Épisodes

  • Weekend Dads & Duds from NFL Week 14 + Week 15 Early Best Bets with Nate Collins | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 182)
    Dec 9 2025

    Former NFL DT Nate Collins, now a voice on The Green Light Podcast with Chris Long, joins Stephie Smalls for a full breakdown of Weekend Dads & Duds from NFL Week 14, followed by the sharpest early Week 15 betting lines and best bets on the board.

    The show opens with Nate’s Jacksonville Jaguars, where Trevor Lawrence’s confidence continues to climb and the addition of Jakobi Meyers proves to be more than depth — he’s becoming a weapon. They debate whether the Houston Texans are now the actual AFC South threat while the Colts slide due to Anthony Richardson’s continued injury spiral. “Duds” come fast: Daniel Jones playing through a fracture, New York’s QB confusion, and Patrick Mahomes gifting three interceptions to a Texans defense anchored by Danielle Hunter and a nasty secondary.

    Then come the “Dads,” a celebration of breakouts and redemption: Cam Ward showing maturity, Dorian Thompson-Robinson settling in, and Myles Garrett pushing toward a Browns sack record. Steph and Nate gush over Blake Corum after his 128-yard, 2-TD explosion for the Los Angeles Rams, and how Matthew Stafford looks vintage again throwing lasers to Puka Nacua and a revitalized Emmanuel Forbes.

    Week 15 preview hits fast and loaded:
    • Lions at Rams — Can Detroit’s run game survive this front, or is Stafford ready to torch them?
    • Packers at Broncos — Are Jordan Love and his young WR trio live dogs?
    • Giants vs Commanders, Jags vs Jets, and pure chaos in the NFC South with the Panthers, Bucs, Falcons, and Saints all still alive.

    They close with chemistry talk inside Philly’s locker room — AJ Brown, Jalen Hurts, and what makes winning feel fragile. Plus where to follow Nate and catch him on Green Light.

    0:00 - Intro
    0:50 - Nate Collins intro
    1:17 - Jags season turnaround
    2:28 - Daniel Jones fracture
    4:16 - Colts QB catastrophe
    6:09 - Daniel Jones contract
    6:57 - Mahomes Chiefs meltdown
    8:30 - Texans defense domination
    10:13 - Cam Ward vs DTR
    12:32 - Browns tanking chaos
    13:56 - Young QB confidence
    15:55 - Blake Corum Rams
    16:32 - Lions at Rams
    18:25 - Dan Campbell decisions
    19:45 - Packers at Broncos
    22:23 - Giants vs Commanders
    24:18 - Tanking art discussion
    26:00 - Jags vs Jets
    27:37 - NFC South race
    29:28 - Eagles vibes

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    32 min
  • NFL Week 14 Player Props & Circa Million ATS Bets w/ Rod Villagomez & Ryan McKee | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 181)
    Dec 5 2025

    On this live edition of The Stephie Smalls Show, Stephie breaks down NFL Week 14 player props, longest reception bets, and Circa Million contest picks with special guest Rod Villagomez from SGPN before Producer Ryan McKee joins to close the slate. They open with Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals, discussing James Cook rushing unders, receiving overs, and longest play potential, while breaking down how Cincinnati has fared against backs like Derrick Henry, Trevion Henderson, Jaylen Warren, Breece Hall, and the Ravens running game.

    Rod then targets Matthew Stafford passing volume and longest completion props vs the Arizona Cardinals, while Stephie highlights Devin Neal receiving usage for the New Orleans Saints vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, deeper tight end angles with Fannin Jr., and potential spike-plays from Christian Watson for the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, plus David Njoku and Noah Fant in mismatched coverage spots.

    Quarterback props take center stage with Patrick Mahomes passing yards, and turnover-driven markets like Mahomes and Kirk Cousins interception odds. They look at why Seattle Seahawks pressure vs Atlanta Falcons pass protection makes Cousins a live pick for turnovers and stalled drives. They even sprinkle in Ashton Jeanty rushing yard projections vs Denver, plus matchup notes involving the Las Vegas Raiders, New Orleans Saints, Arizona Cardinals, and more Week 14 edges.

    Then Ryan enters with the Circa Million card: Bears +6.5, Jets +3, Seahawks -7, Browns -4.5 vs Titans, and thoughts on Chiefs -3, Colts -1.5, Steelers lines, Bengals markets, and Dolphins exposure. Smart props, longest receptions, ATS plays — it’s all in this Week 14 showdown.

    0:00 Intro
    0:52 Week 14 props
    1:29 James Cook rushing
    2:54 James Cook receiving
    4:02 Stafford pass attempts
    5:13 Devin Neal receiving
    6:07 Christian Watson receptions
    8:20 Fannin Jr receiving
    9:19 Sanders, TEs usage
    9:50 Mahomes passing yards
    10:53 QB interception props
    11:44 Ashton Jeanty rushing
    12:24 Tyler Warren receiving
    13:21 Rod segment wrap
    15:31 Extra Holes intro
    16:16 Bonus props, Hampton
    18:17 Circa contest picks
    19:33 Bears plus six-half
    22:05 Jets plus three
    23:32 Commanders plus two-half
    24:18 Seahawks minus seven
    26:00 Browns minus four-half
    26:55 Broncos versus Raiders
    28:13 Texans versus Chiefs
    29:45 Circa card locked

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    31 min
  • NFL Week 13 Weekend Dads & Duds + Early Week 14 Best Bets with CJ Sullivan | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 180)
    Dec 2 2025

    On this episode of The Stephie Smalls Show on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, Stephie is joined by CJ Sullivan, host of @BottomLineBombs, for a full NFL Week 13 Weekend Dads & Duds recap and an early look at the Week 14 betting lines and best bets.

    They break down the Chicago Bears run game shredding the Philadelphia Eagles defense, question what’s wrong with Nick Sirianni, Jalen Hurts, and that historically bad three-and-out rate, and talk about Ben Johnson scheming on the ground.

    Stephie and CJ hit on Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals taking out Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, the Dallas Cowboys heating up in the NFC East, and what it means for the Washington Commanders futures. They rant about Lane Kiffin, Shelby Harris calling Jauan Jennings a “hoe,” and Myles Garrett wrecking games.

    The crew also talks Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers upsetting the Los Angeles Rams, big-man TD legend Tristan Wirfs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jameson Williams and the shaky Detroit Lions, plus the disaster at quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings.

    Then it’s on to Week 14 NFL betting: Seahawks–Falcons, Texans–Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, Browns–Titans, Commanders–Vikings, Bears–Packers, and Eagles–Chargers on Monday night. They mix in player props like Jaxson Dart, Theo Johnson, Pop Douglas, Isaiah Hodgins and more.

    If you’re into NFL betting picks, player props, fantasy football angles, and sharp Week 14 edges, this is your show. Hit subscribe, rate and review the Stephie Smalls Show and check out CJ Sullivan’s @BottomLineBombs for more action.

    0:00 Intro - Week 13 setup
    0:53 Opening - Weekend Dads preview
    1:27 Thanksgiving - Bad host story
    3:24 Steph - Holiday overeating vomiting
    3:58 Fashion - Jaxson Dart outfit
    5:12 Hoe - Lane Kiffin called
    6:04 Dad - Shelby Harris hoe
    6:57 Dad - Bears run game
    8:15 Dad - Joe Burrow Ravens
    11:02 Dad - Tristan Wirfs touchdown
    11:47 Dad - Bryce Young Rams upset
    12:46 Dud - Jameson Williams Lions
    13:24 Dud - Eagles offense Sirianni
    16:05 Dud - Vikings quarterback meltdown
    18:04 Dud - Aaron Rodgers Steelers chaos
    21:03 Week 14 - Divisional slate
    21:25 Lines - Lions at Cowboys
    22:43 Lines - Seahawks at Falcons
    24:23 Lines - Commanders at Vikings
    25:09 Lines - Browns versus Titans
    25:56 Lines - Texans at Chiefs
    27:28 Lines - Eagles at Chargers
    28:49 Props - Dart rushing Johnson

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    30 min
  • Week 13 Waiver Wire Targets + Thanksgiving Triple-Header Best Bets w/ Sam Wagman | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 179)
    Nov 26 2025

    This episode opens with pure fantasy football talk as Stephie Smalls and Sam Wagman of Footballguys break down the Week 13 waiver wire landscape before diving into Thanksgiving betting angles. They kick things off with running back adds like Devin Neal stepping in for Alvin Kamara in the Saints backfield, plus upside stashes such as Trey Benson, Quinshon Judkins, and deeper-league dart Dillon Sampson. At tight end, they highlight Brenton Strange gaining momentum with Trevor Lawrence and a friendly schedule for the Jaguars.

    At wide receiver, Stephie and Sam discuss rookie John Higgins carving out a role alongside C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins on the Texans, plus deep WR fliers like Shamari Dyke and Andre Iosivas behind Tee Higgins in Cincinnati. They even touch on speculative Giants options such as Isaiah Hodgins and a possible Darren Waller return. For defense streamers, they flag the Chargers, Falcons, and Jaguars.

    Then they transition to Thanksgiving Triple-Header Best Bets, starting with Packers–Lions, analyzing Jordan Love’s shoulder, Josh Jacobs’ rushing volume, deep-shot props for Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson, and receiving overs for Jahmyr Gibbs and Brock Wright in Detroit.

    Next is Chiefs–Cowboys, where they weigh Patrick Mahomes’ rushing and deep-ball props against Dallas, plus complementary bets for Dak Prescott, Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice, Jake Ferguson, and Isaiah Pacheco.

    They wrap with Bengals–Ravens, looking at Joe Burrow checkdowns to Chase Brown, a banged-up Lamar Jackson, heavy Derrick Henry usage, and touchdown shots for Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, noting how players like Breece Hall have gashed Baltimore through the air.

    00:00:00 Intro
    00:01:36 Waiver wire overview
    00:01:58 Devin Neal Saints
    00:04:22 John Higgins pickup
    00:05:52 Brenton Strange TE
    00:06:50 Shamari Dyke rookies
    00:07:31 Hodgins deep leagues
    00:10:06 Streaming defenses
    00:11:36 Packers–Lions preview
    00:12:14 Love Jacobs props
    00:16:07 Brock Wright props
    00:17:33 Jahmyr Gibbs receiving
    00:20:07 Packers WR deep shots
    00:22:31 Chiefs–Cowboys preview
    00:25:00 Mahomes rushing props
    00:28:07 Mahomes long completion
    00:31:01 Xavier Worthy longest
    00:32:52 George Pickens under
    00:38:19 Bengals–Ravens preview
    00:39:15 Chase Brown receiving
    00:41:15 Lamar rushing under
    00:42:37 Henry Andrews Likely
    00:46:41 Ja'Marr Chase longest
    00:49:39 Thanksgiving slate wrap

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    51 min
  • NFL Week 13 Picks: Weekend Dads & Duds, Early Betting Lines, Sharp Angles & Best Bets w/ Colby Marchio | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 178)
    Nov 25 2025

    On this episode of the Stephie Smalls Show, we break down everything you need to know heading into NFL Week 13—including the newest edition of Weekend Dads & Duds, early betting line reactions, ATS leans, and our favorite sharp angles for the week.

    Betting analyst Colby Marchio joins to discuss the biggest standout performances from the weekend, including why Jameis Winston, Matthew Stafford, and several breakout stars made the “Dad” list — and why a few highly drafted players landed squarely in the “Duds” category. We also dig into major storylines around the Chicago Bears, Giants struggles, MVP odds movement, and the most chaotic moments from an unpredictable NFL slate.

    Then Smalls and Colby break down early Week 13 odds, including sharp positions on the Chiefs, 49ers, Bears, Texans, and more. We dive into the numbers behind defensive DVOA mismatches, rushing props, backup quarterback trends, first-start betting rules, and which opening lines are most likely to move.

    Producer Ryan jumps in during “Extra Holes” to talk rivalry week and college football chaos. He also makes a heartfelt public apology to Steph, and debuts a new segment that expands upon Weekend Dads & Duds.

    If you’re looking for NFL Week 13 picks, betting predictions, early lines, DFS insights, ATS breakdowns, and the funniest unhinged football commentary on YouTube, this is the episode you want.

    Hit LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and drop your Week 13 picks in the comments!

    0:00 – Intro
    1:20 – Colby joins
    1:43 – Bears meltdown
    4:12 – Winston talk
    5:00 – Weekend Dads
    11:38 – Weekend Duds
    14:08 – Taylor discussion
    16:28 – Player debates
    17:41 – Cowboys segment
    18:30 – Eagles analysis
    20:19 – Carter threat
    21:49 – Wildcat ranking
    22:47 – Week 13 lines
    23:12 – Texans defense
    24:20 – First-start rule
    26:04 – Chiefs–Cowboys
    27:12 – Bears second half
    28:47 – Giants QB room
    29:55 – Dolphins–Saints
    30:55 – Giants worst
    32:14 – Thanksgiving food
    34:33 – Jets INT stat
    36:44 – Extra Holes
    37:16 – Backup QBs
    38:13 – Territorial Cup
    38:29 – Rivalry nerves

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    47 min
  • NFL Week 12 Player Prop Breakdown + Circa Million Picks w/ Anand Nanduri | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 177)
    Nov 21 2025

    In this Week 12 Player Prop Breakdown, Stephie Smalls is joined by analytics sharp Anand Nanduri for a deep dive into the most exploitable matchups on the board. The two kick things off with the Justin Jefferson debate, breaking down why the Vikings star should clear 5.5 receptions despite the shaky play of rookie QB J.J. McCarthy. From there, Anand targets Tee Higgins and his expanded role with Ja’Marr Chase sidelined, plus the Bengals’ ongoing crisis defending tight ends — setting up a smash spot for Hunter Henry.

    Smalls fires off her own favorites, including Maxx Crosby to notch a sack against Cleveland, Kenneth Walker over 59.5 rush yards versus a beatable Titans front, and Jacoby Brissett sailing past 36.5 pass attempts as Arizona leans entirely on the air. The pair also hit Lions–Giants explosives, calling out Jahmyr Gibbs longest rush and Jameson Williams deep-shot potential.

    They wrap with Steph’s signature Stephceptions picks — highlighted by Tyrone Tracy Jr. longest reception and a potential Ben Sinnott red-zone look.

    Then it's time for EXTRA HOLES. Producer Ryan McKee joins to review last week’s 0–5 Circa Million disaster and map out a bounce-back card. The two debate sharp sides like Jets +13, Seahawks as big favorites, Colts vs. Chiefs, Bears–Steelers uncertainty with the Aaron Rodgers injury cloud, and whether fading the public still rules the season.

    A full board breakdown, prop bets with real edges, and Circa strategy you can use immediately.

    0:00 – Intro
    0:42 – JJ McCarthy talk
    2:18 – Justin Jefferson props
    4:55 – Tee Higgins usage
    7:10 – Bengals vs TEs
    9:34 – Hunter Henry case
    11:58 – Bengals linebackers bad
    13:08 – Brissett pass attempts
    15:27 – Make linebackers great
    17:11 – Seahawks heavy personnel
    19:58 – Under-center play action
    21:31 – QB evaluation issues
    23:10 – Titans run matchup
    25:44 – Kenneth Walker yards
    28:02 – Maxx Crosby sack
    29:55 – Lions explosive plays
    32:50 – Jameson Williams SGP
    33:57 – Anand sign-off
    34:40 – Extra Holes start
    35:12 – Circa picks recap

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    47 min
  • Fantasy Football Week 12: Best Waiver Wire Targets & Thursday Night Football Props Breakdown | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 176)
    Nov 19 2025

    Week 12 is here, and Stephie Smalls brings the heat with fantasy analyst Frank Ammirante breaking down the most important waiver wire adds you need before the playoffs hit. Stephie and Frank dive deep into Michael Wilson, Sean Tucker, Chris Rodriguez, Emmanuel Wilson, Luther Burden, Jayden Higgins, Alec Pierce, and more players rising at exactly the right time. Whether you’re in 10-team leagues or battling in 14-team waivers that look like a wasteland, this episode gives you the clearest adds, drops, and deep-league stashes that still offer real upside.

    They also hit quarterback streamers such as Bryce Young, Jacoby Brissett, and Bo Nix, plus tight end options like Jonnu Smith after his multi-TD breakout. Then Stephie and Frank shift to Thursday Night Football: Bills vs Texans, discussing injury fallout (including C.J. Stroud being ruled out), rushing matchups, and prop angles on Josh Allen, Davis Mills, Woody Marks, James Cook, Keon Coleman, Nico Collins, and more.

    You'll get the best bets, Over/Unders, longest-rush props, interception angles, and defensive breakdowns — including why Houston’s pass defense is quietly elite and why Buffalo’s run defense continues to be exploitable.

    If you need help setting your Week 12 lineups, finding that league-winning stash, or building your TNF card, you’re in the right place.

    Subscribe & drop your fantasy questions below — Stephie answers them LIVE every week.

    0:00 Intro
    1:38 Commanders disaster talk
    2:11 Giants offense chatter
    2:46 Tyrod starter impact
    3:41 Jets WR situation
    3:57 Penix injury fallout
    4:20 Cousins back starting
    5:10 Drake London value
    5:44 Waivers open discussion
    6:07 Michael Wilson add
    6:22 Sean Tucker talk
    6:42 Emmanuel Wilson role
    7:09 Chris Rodriguez usage
    8:03 Singletary & Tracy
    9:23 Coleman drop talk
    10:10 Luther Burden stash
    10:32 Jayden Higgins rise
    10:32 Bryce Young streamer
    11:22 Isaiah Hodgins usage
    12:22 Tight end options
    12:56 Defense pickups
    14:45 Listener questions
    16:01 Late-season breakout
    17:26 QB streamers debate
    18:07 Watson vs Mooney
    19:11 Nix & Spears
    20:06 TNF matchup talk
    20:58 Running back props
    22:12 Josh Allen unders
    23:07 Davis Mills completions
    24:16 James Cook receiving
    25:33 Texans +6 angle

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    28 min
  • Week 11 Weekend Dads & Duds + Must-Bet Week 12 Lines w/ C.J. Sullivan | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 175)
    Nov 18 2025

    Stephie Smalls is back LIVE with CJ Sullivan for a full-on NFL Week 11 group therapy session — a.k.a. Weekend Dads & Duds — plus a first look at the must-bet Week 12 board.

    They open by roasting JJ McCarthy and the Vikings offense, wondering how a supposed franchise QB can have zero rushing attempts and a turnover every week while Justin Jefferson visibly loses his mind on the sidelines. From there, they hit Sam Darnold’s four-pick meltdown, the Eagles’ bizarre, scheme-less offense despite being the NFC’s 1-seed, Dan Campbell and Jared Goff trying trick plays in a monsoon, and the Chargers’ offensive line turning Justin Herbert into a tackling dummy.

    On the “Dad” side, Steph and CJ gush over undrafted RB Sean Tucker’s 140-yard, 3-TD eruption and what it means for Rashad White, Josh Allen’s six-TD nuclear game with randos like Tyrell Shavers stepping up, and Myles Garrett’s absurd Defensive Player of the Year pace. They also unpack Giants receiver disasters (Jalin Hyatt, Isaiah Hodgins), the Ja’Marr Chase vs. Jalen Ramsey spitting drama, Jacoby Brissett’s video-game stat line in the “does this game even exist?” Cardinals matchup, Texans savior Davis Mills and kicker Matthew Wright rescuing survivor pools, and Matthew Stafford’s sneaky MVP-level run.

    Then they spin it forward into the Week 12 lines, working through the early spreads that feel either “stinky” or exploitable. Steph opens with Jaguars at Cardinals, puzzled why Arizona is only a +2.5 home dog after getting shredded, while CJ still leans Jacksonville now that Liam Coen’s offense finally looks cohesive. From there they hit Falcons at Saints with New Orleans laying -2.5 at home, debating whether fading Kirk Cousins and this unserious Atlanta team is the only sane option, and kick around Patriots at Bengals, where a move out to around Cincy -8.5 feels rich if Ja’Marr Chase is suspended and New England keeps quietly covering. They circle Panthers at 49ers on Monday night, liking a healthy San Francisco offense (Purdy, CMC, Kittle, Pearsall) to punish Carolina in a classic letdown spot after the Panthers’ big divisional win, and they eye the Browns at Raiders total, leaning under in a matchup of elite Cleveland defense vs. two of the league’s ugliest scoring attacks. Down the board, they talk Giants at Lions as a potential Detroit smash if the run game gets rolling, debate whether Seahawks -13 at Titans and Ravens -13.5 vs. Jets are too many points even against anemic offenses, and close on the wild swing in Steelers at Bears, where the line flipped from Pittsburgh -2.5 to Bears -3 just because of Mason Rudolph—prompting CJ to eye Tomlin as a classic road-dog value spot.

    Finally, Producer Ryan McKee jumps in for Extra Holes, breaking down their brutal 0–5 Circa Million card, joking about scheduling a full gambling exorcism, and pitching some delightfully deranged angles for their Week 12 best bets.

    0:00 – Show intro, Steph setup
    0:42 – CJ joins, greetings
    1:20 – Shower curtain chaos
    1:45 – LA rain complaints
    2:10 – Week 11 vibes
    5:18 – Eagles offense dud
    6:33 – Lions collapse talk
    8:00 – Chargers O-line disaster
    8:48 – Herbert injury spiral
    9:11 – Flacco meltdown recap
    9:46 – Chase–Ramsey spit drama
    10:56 – Spitting trend rant
    11:43 – Shift into Dads
    21:15 – Who do we trust?
    22:12 – Fourth-quarter magic rant
    23:19 – Season “really begins”
    23:34 – Camera freak-out moment
    23:39 – Wrap Dads segment
    24:31 – Jags–Cards line debate
    26:07 – Saints–Falcons breakdown
    32:58 – Giants–Lions blowout talk
    34:12 – Seahawks–Titans spread
    38:04 – MNF thoughts, CJ out
    39:41 – Extra Holes begins
    39:49 – 0–5 Circa misery
    40:29 – Gambling exorcism bit

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    47 min