Tennessee 84% UT 23-17 UT won last year but haven't won in Gainesville since 2003. Tennessee -4 84% consensus. The Gators put up a fight so if you want Tennessee then wait and take them live bet. Still I think the number is as low as it because the Gators at home vs. Tennessee and you can throw out the records. Florida +4.5

Georgia Tech 63% -3 vs. Pitt – Pat Narduzzi is 6-1 vs GT, last meeting was 2022. The number here is awfully low with GT being only favored by 3. 98% money line on the Jackets -140. See all the consensus and no line move? Thats because despite all the bets on the Yellow Jackets this is still a bad matchup for GT. Pitt +3

Kentucky +9.5 Consensus finds the lump of money on the Wildcats money line here 86% of 20K on the Wildcats +289. Kentucky on a win streak and needs one more win to get bowl eligible. Vanderbilt has gone 2-2 last 4 vs UK but last years game was a 20-13 Vandy win, however the Commodores haven't won in Nashville vs. UK since 2015, and Coach Stoops is 8-3 vs. Vanderbilt. Kentucky +9.5

BYU vs Cincinnati 86% BYU All-time 3-0 vs. UC however none since 2022. UC still with a shot to make the Big Twelve Championship Game as well with a win in its last two games and help. BYU needs to win out to make B12 Championship Game. BYU-2.5

OU -7.5 vs Missouri- Missouri won 30-23 last year, that is the only recent history matchup. However Missouri hasn't won in Norman since 1966. I think that Oklahoma's defense will have to carry them to have a chance to cover. This is another where live bet may the way to go so you won't have to lay the big number. Oklahoma covers by a score of 21-10 is my pick.

USC +10 vs. Oregon USC 70% The Trojans basically make this one a playoff game for their chances to make the playoffs and what that might do to the Ducks positioning as well because if they fall back to two losses what a position they would have put themselves in being at the mercy of the committee. Last meeting was two years ago and Oregon won by 9. While none are from the immediate future and USC does own the overall matchup record the Ducks have won 3 in a row in the series. Think the Ducks win but give me the Trojans and the ten. USC +10

James Madison -13.5

As always best of luck and enjoy your Saturday

NCAA Football November 8, 2025

Indiana -15 vs Penn State - I/U 6-3 ATS - Penn State 25-2 All-time vs. Indiana, but this is the best IU team so far and they are laying the huge number because of Penn State being marked as down for the year. Other than losing their QB really this is gut check time for the Nittany Lions having to face #1 and then #2 back to back. Penn State is 13-0 all time at home vs. IU. When you see all this history then you see the Hoosiers favored by that much its because their backers have been running consensus. This year may be the one for the Hoosiers with their number 1 scoring offense and there # 3 scoring defense, 87% consensus pick is the Hoosiers. Still I think Penn State may be a trap game for the Hoosiers, the games they haven't covered have been road games in the Big Ten. Penn State +15.

Georgia -8.5 vs. Miss St - Mississippi State 8-1 ATS - Was 41-31 Last year UGA's way. UGA 3-5 ATS. Georgia Bulldogs who are 77% consensus pick face the Mississippi State cover machine. This matchup has favored Georgia with them being 14-1 last 15 vs MSU, 10 of the 14 wins by double digits. I know MSU has been on fire ATS but I like Georgia in this spot here. Georgia -8.5

Texas A&M -7 vs. Missouri - 4-4 ATS for the Aggies, 4-3-1 ATS for Missouri, the game went the Aggies way last year 41-10. Last year same place but A&M went up 24-0 at half time. Missouri has one of the nations top 10 running backs, but if they can't slow the Aggies it'll be a long afternoon. 72% on the Aggies consensus, but even though there is the tendency to say this will go exactly like last years game, I would expect Missouri to want to run the ball as much as they can stay in 3rd down and short instead of 3rd and long. I think the Aggies even though they blew out LSU in the second half may keep it close in the first. If you have the chance to Live bet this may be a chance where you may not have to lay the whole -7 because Missouri is likely to keep it close in the first half, they covered and even had their chances vs. Alabama at home. I think with some injuries at running back the Aggies may have to win a close one here. Missouri +7

Texas Tech -10 vs. BYU - Tech is 8-1 ATS, BYU 6-2 ATS - Last meeting was 2023. Texas Tech #3 in scoring offense, number 5 in scoring defense. Still this is an interesting game because BYU is undefeated, they have won outright as a big underdog this season, they finally got past the Holy War with Utah and run into a Tech team is with one loss right behind the undefeated Cougars in the standings for the playoffs. Does a loss here knock the other out of the playoffs? Possibly, which is why I'm going to take the Cougars and know this one could go the other way but BYU players are older and more mature, BYU+10

Alabama -10 vs. LSU Bama 5-2-1 ATS - Bama won 42-13 last year, 42-28 two years ago. Bama clearly the better team and LSU is now inferior to when they were gonna be a playoff team right? Thats what makes LSU dangerous because they lost their primary goals and have to play the rest of the season. Alabama -10

Oregon -6.5 vs. Iowa 5-3 ATS for the Ducks, Iowa 5-2-1- Not played since 1994. In Iowa they put the visitors in a pink locker room for psychological purposes. This is Big Ten play here on the road in that tough environment. 46 % on Iowa +6.5, but the Ducks have a huge amount of money consensus every game, infact 54% is low for their consensus. Virtually no bets amount wise on the money line here but this is a spot I may look at Iowa 22% on the money line +203 for you sports investors

San Jose State -5.5 vs. Air Force SJSU won 17-7 last year. Based on last year how bout an under right here, but I don't bet totals so my pick is Air Force money line.

Kennesaw State -9.5 vs. New Mexico Kennesaw State 6-2 ATS - First meeting ever

SDSU -7 vs. Hawaii SDSU 7-1 ATS - SDSU has won five years in a row but last years was a 27-24 victory.

Army -6.5 vs. Temple 6-3 ATS Temple - Army won 42-14 last year but Temple is improved. Army money line played from a live bet position. Temple played Navy really tough before a one point loss. -250 should be played live bet as if Temple gets a lead which at some point they may then jump on the live bet even money.

Ohio State -28.5 vs Purdue - Buckeyes are 7-0-1 ATS for the season. Was 45-0 last year, and is 9-0 vs Purdue in Columbus. Do I need to say anything else? Buckeyes -29.5

NCAA Football November 1 2025

K State has been traditionally the worst place for Texas Tech but the sign of times that Tech has arrived for this season is them laying -7 on the road in Manhattan Kansas. What happens to road teams is like think and grow rich bad vibrations but Texas Tech is the consensus pick because this team is supposed to make the playoff. I'll take the home team here and if I get beat then it will be the first time in while that road conference opponent came in and covered a touchdown, K state has won 8 in row SU vs. Tech. K State +7

Texas - 3 This game was 27-24 last year and that was in Nashville but this isn't where I'd want my money because it's going to be a close game. Give me Commodores. Vanderbilt +120 that is a 31% consensus pick.

Tennessee - money line 25-15 last year out in Oklahoma the Vols way, and just worked security at the Kentucky game so they blew us out. 59% consensus on UT here but they may want to play the under based on last years game, but I am not playing totals.

Duke vs Clemson - No action yet on Clemson they are 29% consensus to be able to tell anything, but this is Dabo Sweeney off a bye week at home against a team that beat him 28-7 last time they met but Duke hasn't won in Death Valley since 1980. Give me the Tigers -3.

Ohio State vs. Penn State 8 times in row this has gone the Buckeyes way but not one of the 8 by 19 or more points which is a wow factor to it. A look at consensus and 81% is laying that 20.5, but I think they are insane. Penn State is going to have to run the ball and try to shorten the game. The Buckeyes strength is on defense the total at 45.5 and we see 97 % consensus on the over. I don't know I was thinking under here but I pass on the total because consensus the other way, here anyways because it was 20-12 20-13 last two matchups, and give me the Buckeyes maybe 33-10 for their biggest win in the series since 2016.

Homecoming game for the Wolfpack and what a better way to celebrate than getting 5.5 points at home. The last years game was 30-29 and this year is in Raleigh on homecoming. Consensus here going the other way 71% on the road team Yellow Jackets ranked in the top 10. I'll take the Wolfpack +5.5

Ole Miss 94% +174 @ Oklahoma Ole Miss +5.5 73% vs. Oklahoma. Last year was a 26-14 Rebels victory. I like against the spread and money line here Ole Miss.

Arkansas 92% -140 vs Auburn – Arkansas won 24-14 last year causing 5 turnovers. Closer game maybe this year but I'll go with Petrino. Arkansas -140

Vandy 88% -140 vs Missouri 67% ATS This game could go either way as well just like the money line consensus is Vanderbilt the ATS consensus is Missouri. Missouri escaped last year with a win 30-27 game. As an SEC fan I root for the underdogs except they are the favorites in this game so I'm gonna stick with Vanderbilt.

Iowa State -145 vs BYU 45-13 Cyclones way but that was two years ago. I guess the cornerbacks are back healthy as they are on two game losing streak because of those injuries but still the offense only put up 17 last week in a loss at Colorado.

Texas A&M 92% -140 @ LSU was 38-23 Aggies was last year however they haven't won in Baton Rouge since 1994. I'm gonna buck consensus on this one and take LSU who can't afford to lose anymore because of playoffs but A&M could lose and still make playoffs. LSU Tigers is my pick.

Baylor +3.5 @ Cincinnati – Two years ago was 32-29 and you can bet this is gonna be a close game either way it goes. I'll take the points Baylor +3.5

NC State +6.5 84 % @ Pitt on NC State despite Pitt pulling off the cover against Syracuse last week. Sides haven't met since 2020. Right now I'm gonna pass on this game because I feel like Pitt at home is scary, they had Louisville down and let them come back. NC State +6.5

Purdue 92% vs. Rutgers Haven't met since 2020, they are the consensus pick but some communities online are to the contrary with Rutgers here. I'll just don't trust Purdue, give me Rutgers right here.

Wake +3 83% vs SMU – SMU hasn't lost since coming into the conference but no recent meetings. They just beat Clemson while Wake just beat Oregon State. Consensus is on Wake but I'll take the road team Mustangs SMU -3.

Mississippi State +7.5 vs Texas – Its more road football in the SEC for Arch Manning and Texas. Consensus on the Cowbells at home, but it was 35-13 last year Texas' way and I think the Longhorns cover here. Texas -7.5

Houston +7.5 @Arizona State Haven't met since 1990 in what looked like a basketball score 62-45. Consensus on Houston and if they can move the ball they should be able to hang close here. Houston +7.5

Duke -2.5 vs GT consensus on the Devils but last year it was GT winning 24-14.

UCLA -160 vs. Maryland Consensus on the Bruins with this being first meeting between sides since 54-55.

Texas A&M -7.5 @ Arkansas Was Texas A&M 21-17 last year in Fayetteville the Aggies left with the 4 point victory.

UCF -7.5 vs. WV – The past two years its been the Mountaineers who came away with victory, 31-21 last year and 41-28.

Clemson -5.5 vs SMU 34-31 Clemson won narrowly last year.

LSU @ Vandy 24-17 Tigers way last year with the series not having a Vandy win since 1976.

UNLV +13 @ Boise State – Was 21-7 Broncos way last year.

Florida -9.5 consensus 13 % vs Mississippi State – Was 45-28 Gators way last year at State, this one is in Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

OSU -25 @ Wisconsin Two years ago was 24-10 Buckeyes win.

Texas -12.5 vs UK 31-14 last year Texas in Lexington

Oregon -17.5 vs. Rutgers – First Meeting

Bama -8 vs Tennessee – Tennessee won last year in Knoxville 24-17

Oklahoma -5 vs. South Carolina – Was 35-9 the Gamecocks way.

Cuse +10 vs Pitt Pitt won 41-13 last year at the Carrier Dome.

Alabama -3 @ Mizzouri – Alabama has won 6 in row in the matchup with the last one being 2024. 76% consensus.

USC -2.5 vs. Michigan – Only matchup not in the Rose Bowl was a 2024 27-24 Michigan win. 72% consensus on the Trojans at home.

Georgia -3.5 @ Auburn – UGA 8-1, winning last 8 under coach Smart.

Navy -10 vs. Temple – Navy won 38-11 last meeting in 2024.

Army -18.5 vs Charlotte – First meeting ever

Clemson -14 vs. BC – Clemson has won the last 12 meetings

FSU -10.5 vs. Pitt Only 3 meetings since Pitt joined ACC, FSU 2-1 in those years ago games.

Michigan State -7.5 vs UCLA – First matchup since 1974

Texas Tech -14.5 vs Kansas – TTU 91% consensus 23-2 all-time for Tech vs. Kansas 2023, last meeting was 16-13 Texas Tech.

Tennessee -12.5 vs Arkansas – 77% on the home team Vols, last year it was 19-14 with Arkansas upsetting the Vols

Air Force +6.5 vs UNLV – Consensus on UNLV here but I am not. UNLV won the most recent matchup in 2023 so it really isn't relevant but Air Force is 18-7 all time vs. UNLV

Purdue +7.5 66% Consensus @ Minnesota Haven't met since 2023 programs have overhauled since.

Texas A&M -8 vs Florida Consensus on the Aggies, the game went 33-20 last year the Aggies way.

Ohio State -14.5 – First meeting in last 8 years

Oklahoma vs Texas 59 % on the Sooners, Texas went 34-3 last years meeting.

Oregon -7 vs. Indiana – 67 % of 55k consensus on the Ducks, first meeting since 2004.

Vikings -3.5 Browns in London – The Vikings here my pick of course you may want to hope for a live bet but I think Flores will be causing problems for Gabriel in his first NFL start, its in a foreign country and the Vikings just played in Ireland last week. Minnesota -3.5

Cowboys ml at jets I know the Cowboys defense has looked back at times but this is the Jets here, Dak beat them 31-10 a few years ago. The Cowboys haven't won in New York since 2003, but the two sides only meet every four years. 95% consensus money line on the Cowboys, as I know the Jets are looking for their first win but Dallas is looking they could be outscoring people all year who knows.

Raiders 10 % +7 at colts Consensus all 90% on the Colts -7, but I'll go with Geno Smith as the 7 point underdog. Colts haven't beat Raiders by 7 or more in a game in Indianopolis since 2004. Las Vegas +7 and OVER 48.

Giants +2 71 % vs Saints After thinking about it this is also the best chance for the Saints to not go winless, they are favored and this is a tough road environment. I'll take the Saints and UNDER 42, which is a fade of the ATS consensus but inline with money line consensus.

Texans -130 vs Baltimore – Ravens still taking in money consensus as we are finally gonna see a healthy dose of Henry 61% consensus still on the Ravens, but I think its the Texans who will pull off the win with Huntley at QB for the Ravens and the defense not looking that well either. Houston has never won in Baltimore they are 0-8. My pick the Texans who's defense plays pretty well as of late. It would be a historic win for the Texans franchise.

Eagles -4 vs. Broncos Broncos haven't won in Philly since 1986, and I don't expect this to be their day either. Philadelphia 69% consensus -4, 87% consensus on the money line.

Dolphins vs. Panthers Dolphins haven't won in Carolina since 09 game is 51 and 49 Carolinas way on money line consensus. 59% ATS -1 Miami way. This game is a toss up recent history of 23 the last meeting but that was in Miami. Bryce Young is also decisively better at home than his horrible record. I'll take the Panthers money line.

Cardinals -8 vs. Titans Don't trust either team here, for picking for pick sake Cardinals -8 but my pick here is the Under 41. I'm thinking a 20-14 win would get it done here so lay those points or don't because the Titans are desperate to try to get off the mat themselves. Under 41

Lions -10.5 vs Bengals Detroit hasn't won in Cincinnati since 1992. For whatever reason maybe the Lions don't fare well in the jungle. There goes the entire argument for Bengals because from what we seen since the Burrow injury wagering too much on the Bengals seems like an entirely foolish operation. For the podcast and because that is a local game I just hope the Bengals can keep it within 10. Bengals +10.5 but 92% consensus is not, they are on the Lions -10.5.

Chargers -3 vs. Washington. Not since 1986 has the Washington franchise won a road game at the Chargers franchise. After last week I look for the Chargers to get back at it after the loss. I would just money line instead of laying 3 because they have a way of winning by 3. Chargers 79% consensus

Seahawks -3.5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven't won in Seattle since 2009. 61% consensus on the road team Buccaneers. I think Seattle is a much improved team this year and that is why they are favored against a Tampa squad that doesn't always fare well without Mike Evans 3-10 all-time when he is out for injury or suspension. Seattle -3.5

Chiefs vs. Jaguars We've seen this matchup the last 8 times go KC's way, and this will be a true barometer for how much have the Jags improved. Still until they win this game I can't see it happening because recent matchups have gone only KC. Chiefs -190, but if you wait you'll be able to get this one at even money as at some point I would say Jacksonville has to want the lead. Chiefs money line its only 57% consensus as the Jags money line appears to be the pick at a lot of places, but I'll have to see it to believe it. 78 % on Chiefs -3.5.

Bills -9 87% consensus as the "Bills Mafia" looks for a cover. That has not been the way of the matchup however. It looks like they would've covered that 4 out 9 times they played, with the last 4 having been close. You can expect New England to be running the ball. No love at the betting window for the Patriots. Bills -9.

As always best of luck and enjoy your Sunday.

NFL Week 5

We start in Cincinnati where the Bearcats are taking consensus some 65%. Buyer beware the Cyclones have won the past two matchups in this series including a 30-10 win two years ago on the road just as this game is. My pick here is the Cyclones against the consensus. Iowa State -108 money line is the pick as they do bring back the QB and coaching staff from last years 34-17 win vs. the Bearcats.

App State host Oregon State in an early game for the west coast team. Consensus ATS and money line is on App State. I'll follow the consensus here Appalachian State -120

Virginia Tech looks to get the ship righted they are -7 vs. Wake Forest. Wake traditionally has trouble with this team playing in VA. Two years ago the last matchup a 30-13 win for Va Tech. I'll take the Hokies, Virginia Tech -7

Kentucky vs. Georgia – Well last year the game was 13-12 UGA escaped Lexington with a win. Georgia has won 15 in a row in the series. This version of the Wildcats doesn't appear to really be able to compete with the SEC in league play. With this game coming the week after the Alabama game in which the DAWGS were upset doesn't bode well for the Wildcats. In 2024, 2022, 2020 and 2016 Kentucky was able to keep it close. The Cats have shown me nothing yet to say they will keep this close. Under 48.5 and Georgia -20 the two options as I see it.

Fresh off their win vs. FSU the Cavaliers and Virginia travel to Louisville. This is a tough matchup at the Cards have won 3 in row in the series. At -6.5 the Cards would've covered two of the last 3 as well with last years matchup only going 24-20 Louisville's way. Virginia can be tough to cover against because they run the ball well. After having to come back last week in Pittsburgh I think the Cardinals will want to start better at home. My pick U of L -6.5 of course try to get them even money should they fall behind here.

Nebraska the consensus favorite at around 66% laying -11.5 vs. Michigan State. While the Spartans haven't won in Lincoln since 2013 they have won two and four years ago in the most recent matchups. This Nebraska team is good but I'll take the Spartans with the points.

California 85% consensus vs. Duke, they have no recent matchup history here.

Florida hosting Texas in a year where things couldn't look much worse last year it was Texas 49-17. This one may have live bet opportunities depending how long the Gators stick around. My pick though is Texas -7.

Miami looks to make some noise from the state of Florida and let it go nation wide they are for real. 74 % consensus is the Hurricanes here. They won last year 36-14, my pick is Miami -4.