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Renowned statistician David Spiegelhalter shows how we can become better at dealing with what we don't know to make smarter choices in a world so full of puzzling variables. In lucid, lively prose, Spiegelhalter guides us through the principles of probability, illustrating how they can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to sports to climate change forecasts.

Statistics has played a leading role in our scientific understanding of the world for centuries, yet we are all familiar with the way statistical claims can be sensationalised, particularly in the media. In the age of big data, as data science becomes established as a discipline, a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever. In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter guides the listener through the essential principles we need in order to derive knowledge from data.

Neste livro que já se tornou um clássico, David Spiegelhalter — um dos maiores estatísticos da atualidade — combina a visão incomparável de um especialista com o entusiasmo de um aficionado e oferece um verdadeiro guia para explorarmos a arte dessa ciência que é muito mais do que um ramo da matemática. Em A arte da estatística, David Spiegelhalter utiliza a resolução de questões do mundo real como ponto de partida para introduzir conceitos estatísticos, dos simples aos mais complexos, sempre com notório didatismo.

An entertaining guide to the statistics of personal risk, The Norm Chronicles will enlighten anyone who has ever worried about the dangers we encounter in our daily lives.