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Soybean Roller Coaster: China, Brazil, and the Future of Your Feed

Soybean Roller Coaster: China, Brazil, and the Future of Your Feed

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This is your Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Welcome back to the Daily Soybeans Price Tracker. I’m Vanessa Clark, and if you trade soybeans, run a farm, or just have a passion for ag markets, you’re in the right place. I’m here every day with the latest soybean news and prices in language anyone can understand.

Let’s start with the key numbers from today, Tuesday, November eleventh. After a volatile start to the week, soybean prices are slightly lower this morning following two days of sizable gains. November soybeans are holding steady at eleven dollars and sixteen cents per bushel, while March futures have edged down to eleven dollars and thirty-five and three-quarters cents per bushel. Yesterday’s close saw January soybeans settle at eleven dollars and twenty-three and a quarter cents, up about six cents from the day before. So if you’re searching for the most up-to-date soybean prices, that’s where the market stands as of this morning.

Now let’s talk about what’s moving the market. First off, traders are still digesting news out of Brazil. Weather conditions there have mostly favored planting, which is keeping a lid on prices. Meanwhile, Brazil has just been approved to export more alternative feed grains to China, which could affect international soybean demand over the coming months.

On the U.S. side, there’s renewed focus on export demand, especially from China. It’s a complicated story. China and the U.S. have reached a trade truce, with China agreeing to buy twelve million metric tons of American soybeans by the end of this year and as much as twenty-five million per year for the next three years. But here’s the catch: China hasn’t actually confirmed these purchases publicly, and trade flows so far have lagged behind expectations.

There’s also a big price gap between U.S. and Brazilian supplies, with U.S. soybeans selling at about thirty cents per bushel more than their counterparts in Brazil. Add in the ten to thirteen percent tariff on U.S. beans going into China, and American exports remain at a disadvantage. The result: China continues to focus its soybean buying elsewhere, especially Brazil.

For farmers and investors, the upshot is more uncertainty. Analysts are watching U.S. ending stocks and production forecasts for clues to future price movements, but it’s clear that the market remains volatile and driven by developments halfway around the globe. And if you’re involved in related commodities like corn or livestock, pay attention—soybean price swings are rippling into neighboring markets, especially since soymeal is a key feed ingredient for pork and beef production.

So what are the actionable takeaways for today? If you’re marketing this year’s soybean crop, consider locking in prices on short-term rallies since trade flows remain shaky. For investors, keep an eye on futures volatility and how tariff and trade headlines impact both soybeans and broader agricultural markets. And if you’re just fascinated by global supply chains, watch for any signals that China may resume or ramp up its purchases from the U.S.—that’s the news event that could move prices most.

That’s it for the Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Thanks for tuning in. If you found today’s info helpful, be sure to subscribe and check back tomorrow—you won’t want to miss what happens next in this unpredictable market. Take care and talk to you soon.

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