Épisodes

  • More Pain Ahead Or Buy The Dip?

    More Pain Ahead Or Buy The Dip?
    Nov 23 2025
    The Nasdaq has now sold off nearly 10% from the highs, and the pain in momentum assets is even more severe. Alf and Brent discuss whether there are reasons to believe more pain lies ahead, or this is the time to step in and buy the dip.
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    30 min
  • ''Run It Hot'': The Comeback?

    ''Run It Hot'': The Comeback?
    Nov 14 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the resurgence of the ''run it hot'' trade: Trump floating around new fiscal stimulus and government reopening odds seem to have revived the trade. How to best approach markets going forward? Want to reach out to Alf or Brent? Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg chat, or alf@themacrocompass.com Brent Donnelly on Bloomberg chat, or bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
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    28 min
  • We Have A Deal: Now What?

    We Have A Deal: Now What?
    Oct 31 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the market reaction to the ''deal'' between Trump and Xi: what happens next? The duo also covers the Fed and BoJ decisions, the state of the AI trade, and the Supreme Court hearings on tariffs starting next week. Want to reach out to Alf or Brent? Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg chat, or alf@palinurocapital.comBrent Donnelly on Bloomberg chat, or bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com
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    31 min
  • Momentum Shock: What Next For Markets?

    Momentum Shock: What Next For Markets?
    Oct 23 2025
    Have a great macro trade idea for Alf and Brent to discuss on the show? Send your trade idea here: ⁠TMTF Trade Of The Week Alf and Brent discuss the vicious momentum unwind which took down precious metals and various speculative stock market sectors: what should we expect now? The duo also discusses the upcoming US CPI, and take a step back to assess the big picture macro setup we will likely face for the next 6-9 months.
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    29 min
  • Gold & Cockroaches

    Gold & Cockroaches
    Oct 17 2025
    Have a great macro trade idea for Alf and Brent to discuss on the show? Send your trade idea here: TMTF Trade Of The Week In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the massive rally in precious metals: what's behind it? Is it a broad debasement theme or just a big momentum trade? And is Dimon right when he talks about more cockroaches in credit markets?
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    32 min
  • Buy The Bubble or Watch It Burst?

    Buy The Bubble or Watch It Burst?
    Oct 10 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the massive AI-driven rally which is beginning to have strong implications for broader markets and the economy. Brent presents the consensus view from several hedge fund PMs he met in Singapore - are they riding the bubble or afraid it's going to burst soon? And what about bonds, gold, and the USD?
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    35 min
  • Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?

    Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?
    Sep 6 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the recent NFP print and its implications for markets. They also reflect on the right framework to apply to RSI and options when dealing with asset classes having skewed return distributions.
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    33 min
  • The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance

    The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance
    Aug 29 2025
    Alf and Brent discuss the latest attempt from Trump to gain more control over the Fed, and the implications this might have on multiple asset classes. They also discuss the JPY and the political situation in France.
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    29 min