’s Left Turn And The Future Of Markets with Frazer Rice
    Nov 5 2025

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    We unpack what Mamdani's win signals for New York’s markets and whether capitalism is shifting toward protectionism and cronyism rather than socialism. We weigh crime, taxes, housing, and transit funding against ratings risk, capital mobility, and the city’s tech-and-finance future.

    • election results as the context for market sentiment
    • is capitalism evolving or declining in practice
    • Mamdani's platform and business community reaction
    • crime and police leadership as talent retention drivers
    • tax sensitivity, mobility, and slow erosion of the base
    • federal protectionism and deal-by-deal policy volatility
    • New York versus Texas, Florida, and Connecticut dynamics
    • tech as the backbone of modern finance in New York
    • housing rezoning as the fastest credible win
    • MTA funding, congestion pricing, and cost overruns
    • ratings agencies, borrowing limits, and fiscal guardrails
    • near-term predictions for the council, midterms, and the House

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    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    47 min
  • Fed Cuts, Markets React, Doubts Rise
    Oct 30 2025

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    A surprise rate cut without fresh data sounds bold on the surface, but the real story lives in the yield curve the Fed doesn’t control. We unpack why trimming the short end won’t guarantee cheaper mortgages or easier financing, how long-term yields respond to inflation expectations and Treasury supply, and where tariff rulings at the Supreme Court could tilt the outlook. Rather than chasing a tidy headline—“rates down, stocks up”—we map the messy mechanics that set borrowing costs and valuation multiples.

    We also dig into the signaling game around central bank independence. When data is delayed and contested, forward guidance becomes both shield and compass. We talk through what a potential rollback of broad tariffs might mean for inflation and growth, how a sticky inflation path could keep long yields elevated despite cuts, and why the market’s AI-fueled optimism still runs through the discount-rate math. From mortgages and capex to equity risk premiums, the key forces sit beyond the overnight rate.

    Our skeptic’s playbook centers on you, not the news cycle. Start with goals and cash flows, then match duration and risk to time horizons. Watch the 5-year and 10-year yields if you care about housing and valuations, stress-test for a no-cut December, and keep a margin of safety if long yields jump. Discipline beats prediction when policy, courts, and data collide. If this breakdown helps you think clearer about your plan, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review—what’s the biggest curveball you’re preparing for next?

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    28 min
  • Hitting Five Trillion Is Hard; Staying There Is Harder
    Oct 30 2025

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    Five trillion is a headline; the harder story is what comes next. We dig into NVIDIA’s historic market cap, the AI hardware and software flywheel behind it, and the reality that scale turns leaders into targets. From Blackwell-class GPUs to ecosystem partnerships like Palantir, we map how compute, tooling, and customers reinforce each other—and where fragility hides when growth expectations run ahead of execution.

    We get candid about market structure. Liquidity and call-option fever can blur the line between conviction and speculation, and when a trillion gets added in weeks, a reset becomes more likely. That’s why we’re trimming oversize winners, keeping meaningful cash in yield-bearing vehicles, and holding a measured slice of gold. Not to sit out AI, but to stay agile. We also look beyond the obvious tickers to the underloved shovels of the AI buildout: data center construction, power, grid upgrades, thermal management, and select semis that benefit from rising compute demand without the richest multiples.

    Zooming out, we unpack why U.S. tech clusters dominate: world-class universities, venture capital depth, immigration-fueled talent, and public markets that finance bold bets. But concentration is a double-edged sword. Policy shocks, China–U.S. tech rivalry, export controls, and emerging models trained efficiently on non‑NVIDIA hardware can all shift margins and leadership. Resilience comes from structure: a portfolio that blends platform leaders with infrastructure plays, and that pairs risk assets with cash optionality rather than long-duration bond exposure.

    Our take is optimistic, not naive. Celebrate engineering that moves the world forward, but respect the math of large numbers. Corrections are healthy, positioning matters, and patience—funded by real yield—wins more often than adrenaline. If this lens helps you think clearer about AI, chips, and market risk, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review so more investors can find us.

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    23 min
  • China Has Magnets, Your Portfolio Has Anxiety
    Oct 27 2025

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    If the world’s most powerful magnets can move turbines and EVs, what might happen when their supply chain starts to seize up? We take you inside the rare earths story—why these elements are abundant in the ground yet scarce in your portfolio—and connect the dots to AI infrastructure, defense systems, and the global energy transition.

    We break down China’s processing dominance and the environmental trade-offs that shaped it, then look at how non-Chinese supply could scale through U.S.–Australia–Canada partnerships. From neodymium magnets in motors to lithium and copper in batteries and grids, we map the materials stack that underpins data centers, wind farms, and advanced manufacturing. Along the way, we examine export controls on gallium and germanium, the espionage pressure around ASML and chip tools, and how supply shocks can reverberate through server buildouts and AI cost curves.

    On the market side, we contrast hardware suppliers and data center ecosystem winners with software names facing valuation pressure if deployment slows. We also consider the rise of leaner AI models like DeepSeek, which could reward software efficiency over brute-force compute. Taiwan’s central role in leading-edge chips, the push to expand fabrication abroad, and U.S. constraints around water, labor, and subsidies add more layers to the risk map. Our bottom line: stay invested, but right-size positions, add selective hedges, and keep dry powder for volatility in a frothy fourth quarter.

    If this helped sharpen your view on rare earths and AI risk, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review—what’s the smartest de-risking move you’re making right now?

    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    31 min
  • Gold’s Surge, Fear, And Strategy
    Oct 22 2025

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    We unpack gold’s surge, why central banks—especially China—are buying, and how to balance conviction with risk. We share how we trimmed, built a cash buffer, and considered collars to cut downside while staying in the trade.

    • Central bank demand as a structural tailwind
    • China’s reserve ambitions and gold accumulation
    • Dollar and U.S. policy risk shaping safe‑haven flows
    • Rate cuts, inflation hedges, and market plateau
    • Trimming exposure after parabolic moves
    • Cash as optionality and a volatility buffer
    • Using collars on GLD to cap downside
    • Silver’s link to gold and industrial demand
    • Energy and oil debates tied to AI growth
    • Practical mindset: avoid FOMO, take profits, redeploy

    Please listen in, give us your comments, give us suggestions, and we love producing good material that you want. So let us know.


    Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None

    Please check out our other podcasts:

    https://skepticsguidetoinvesting.buzzsprout.com

    Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.

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    23 min