Thinking in Bets
Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Échec de l'ajout au panier.
Échec de l'ajout à la liste d'envies.
Échec de la suppression de la liste d’envies.
Échec du suivi du balado
Ne plus suivre le balado a échoué
0,99 $/mois pendant vos 3 premiers mois
Thinking in Bets
Acheter pour 20,40 $
-
Narrateur(s):
-
Annie Duke
-
Auteur(s):
-
Annie Duke
À propos de cet audio
“A big favorite among investors these days.”—The New York Times
“Outstanding.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?
Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.
By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
Vous pourriez aussi aimer...
-
Quit
- The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away
- Auteur(s): Annie Duke
- Narrateur(s): Annie Duke
- Durée: 7 h et 43 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global45
-
Performance39
-
Histoire38
From the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets comes a toolkit for mastering the skill of quitting to achieve greater success Business leaders, with millions of dollars down the drain, struggle to abandon a new app or product that just isn’t working. Governments, caught in a hopeless...
-
-
As good as or better than her prior books!
- Écrit par Julien Dion le 2024-04-19
Auteur(s): Annie Duke
-
How to Decide
- Simple Tools for Making Better Choices
- Auteur(s): Annie Duke
- Narrateur(s): Annie Duke
- Durée: 6 h et 39 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global51
-
Performance45
-
Histoire44
Through a blend of compelling exercises and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're...
-
-
Practical and enjoyble in the same time
- Écrit par SavioRoca le 2020-12-26
Auteur(s): Annie Duke
-
How to Day Trade: The Plain Truth
- Auteur(s): Ross Cameron
- Narrateur(s): Ross Cameron
- Durée: 4 h et 31 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global6
-
Performance5
-
Histoire5
If you want to know the truth about what professional day trading is like—and how to get started with a solid foundation—then this will be the most important book you'll listen to all year. Ross Cameron is the guy who turned an initial investment of $583 into more than $10 million. No, his results aren't typical—and in fact, day trading didn’t come easily to him. This book describes what it's really like to go from knowing nothing about day trading to becoming highly successful at it.
-
-
The honest truth
- Écrit par Jaime A. le 2025-06-06
Auteur(s): Ross Cameron
-
The Mental Game of Trading
- A System for Solving Problems with Greed, Fear, Anger, Confidence, and Discipline
- Auteur(s): Jared Tendler
- Narrateur(s): Jared Tendler
- Durée: 9 h et 44 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global86
-
Performance56
-
Histoire54
If you are like most traders, you probably overlook or misunderstand mental and emotional obstacles. While many trading psychology books offer sound advice, they don't show you how to do the necessary work. That's why you haven't solved the problems hurting your performance. With straight talk and practical solutions, Jared Tendler brings a new voice to trading psychology. In The Mental Game of Trading, he busts myths about emotions, greed, and discipline, and shows you how to look past the obvious to identify the real reasons you're struggling.
-
-
Good, but outlines an unnecessary path to success
- Écrit par Neil le 2021-07-05
Auteur(s): Jared Tendler
-
Mastering the Market Cycle
- Getting the Odds on Your Side
- Auteur(s): Howard Marks
- Narrateur(s): LJ Ganser, Howard Marks
- Durée: 9 h et 39 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global142
-
Performance118
-
Histoire117
The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result.
-
-
Good review on market cycles...
- Écrit par Randy charko le 2019-02-14
Auteur(s): Howard Marks
-
Trading for a Living
- Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management
- Auteur(s): Alexander Elder
- Narrateur(s): Richard Davison
- Durée: 2 h et 58 min
- Version abrégée
-
Au global123
-
Performance93
-
Histoire94
A hundred-thousand investors have turned to this best-selling guide for mastering successful trading by Dr. Alexander Elder, a professional trader, a world-classs expert in technical analysis, and a practicing psychiatrist. He believes that successful trading is based on three M's: Mind, Method, and Money. Trading for a Living helps discipline your Mind, shows you the Methods for trading the markets, and show you have to manage Money in your trading accounts.
-
-
Absolutely loved it.
- Écrit par Leo le 2020-04-11
Auteur(s): Alexander Elder
-
Quit
- The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away
- Auteur(s): Annie Duke
- Narrateur(s): Annie Duke
- Durée: 7 h et 43 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global45
-
Performance39
-
Histoire38
From the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets comes a toolkit for mastering the skill of quitting to achieve greater success Business leaders, with millions of dollars down the drain, struggle to abandon a new app or product that just isn’t working. Governments, caught in a hopeless...
-
-
As good as or better than her prior books!
- Écrit par Julien Dion le 2024-04-19
Auteur(s): Annie Duke
-
How to Decide
- Simple Tools for Making Better Choices
- Auteur(s): Annie Duke
- Narrateur(s): Annie Duke
- Durée: 6 h et 39 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global51
-
Performance45
-
Histoire44
Through a blend of compelling exercises and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're...
-
-
Practical and enjoyble in the same time
- Écrit par SavioRoca le 2020-12-26
Auteur(s): Annie Duke
-
How to Day Trade: The Plain Truth
- Auteur(s): Ross Cameron
- Narrateur(s): Ross Cameron
- Durée: 4 h et 31 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global6
-
Performance5
-
Histoire5
If you want to know the truth about what professional day trading is like—and how to get started with a solid foundation—then this will be the most important book you'll listen to all year. Ross Cameron is the guy who turned an initial investment of $583 into more than $10 million. No, his results aren't typical—and in fact, day trading didn’t come easily to him. This book describes what it's really like to go from knowing nothing about day trading to becoming highly successful at it.
-
-
The honest truth
- Écrit par Jaime A. le 2025-06-06
Auteur(s): Ross Cameron
-
The Mental Game of Trading
- A System for Solving Problems with Greed, Fear, Anger, Confidence, and Discipline
- Auteur(s): Jared Tendler
- Narrateur(s): Jared Tendler
- Durée: 9 h et 44 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global86
-
Performance56
-
Histoire54
If you are like most traders, you probably overlook or misunderstand mental and emotional obstacles. While many trading psychology books offer sound advice, they don't show you how to do the necessary work. That's why you haven't solved the problems hurting your performance. With straight talk and practical solutions, Jared Tendler brings a new voice to trading psychology. In The Mental Game of Trading, he busts myths about emotions, greed, and discipline, and shows you how to look past the obvious to identify the real reasons you're struggling.
-
-
Good, but outlines an unnecessary path to success
- Écrit par Neil le 2021-07-05
Auteur(s): Jared Tendler
-
Mastering the Market Cycle
- Getting the Odds on Your Side
- Auteur(s): Howard Marks
- Narrateur(s): LJ Ganser, Howard Marks
- Durée: 9 h et 39 min
- Version intégrale
-
Au global142
-
Performance118
-
Histoire117
The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result.
-
-
Good review on market cycles...
- Écrit par Randy charko le 2019-02-14
Auteur(s): Howard Marks
-
Trading for a Living
- Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management
- Auteur(s): Alexander Elder
- Narrateur(s): Richard Davison
- Durée: 2 h et 58 min
- Version abrégée
-
Au global123
-
Performance93
-
Histoire94
A hundred-thousand investors have turned to this best-selling guide for mastering successful trading by Dr. Alexander Elder, a professional trader, a world-classs expert in technical analysis, and a practicing psychiatrist. He believes that successful trading is based on three M's: Mind, Method, and Money. Trading for a Living helps discipline your Mind, shows you the Methods for trading the markets, and show you have to manage Money in your trading accounts.
-
-
Absolutely loved it.
- Écrit par Leo le 2020-04-11
Auteur(s): Alexander Elder
Ce que les critiques en disent
"A compact guide to probabilistic domains like poker, or venture capital... Recommend for people operating in the real world." –Marc Andreessen
“Outstanding.” –Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal
"Duke’s discussion is full of wisdom and also of fun, warmth, humor and humanity. Her sharp, data-driven analysis comes with a large lesson, which is that losers should be willing to forgive themselves: Sometimes the right play just doesn’t work." –Cass Sunstein, co-author of Nudge
"An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." –Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting
"Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it." –Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind
"The insights Duke offers in this book are incredibly helpful when we contemplate decisions in the face of multiple possible outcomes, and that renders her book enormously applicable to the world of investing." –Howard Marks, co-chairman, Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing
"Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk. We can all learn how to make better decisions by learning from someone who made choices for a living, with millions on the line." –Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better
"Brilliant. Buy ten copies and give one to everyone you work with. It's that good." –Seth Godin, author of The Icarus Deception
"A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis." –Olivia Fox Cabane, author of The Net and the Butterfly
“A highly-readable balance between memorable, real-world analogies and hardcore behavioral science studies... The book is packed with insights.” –John Greathouse, Forbes
I'd recommend this book to others, but not to myself
Good first step, beginner level (don't go deep like NNT)
Un problème est survenu. Veuillez réessayer dans quelques minutes.
She is very clear at the beginning of the book it is not a book about poker — there are many references to the decision process that happens while playing poker, but this is not a poker strategy book. It is a great introduction to the other books and case studies referenced throughout.
Good overview of decision making strategy
Un problème est survenu. Veuillez réessayer dans quelques minutes.
Changed the way I view the way I make decisions
Un problème est survenu. Veuillez réessayer dans quelques minutes.
going to listen again, right away!
Un problème est survenu. Veuillez réessayer dans quelques minutes.
How to to break your personal projected narrative
Un problème est survenu. Veuillez réessayer dans quelques minutes.