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The Griff Report - College Football Edition

The Griff Report - College Football Edition

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NCAA Football November 8, 2025

Indiana -15 vs Penn State - I/U 6-3 ATS - Penn State 25-2 All-time vs. Indiana, but this is the best IU team so far and they are laying the huge number because of Penn State being marked as down for the year. Other than losing their QB really this is gut check time for the Nittany Lions having to face #1 and then #2 back to back. Penn State is 13-0 all time at home vs. IU. When you see all this history then you see the Hoosiers favored by that much its because their backers have been running consensus. This year may be the one for the Hoosiers with their number 1 scoring offense and there # 3 scoring defense, 87% consensus pick is the Hoosiers. Still I think Penn State may be a trap game for the Hoosiers, the games they haven't covered have been road games in the Big Ten. Penn State +15.

Georgia -8.5 vs. Miss St - Mississippi State 8-1 ATS - Was 41-31 Last year UGA's way. UGA 3-5 ATS. Georgia Bulldogs who are 77% consensus pick face the Mississippi State cover machine. This matchup has favored Georgia with them being 14-1 last 15 vs MSU, 10 of the 14 wins by double digits. I know MSU has been on fire ATS but I like Georgia in this spot here. Georgia -8.5

Texas A&M -7 vs. Missouri - 4-4 ATS for the Aggies, 4-3-1 ATS for Missouri, the game went the Aggies way last year 41-10. Last year same place but A&M went up 24-0 at half time. Missouri has one of the nations top 10 running backs, but if they can't slow the Aggies it'll be a long afternoon. 72% on the Aggies consensus, but even though there is the tendency to say this will go exactly like last years game, I would expect Missouri to want to run the ball as much as they can stay in 3rd down and short instead of 3rd and long. I think the Aggies even though they blew out LSU in the second half may keep it close in the first. If you have the chance to Live bet this may be a chance where you may not have to lay the whole -7 because Missouri is likely to keep it close in the first half, they covered and even had their chances vs. Alabama at home. I think with some injuries at running back the Aggies may have to win a close one here. Missouri +7

Texas Tech -10 vs. BYU - Tech is 8-1 ATS, BYU 6-2 ATS - Last meeting was 2023. Texas Tech #3 in scoring offense, number 5 in scoring defense. Still this is an interesting game because BYU is undefeated, they have won outright as a big underdog this season, they finally got past the Holy War with Utah and run into a Tech team is with one loss right behind the undefeated Cougars in the standings for the playoffs. Does a loss here knock the other out of the playoffs? Possibly, which is why I'm going to take the Cougars and know this one could go the other way but BYU players are older and more mature, BYU+10

Alabama -10 vs. LSU Bama 5-2-1 ATS - Bama won 42-13 last year, 42-28 two years ago. Bama clearly the better team and LSU is now inferior to when they were gonna be a playoff team right? Thats what makes LSU dangerous because they lost their primary goals and have to play the rest of the season. Alabama -10

Oregon -6.5 vs. Iowa 5-3 ATS for the Ducks, Iowa 5-2-1- Not played since 1994. In Iowa they put the visitors in a pink locker room for psychological purposes. This is Big Ten play here on the road in that tough environment. 46 % on Iowa +6.5, but the Ducks have a huge amount of money consensus every game, infact 54% is low for their consensus. Virtually no bets amount wise on the money line here but this is a spot I may look at Iowa 22% on the money line +203 for you sports investors

San Jose State -5.5 vs. Air Force SJSU won 17-7 last year. Based on last year how bout an under right here, but I don't bet totals so my pick is Air Force money line.

Kennesaw State -9.5 vs. New Mexico Kennesaw State 6-2 ATS - First meeting ever

SDSU -7 vs. Hawaii SDSU 7-1 ATS - SDSU has won five years in a row but last years was a 27-24 victory.

Army -6.5 vs. Temple 6-3 ATS Temple - Army won 42-14 last year but Temple is improved. Army money line played from a live bet position. Temple played Navy really tough before a one point loss. -250 should be played live bet as if Temple gets a lead which at some point they may then jump on the live bet even money.

Ohio State -28.5 vs Purdue - Buckeyes are 7-0-1 ATS for the season. Was 45-0 last year, and is 9-0 vs Purdue in Columbus. Do I need to say anything else? Buckeyes -29.5

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