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Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer Ted Pick started summing up his outlook after Wall Street’s banner year for trading with four words: “The setup is ideal.”

After Wall Street’s five giant banks reported a record $134 billion of trading revenue from last year and an upswing in dealmaking, Pick and peers agreed it’s poised to continue — albeit with caveats.

“As a student of these businesses for decades, I would bet you that 2021 is not the ceiling,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc. CEO David Solomon said, referring to the last record year for lenders’ trading businesses. “The world is set up at the moment to be incredibly constructive in 2026 for M&A and capital markets activity, and I think the likely scenario is it is a very, very good year.”

President Donald Trump’s turbulent policy changes and trade talks have kept investors on edge — but for bank traders that has kept paying off as clients rush to reposition their portfolios. At the same time, his administration’s deregulatory efforts and the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cuts are reviving a moribund environment for mergers and acquisitions — quickly filling dealmakers’ pipelines.

As Morgan Stanley and Goldman posted quarterly results Thursday after reports from their largest rivals earlier in the week, the market-centric firms added to predictions for another bumper year for Wall Street operations. That contrasted with other corners of banking, such as credit-card units that have come under threat as Trump demands a cap on interest rates. Industry executives have been fielding questions about how they may respond to that, even as they themselves await information from the White House.

Today's show features:

• Bloomberg News Chief Wall Street Correspondent Sri Natarajan breaks down earnings from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and Cathy Seifert, Vice President of CFRA Research, on BlackRock’s quarterly earnings and outlook
• Andrejka Bernatova, Founder and CEO of Dynamix, on why she believes smaller energy companies have a chance to benefit from US action in Venezuela
• Bloomberg Intelligence Global Head of Technology Research Mandeep Singh on earnings from TSMC and the health of the semiconductor sector
• Emily Green, Head of Private Wealth Management at Ellevest, on financial planning and portfolio management strategies

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Carolyn Tisch Blodgett is the CEO and founder of Next 3, where she oversees the investment and management of a portfolio of assets in the sports, media and entertainment space. She invests across teams, leagues and technologies including Gotham FC of the National Women's Soccer League, TGL and Los Angeles Golf Club, LOVB, Transmit.Live, Jackpot.com and more. Tisch Blodgett also serves as the governor of the reigning NWSL champions, where she is the lead owner across the business. Under her leadership, the Gotham FC has seen significant growth across fan attendance, revenue and on-field performance and league-record sponsorship deals.

The increasingly popular league is facing challenges, however, as top European leagues and other organizations drive up the price tags for top players. Carolyn discusses the financial health of the NWSL as well as the growth surge in women's sports more broadly with Carol Massar, Tim Stenovec and Bloomberg News Sports Reporter Vanessa Perdomo on Bloomberg Businessweek Daily.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.

Germany will take the lead of European nations sending military personnel to Greenland after Denmark said its meeting with top US officials intent on controlling the world’s biggest island revealed that a “fundamental disagreement” remains.

The decision to dispatch reinforcements to the Arctic territory as early as this week highlights the urgency with which European nations seek to respond to US threats over Greenland. A meeting of foreign ministers from Denmark and Greenland with US Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Washington failed to dispel the specter of a US takeover.
On Thursday, Germany’s “exploration mission” of 13 soldiers will arrive in Nuuk as European nations begin to work out how to ensure security in the region. Their task will be to “explore the framework conditions for possible military contributions to support Denmark in ensuring security in the region, for example, for maritime surveillance capabilities,” according to a statement from the German defense ministry.

France will participate in the joint drills in Greenland this week, according to the defense ministry’s press office, which provided no details.

In addition, Sweden is sending “several officers,” Norway two persons and the UK one officer. The reconnaissance group is visiting the island ahead of the planned “Arctic Endurance” training exercise, UK Defense Minister John Healey told reporters in Sweden. Denmark on Wednesday said the drill with North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies would become a permanent fixture.

Today's show features:

• Ed Price, Senior Non-Resident Fellow at New York University, on Western Europe's response to President Donald Trump's Greenland overtures and why some allies of Russian President Vladimir Putin are concerned that he is abandoning them
• Matt Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley on the market outlook and potential impact of the Supreme Court’s pending tariff ruling
• Karin Kimbrough, Chief Economist at LinkedIn on Wednesday’s retail and PPI reports as well as a new report detailing the impact of AI on the US labor market
• Michael Townsend, Managing Director of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs at Schwab, on expectations for the pending Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA tariffs and renewed legal action against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.