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New Horizons Investment

New Horizons Investment

Auteur(s): Odd Bird
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À propos de cet audio

This podcast is designed to introduce new investors to investing.Odd Bird Finances personnelles Économie
Épisodes
  • Superinvestor 10-Bagger Signal Framework
    Oct 14 2025

    This podcast details a quantitative behavioral model designed to identify potential "10-bagger" stocks by analyzing the public trading patterns of elite hedge fund managers, often referred to as superinvestors. It presents a "Top 20 Buy Rules" based on conviction levels, price ranges, and behavioral signals (like averaging down or co-buying) from figures such as Ainslie, Meridian, and Burry. The podcast gets into the analysis then breaks down this system into a structured Superinvestor Signal Framework, which assigns weights to five categories—Conviction Strength, Co-Buying, Price/Valuation Band, Behavioral Follow-Through, and Historical Pattern Match—to generate a Total Score for screening stocks. The podcast offers a detailed plan and spreadsheet structure for developing this model into a practical, repeatable tool using 13F filing data for future investment analysis.

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    23 min
  • Burry-Style Value Stocks for the AI Bubble
    Oct 11 2025

    This podcast provides an analysis of what Michael Burry, famous for his value investing philosophy, might purchase in a potential Artificial Intelligence (AI) bubble environment, contrasting with his dot-com era picks. It lists fifteen "Burry-like" stocks for late 2025, emphasizing value and ignored sectors such as shipping, legacy media, and regional banks rather than hype. These potential investments share common traits, including a low price-to-book ratio, positive cash flow, and manageable debt, and the text also offers value screens, like EV/EBITDA < 6 and P/FCF < 10, for readers to find similar stocks themselves. The podcast suggests that the investing advantage lies in seeking value in forgotten companies while the market focuses on AI.

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    14 min
  • Ring Energy (REI) Deep Value Investment Thesis
    Oct 7 2025

    This podcast is an investment thesis for Ring Energy (REI), dated October 2025, recommending the stock as a deep value opportunity in the Permian Basin. The core argument rests on what the thesis calls the "3 Unders": the company is undervalued versus peers, trading significantly below metrics like EV/EBITDA and book value; it is underfollowed and misunderstood due to its micro-cap status and outdated bear narratives regarding its balance sheet; and it has underappreciated execution and catalysts, including strong free cash flow generation and potential as an M&A target. Financial metrics indicate the company is trading at a low multiple of cash flow, which is being used to aggressively reduce debt, leading the author to project significant upside potential under conservative, base, and bull case scenarios.

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    13 min
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