• Bull Market Wiser Guys - Does Big Tech Sleep with the Fishes?
    Apr 8 2024

    The Money Runner" podcast, hosted by David Nelson, offers a no-nonsense approach to finance and investing. Shunning the complicated jargon of Wall Street, Nelson advocates for straightforward strategies.

    Throughout the episodes, he provides insights based on his extensive 25-year experience, tackling topics such as market timing, corporate finance dynamics, and economic indicators like the ISM PMI data. With a critical eye on both historical and current market trends, Nelson discusses the broader implications of the recent price weakness of Apple and Nvida's outside day in March.

    00:00 I Hate Smart Money Wise Guys
    01:06 Going against the grain
    01:52 Peter Lynch's Wisdom
    02:12 Market Timing Challenges
    02:34 Apple Peak?
    03:44 Energy Leads
    04:04 GE Split up
    04:27 ISM Data Double-Edged Sword
    04:57 The Terminator
    05:19 Fed Speak
    06:08 Technical Damage
    06:23 Nvidia Warning
    06:46 Market Event
    07:29 Closing

    Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."

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    9 mins
  • Ai, Fed Policy and Peak Apple: The Perfect Storm Hits Index Funds
    Mar 24 2024

    The Money Runner hosted by David Nelson dives deep into the heated debate between index funds and active management. There's a "perfect storm" brewing on the horizon. Ai, the Fed and Apple are colliding creating an opportunity too good to pass up.

    00:00 Index Funds vs Active Management
    00:33 Change is the True Constant
    00:55 The Perfect Storm
    01:36 Rise of Index Funds
    02:36 Interest Rates, Quantitative Easing
    03:47 Ai is the New Age of Compute
    05:54 Peak Apple
    06:45 Active Manager's Opportunity
    08:56 Call to Action

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    9 mins
  • Nvidia Earnings: An Apple moment or have analysts set it up to fail?
    Feb 26 2024

    Uncover the Truth Behind the Bull Run: Dive into the frenzy driving today's stock market highs and discover if your investments are at risk.

    Decode Nvidia's Earnings: Get an inside look at Nvidia's much-anticipated earnings report and what it means for the future of AI and your portfolio.

    Learn from History's Investment Lessons: Explore how past market predictions can guide today's investment strategies and help you avoid costly mistakes.

    Analysts Exposed: Find out how analysts' predictions might be inflating stock values and how to read between the lines.

    Identify the Real Market Risks: Unravel the broader dangers lurking in the market, from interest rates to the banking sector, and learn how to protect your investments.

    Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of

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    8 mins
  • Boom or Bust? 3 things that could end our love affair with tech stocks
    Jan 24 2024

    Join David Nelson, CFA for a very special episode of the Money Runner podcast. This is a deep dive into markets and tech stock valuations. Plus 3 things that could end the current love affair with technology shares. 

    Expert Analysis on Tech Stock Valuations: Explore the fascinating world of tech stocks, including companies like Nvidia and Apple, and understand what their current valuations mean for investors.

    Federal Reserve's Impact and Economic Indicators: Discover how Fed policies and economic indicators like inflation rates are shaping the investment environment and what that means for your portfolio.

    Geopolitical Factors Influencing Markets: Unpack the influence of global events, from tensions in Ukraine to issues in the Middle East, and their potential impact on the stock market and investment decisions.
    00:00 Head First
    01:17 Market Wizard
    01:36 Even the bulls are scratching their head
    02:04 Every time I'm on TV
    02:32 Is Apple Stock Expensive?
    02:48 Is Nvidia cheap or expensive?
    03:21 Dot.Com Bust
    03:56 2021 Bubble
    04:26 Irrational Exuberance
    05:25 Internet bubble bursts
    06:53 2024 vs 2021
    07:55 3 things that could end the part
    09:28 The Fed
    10:20 Geopolitical Tensions
    11:41 Investing is a journey not a sprint

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    13 mins
  • Dan Niles' 2024 Market Breakdown: Where the Rubber Hits the Road"
    Jan 13 2024

    Uncover Investment Insights for 2024 with Hedge Fund rocks star Dan Niles on The Money Runner! Join David Nelson as he delves into the crucial investment questions of "What's working, what didn't, and what's next' with Dan Niles founder & senior portfolio manager for the Satori Fund. This in-depth discussion offers valuable perspectives on 2023 and potential market surprises for 2024. 

    00:00 Where the Rubber Hits the Road
    00:51 Not afraid to make the big call
    01:38 Consensus has been wrong
    02:59 Apple
    03:54 Wide range of outcomes
    04:34 Fed will cut in March
    06:38 Market PE
    07:49 Down 30%
    10:17 Friday will be a good test
    11:32 Why Amazon?
    14:49 What makes a good short?
    16:58 Buying Intel at the bottom
    19:00 You need a catalyst
    19:53 China
    23:37 Massive deficits & De-dollarization

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    27 mins
  • Undercover Boss: How Google's Ad Empire Was Built $0.24 at a Time
    Jan 6 2024

    Join David Nelson, CFA host of the Money Runner Podcast for an exclusive interview with a tech luminary who navigated the high-stakes world of Silicon Valley, shaping the very internet we use today. From early days at eBay to pivotal roles at Google, Jeff Huber unveils the transformative power of data and the inside story of a leader at one of the world's most powerful tech companies. Discover the intricate culture of Google and learn how a focus on innovation and technology can drive monumental changes in industry and society. Finally, witness a bold leap into the future as we discuss the shift from ad revenue to the cutting-edge realm of life sciences and the massive potential of genome sequencing. This is a deep dive into the heart of technology's evolution and its leaders who dared to envision a different world.
    00:00 Intro
    00:32 eBay to Google
    01:48 At Home Network
    02:06 Where's my email?
    03:17 Let's talk about Google
    06:11 Google culture
    08:09 Undercover Boss
    08:36 Making money was unseemly
    10:12 3 significant challenges
    11:50 Inside view of Google culture
    12:52 "Google has done an admirable job.."
    15:26 Google X
    16:50 Illumina

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    18 mins
  • Every company is an AI company, even if they don't recognize it
    Dec 31 2023

    Welcome to "The Money Runner," hosted by David Nelson. In this episode, we delve deep into the ever-changing investment landscape.

    Change is the only Constant: Discover why adaptability is your most valuable asset

    Investor Sentiment and the VIX: The VIX is at lows showing investor complacency is high

    AI Revolution in Investing: Like the title says, every company is an AI company even if they don't know it
    Case Study: Apple vs Nvidia

    Seeking Growth in Small Caps: You'll come away with one small cap energy stock and one quant driven smalll cap ETF
    00:00 Change is the only constant
    00:24 The VIX
    00:57 Fed is at peak Fed funds
    01:25 Jeff Huber - Every company will be an...
    01:57 Apple vs Nvidia
    02:35 Risk on trade
    03:01 Goldman capitulates
    03:19 What could force the Fed to cut
    03:56 Fluence Energy
    05:41 Advantis Small Cap ETF

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    7 mins
  • Why ChatGPT doesn't always tell the truth - Hallucinations, bias and lies
    Dec 31 2023

    In episode 2 of The Money Runner interview with Tech visionary Jeff Huber David and Jeff discuss the rising concern over biased or inaccurate output from some large language models.  

    Concerns Over AI Bias and Security Risks: The conversation highlights that 79% of senior IT leaders have concerns about potential security risks in AI technologies, and 73% worry about biased outcomes. 

    AI's Tendency to Confirm Existing Beliefs: An example is given where using AI to define a political outcome resulted in the AI seemingly confirming the user's pre-existing beliefs. This raises questions about AI's ability to provide objective information versus reinforcing subjective viewpoints.

    AI Hallucinations and Data Dependency: The concept of 'hallucinations' in AI is discussed, explaining that AI systems can produce less reliable or factually incorrect results when dealing with data at the fringes of their training models. 

    The Challenge of Unbiased AI Systems: The discussion contemplates whether the goal should be to create completely unbiased AI systems or to accept some level of bias for potentially better outcomes.
    00:00 Chat GPT lied
    01:09 Hallucinations
    02:35 Bias
    05:22 How will small companies compete
    07:50 Who is using A.I. and who's faking it?
    09:37 A lot of money will be lost
    11:54 So called A.I. experts

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    13 mins