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Soybean Slump: Navigating the Turbulent Tides of Global Trade

Soybean Slump: Navigating the Turbulent Tides of Global Trade

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This is your Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hello and welcome to Daily Soybeans Price Tracker, your go-to podcast for all the latest updates in the soybean market. I’m Vanessa Clark, and today is Thursday, November sixth, twenty twenty-five. We’ve got everything you need to know about the current soybean trading price, recent market shifts, and what’s driving headlines in global agriculture.

Let’s kick things off with the most recent prices. January soybean futures took a significant hit today, dropping by nearly eighteen cents to settle at eleven dollars sixteen and a half cents per bushel. That’s according to Times Online, which emphasizes this ongoing price slide is part of a wider correction seen across agricultural markets this week. Over the last few sessions, soybean prices have bounced between a support level at eleven fifteen and resistance at eleven thirty-five. We’re currently sitting very close to that crucial support zone.

Several factors are contributing to these declining prices. News outlets like ADM Investor Services and DTN Progressive Farmer report that US soybeans fell by twenty to twenty-five cents recently, while soybean meal and oil also slipped. A big reason is that US soy offers are slightly higher than those coming out of Brazil, even before tariffs are factored in. As Brazil’s new crop begins to hit global markets early next year, their prices are expected to undercut US soybeans further, by nearly a dollar per bushel. This international competition puts serious downward pressure on US prices and could require domestic offers to drop if American exporters want to remain competitive.

There’s also a bit of uncertainty hanging over future Chinese buying. While speculative buying drove positions higher earlier in the week, aggressive selling today wiped out some of those gains. Experts agree that soybean prices won’t rally again until we see major new buying from China—which will likely only happen if US beans get much cheaper.

Now, what about the bigger picture? The drop in soybean prices comes despite record US production forecasts this year, with strong yields and expanded planted acreage. According to the Farm Bureau, seventy-five million acres of soybeans are protected under federal crop insurance, providing a vital safety net for farmers facing both weather and price swings. This year, the harvest insurance price for soybeans settled at ten dollars thirty-five cents per bushel, just under the spring price of ten fifty-four. That means indemnity payments will be based on the higher spring price, cushioning some of the pain for producers.

Weather played a role too. Early-season heat followed by a sharp cool-down and heavy rains disappointed Midwest growers at harvest time, especially in North Dakota and northern Minnesota. Some farmers there are already considering planting alternatives next year, such as canola or sunflowers, due to the tough season for beans.

On the policy side, trade uncertainty remains a headline. President Trump’s tariffs—reviewed by the Supreme Court this week—are causing ripples in global markets and could influence export opportunities in coming months. Until these issues are resolved, businesses are preparing for ongoing uncertainty in international negotiations with China and the European Union.

For folks following soybean prices closely, here are a couple actionable takeaways. First, keep an eye on global competition, especially South American crop developments and export offers. Second, understand how crop insurance and risk management options can help protect against volatile harvest prices. And third, stay up-to-date on trade news, as tariff rulings and major buying announcements from China can sharply impact prices overnight.

That’s it for today’s episode of Daily Soybeans Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Thanks so much for listening in. If you want even more soybean news and practical tips for navigating the market, be sure to subscribe, share this podcast with your friends, and tune in again tomorrow. Have a great day and happy trading.

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