Épisodes

  • Cotton Forecast: Ample Supply, Soft Demand, and the Fed's Next Move
    Dec 5 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Hello everyone and welcome back to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I'm Vanessa Clark, and I'm so glad you're here with me today. Let's dive right into what's happening in the cotton market and what you need to know heading into the weekend.

    Right now, cotton is trading around 63.92 cents per pound according to Trading Economics, which represents a slight decline from earlier in the day. The market has been showing some interesting volatility this week, and there are several factors driving these movements that are worth your attention.

    We're seeing some pressure on cotton prices due to weak export sales data. According to recent USDA reports, US export sales for the week ending October 30 came in at just 81,500 bales, which is down significantly from the previous week and well below the four-week average. This is the kind of soft demand that keeps traders cautious and prices range-bound. Many analysts are pointing to downside potential towards 63 cents as we look ahead.

    On the positive supply side, the USDA's November WASDE report raised the forecast for US cotton production by 900,000 bales to 14.1 million bales, citing higher expected yields across most states. Global cotton production was also revised upward by 2.4 million bales, with significant increases in China, the United States, and Brazil. When supplies are plentiful, that typically puts downward pressure on prices.

    Another factor to watch is the US dollar strength. A stronger dollar can make cotton more expensive for international buyers, which can dampen demand. We've also seen some equity market weakness this week, with stock performances influencing risk appetite across commodities.

    Looking ahead, the market is focused on the USDA's export sales report coming on December 8 and the more detailed WASDE report on December 9. These reports will give us clearer insight into demand trends and help shape price direction going forward. Additionally, there's an 87 percent probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, and stronger economic conditions typically support textile sector demand, which could eventually boost cotton prices.

    For anyone trading cotton or thinking about it, the key takeaway is that we're in a consolidation phase. The market is digesting ample supplies and softening demand, but economic policy could shift the picture. Keep monitoring those upcoming USDA reports and watch for any changes in export data that might surprise to the upside.

    Thanks so much for tuning in to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker. Be sure to subscribe and join us again next time as we continue tracking this dynamic commodity market. I'm Vanessa Clark, and I'll see you next time.

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    3 min
  • Cotton Cents: Your Daily Dose of Fiber Market Insights
    Dec 4 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipaiThis is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.Welcome back to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. This is Vanessa, and today we are diving into the latest cotton prices, what is moving the market, and what it all means if you grow cotton, trade cotton, or buy cotton for your business.Let us start with the numbers. The global benchmark for cotton futures is currently trading in the mid sixty cents per pound range, with nearby contracts drifting a bit lower today after a small bounce earlier in the week. According to Trading Economics and industry futures boards, cotton has been hovering in the low to mid sixties for the past several sessions, slipping roughly one to two percent over the last month and sitting a few percent below where it was this time last year. That puts cotton near the lower end of its recent trading range, but still far above the single digit lows seen decades ago.So what is driving today’s cotton price action. Recent market commentary from firms like Barchart and Reuters points to weaker export sales and generally soft global demand as key reasons prices are struggling to push higher. A quieter cash market, limited new buying from major importers such as China, and expectations for ample global supplies are all acting as a ceiling on cotton futures for now. At the same time, a slightly weaker United States dollar and firmer crude oil prices are giving cotton a bit of support, because a cheaper dollar makes United States cotton more attractive to overseas buyers and higher polyester costs can make natural fiber like cotton more competitive.On the supply side, recent data from the United States Department of Agriculture indicates the United States cotton harvest is largely wrapped up, with production estimates revised higher thanks to better than expected yields in several key states. Globally, output forecasts have also been nudged up in countries such as China and Brazil, which adds to the idea that the world will have comfortable supplies going into the new year. When you combine that with only modest growth in cotton consumption, it explains why prices have been stuck in this mid sixty cents per pound zone instead of breaking out to the upside.If you are a grower looking at these cotton prices, a few practical takeaways stand out. First, this kind of sideways, slightly lower market is where a disciplined marketing plan really matters. Consider scaling in your sales rather than pricing the whole crop at once, using target price levels in the upper sixties or low seventies if the market offers a short term rally. Second, talk with your merchandiser or risk manager about simple tools like forward contracts or basic hedging strategies that lock in a floor without giving up all your upside. Even small moves of a cent or two per pound add up quickly over a lot of bales.If you are a mill buyer or in the textile business, this softer cotton environment can be an opportunity. Stable to lower raw cotton prices may help you secure longer term supply contracts at attractive levels, which can improve your cost planning for yarn, fabric, and finished garments. It is also a good time to review your fiber mix, because when polyester prices rise with crude oil, cotton often becomes more appealing from both a cost and marketing standpoint, especially if your customers care about natural fibers and sustainability.For listeners who like to track cotton prices daily, remember to watch not just the front month futures contract, but also key indicators such as the Cotlook A Index and any new export sales reports from the United States Department of Agriculture. Those numbers can hint at whether international demand is picking up or slowing down, which often moves the market before the headline price fully reflects it. Keeping an eye on currency moves, especially the direction of the United States dollar, can also help you anticipate short term swings in cotton futures.That is it for today’s episode of the Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Thanks so much for spending a few minutes talking cotton with me. If you find this show helpful for staying on top of daily cotton prices, cotton market news, and practical cotton marketing tips, be sure to subscribe and share it with a friend who also lives and breathes this crop. Tune in next time as we break down the latest cotton price moves and what they mean for your bottom line.For more http://www.quietplease.aiCheck out Vanessa on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipaiFor some deals, check out https://amzn.to/4hSgB4rThis content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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    5 min
  • Cotton Rollercoaster: Gains Fade, Shorts Ease, Stocks Steady
    Dec 3 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Hey everyone, welcome back to Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I'm Vanessa Clark, and I'm so glad you're here with me today. We've got some really interesting price movements to talk about, so let's jump right in.

    Cotton has been quite the rollercoaster this Wednesday, and honestly, it's a perfect example of why we need to stay on top of these markets. Here's what's happening right now. We started the morning with some positive momentum. Cotton prices were up between 10 to 17 points across most nearby contracts early this morning, which got traders pretty excited. But here's the thing about commodity markets, they can shift on a dime. As the day progressed, we saw those gains fade, and now we're looking at prices down 6 to 10 points in the nearby contracts. So that early enthusiasm didn't quite stick around.

    Let me give you the specific numbers so you know exactly where we stand. December 2025 cotton closed at 62 point 77 cents per pound, which is down 6 points from the previous close. March 2026 cotton is sitting at 64 point 47 cents per pound, down 10 points. And May 2026 is at 65 point 71 cents per pound. These are the key prices you want to be tracking if you're following this market closely.

    Now, what's driving these movements? We're seeing some interesting dynamics. First, there's the managed money traders. According to the latest Commitment of Traders data, they trimmed 98 contracts from their previous record net short position back on October 21st, bringing that down to 81,245 contracts. That's actually a positive signal that some of the extreme positioning is easing up.

    Looking at inventory, ICE certified cotton stocks held steady at 19,894 bales as of December 2nd. That's actually pretty significant because inventory levels can really influence longer term price trends. And here's something else worth noting, the Adjusted World Price came in at 50 point 77 cents per pound last week, down just 3 points from the week before.

    If you're buying or selling cotton in the physical market, The Seam online auction on December 2nd showed 15,688 bales sold at an average price of 61 point 31 cents per pound. That's a pretty good volume day and gives us a real world sense of what's actually trading hands out there.

    The broader commodity context matters too. We're seeing crude oil up 73 cents per barrel today at 59 point 37 dollars, and the US dollar index is down to 98 point 860. Those movements can absolutely influence how cotton trades because they affect the global competitiveness of US cotton exports.

    Here's my takeaway for you, folks. We're in a period where prices are being pressured, but we're not seeing any dramatic sell offs. The fact that managed money is reducing their short positions suggests there might be some stabilization ahead. If you're involved in cotton, whether you're a farmer, a trader, or a business using cotton, this is a good time to stay alert and watch those key price levels.

    Thanks so much for tuning in to Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I really appreciate you spending this time with me. Don't forget to subscribe and come back tomorrow for another update on what's moving in the cotton market. We'll be here every day bringing you the latest prices and insights. Take care, and I'll talk to you next time.

    For more http://www.quietplease.ai

    Check out Vanessa on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai
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    4 min
  • Cotton Rollercoaster: USDA Supply Boost Weighs as Buyers Nibble
    Dec 2 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Hey everyone, I'm Vanessa Clark, and welcome back to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I'm so glad you're here with me today as we break down what's happening in the cotton markets right now.

    Let's jump right into today's trading action. As of December second, twenty twenty five, cotton futures closed at approximately sixty one point seven cents per pound, up just slightly from the previous trading session. Now, if you've been following along with us, you know that cotton has been on a bit of a rollercoaster lately. Over the past month alone, prices have fallen about six percent, and compared to this time last year, we're down roughly thirteen percent. It's definitely a softer market than we saw back in March of twenty eleven when cotton hit an all time high of two hundred twenty seven cents per pound.

    But here's what's interesting about today's action. After taking some losses on Monday with futures falling seven to twelve points across most contracts, cotton is bouncing back a bit on Tuesday morning. We're seeing upward movement of four to eight points so far today, which suggests some buyers are stepping in after those Monday declines. That's the kind of volatility we've been experiencing in thinner trading conditions, especially as we head into the holiday season.

    Let's talk about what's really moving the market underneath the surface. The USDA just released some important data that traders are digesting right now. They've raised the forecast for United States cotton production by nine hundred thousand bales, bringing the total projection to fourteen point one million bales. They're citing higher yields across most states, which is pushing supply expectations higher. On the global front, worldwide cotton production got revised up by two point four million bales, so there's plenty of cotton coming to market.

    From an export perspective, things have been a bit mixed. Weekly export sales for the week ending October twenty third came in at one hundred thirty two thousand seven hundred sixty running bales, which was down about twenty four percent from the previous week. That said, shipments this marketing year have been solid at one hundred seventy four thousand seven hundred eighty eight running bales, so there's still decent activity happening.

    Looking at the physical market, we've also got some interesting auction data. The Seam reported their November twenty eighth online auction moved thirty six hundred five bales at an average price of fifty nine point seventy five cents per pound. The Cotlook A Index held steady at seventy four point ninety five cents on Friday, and the Adjusted World Price came in at fifty point seventy seven cents per pound.

    So what does this all mean for you? Right now traders are assessing both the demand and supply outlook. The USDA's projections suggest we'll have ample supply heading into next year, which is weighing on prices. However, the slight uptick we're seeing today tells me there's still interest from buyers at these lower levels.

    Thank you so much for tuning in to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I really hope this information helps you understand what's moving the cotton markets today. Be sure to subscribe and join me next time for more updates on cotton prices and market trends. Until then, stay informed and I'll catch you tomorrow.

    For more http://www.quietplease.ai

    Check out Vanessa on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai
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    4 min
  • Cotton Equilibrium: Navigating the Calm Before the Storm
    Dec 1 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Welcome to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. I'm your host, and I'm so glad you're tuning in today, December first, twenty twenty five. Today we're diving into what's happening in the cotton market right now and what it could mean for you.

    Let's start with the numbers, because they tell quite a story. Cotton futures opened December trading with some significant losses. We're seeing prices down between twenty five to thirty five points to kick off the month. December contracts closed at sixty two point ninety one cents per pound, March contracts settled at sixty four point seventy one cents, and May contracts finished at sixty five point ninety two cents per pound. Now, I know those numbers might seem like just numbers on a screen, but here's what's really important. The market is showing us that despite last week's gains of one hundred fifty six points for December, traders are taking profits and reassessing their positions as we head into the winter months.

    What's driving this movement? The USDA just updated their export sales report, and here's where it gets interesting. Cotton sales for the week of October sixteenth hit one hundred seventy five thousand six hundred seventy eight bales, which is up eleven point four five percent from the week before. Even better, shipments reached one hundred fifty nine thousand six hundred thirty one bales, making it the largest shipment volume we've seen all marketing year. That should be bullish for cotton, and it was on Friday, but traders are looking ahead and wondering what comes next.

    The bigger picture shows us something really important about supply and demand. According to the latest analysis, the twenty twenty five to twenty twenty six cotton season is characterized by a tight supply demand balance. Global production did increase, but so did global inventories. China's cotton production was revised upward to seven point twenty nine million tons, and Brazil's output went up by one hundred eight thousand tons. These supply increases are putting downward pressure on prices, even as demand remains steady.

    Here's what's fascinating though. In China, domestic cotton prices are actually rising. Mill demand is strengthening, and quality driven purchasing is pushing prices up across key grades. The three thousand one hundred twenty eight B grade is trading around fourteen thousand nine hundred thirty six yuan per ton, reflecting solid mill activity. This suggests that while global prices are facing headwinds, regional strength in key consuming areas could provide some support.

    Looking at the inventory side, the picture is balanced. Spinning mills are holding about thirty days of raw material inventory, and certified cotton stocks on the ICE are steady at twenty thousand three hundred forty four bales. This means supplies are available, but they're not overflowing.

    So what does this mean for you listening today? If you're involved in cotton trading or production, watch for the next USDA export sales report coming out this morning for the week ending October twenty third. That data will be crucial. Also keep an eye on Chinese mill activity. If that demand continues to strengthen, it could provide a floor for prices even as global supplies increase.

    The cotton market is definitely in a holding pattern right now, but the underlying fundamentals suggest we're in a period of equilibrium. Neither extreme weakness nor explosive rallies seem likely in the near term, but opportunity often hides in these quiet markets.

    Thank you so much for tuning into the Daily Cotton Price Tracker with me, Vanessa Clark. Make sure you subscribe and tune in next time for more insights into what's moving the cotton market. Take care, and I'll see you tomorrow.

    For more http://www.quietplease.ai

    Check out Vanessa on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai
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    4 min
  • Cotton Surges as Global Demand Spins Up Profits
    Nov 28 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Hey everyone, welcome back to Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I'm your host Vanessa Clark, and I'm so glad you're here with me on this Friday evening. Today we're diving into what's been happening in the cotton markets, and let me tell you, there's some really interesting movement to talk about.

    So let's start with where we are right now on Friday, November twenty eighth. Cotton futures have been showing some solid gains today. The December twenty twenty five contract closed at sixty two point seventy seven cents per pound, up thirty four points. Meanwhile, the March twenty twenty six contract, which is our most active contract for next spring, closed at sixty four point fifty seven cents per pound, also up thirty four points. And if you're looking at May twenty twenty six, that's trading at sixty five point seventy five cents per pound, up thirty two points.

    Now here's what's really interesting happening this week. On Friday morning, cotton prices started with slight gains, moving steady to about five points higher. We saw this follow some pretty strong momentum from earlier in the week when cotton futures were jumping between thirty and ninety nine points in the nearby contracts on Wednesday. The Cotlook A Index, which is a really important global cotton price indicator, was up twenty five points on Monday at seventy four point thirty five cents.

    Let me give you some context on what else is influencing the market. We've got crude oil futures at fifty eight point fifty five per barrel, which does have some correlation to cotton prices. The US dollar index is at ninety nine point five twenty, and a stronger dollar can sometimes pressure cotton prices since cotton is a globally traded commodity.

    One thing I wanted to highlight is the auction activity we're seeing. On November twenty five, the Seam online auction showed sixty four hundred fifty seven bales sold at an average price of fifty nine point ninety seven cents per pound. That gives us a real snapshot of what's happening in the actual cash market.

    What's also worth noting is that ICE certified cotton stocks remained steady at just over twenty thousand bales. The Adjusted World Price was updated to fifty point eighty cents per pound last week, which was down from the previous week.

    Interestingly, we're also seeing activity on the international stage. On the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange in China, the January twenty twenty six cotton contract gained about twelve dollars per tonne today in daytime trading, which shows us that global demand pressures are really active right now.

    So here's what I'm watching heading into next week. These gains we're seeing suggest there's some real buying interest in the market. Whether this continues will depend on factors like crude oil prices, dollar strength, and global demand signals, particularly from China as the world's largest textile producer and consumer.

    Thanks so much for tuning in to Daily Cotton Price Tracker. Make sure you subscribe and tune in tomorrow for our next update on cotton prices and market movement. This is Vanessa Clark signing off. Have a great evening, and we'll catch you soon.

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    3 min
  • Cotton Chaos: India's Import Duty Dilemma Squeezes Farmers
    Nov 27 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Hey everyone, this is Vanessa Clark with the Daily Cotton Price Tracker, and welcome back to another episode. I hope you're having an amazing Thanksgiving if you're celebrating today. Markets are closed, but we have some really interesting developments to talk about in the cotton world that happened just before the holiday break.

    Let me start with the trading action we saw on Wednesday. Cotton futures were up significantly, climbing between 30 to 99 and 34 points in the nearby contracts. We're seeing December 2025 cotton close at 62.77 cents per pound, up 34 points, and March 2026 cotton at 64.57 cents per pound, also up 34 points. May 2026 futures closed at 65.75 cents, up 32 points. Basically, cotton was heading into this holiday weekend with some nice gains.

    The Cotlook A Index jumped 25 points on Monday, reaching 74.35 cents. We also saw the online auction from The Seam on November 25th move 6,457 bales at an average price of 59.97 cents per pound. ICE certified cotton stocks remained steady at 20,344 bales as of November 25th.

    Now here's where things get interesting on the global front. While prices are climbing in the futures markets, there's a serious disconnect happening in India right now. Cotton prices there have fallen 700 to 800 rupees below the government's minimum support price. The MSP is set at 7,710 rupees per quintal for medium staple cotton and 8,110 rupees for long staple varieties, but farmers are actually receiving around 6,988 rupees per quintal. That's a massive hit for Indian cotton growers.

    The reason? India recently reduced cotton import duty to zero, which was extended through December 31st. While textile mills and traders are benefiting from cheaper imported cotton, farmers are struggling. Imports have skyrocketed from 1.55 million bales in 2023-24 to over 4.1 million bales in 2024-25. When mills can get cotton from abroad at lower prices, why would they pay more for domestic production? It's creating real frustration among farmers.

    The adjusted world price sits at 50.80 cents per pound, down 103 points from the previous week, reflecting some of this global pressure and weak international demand.

    So what does this mean for you listening? If you're involved in cotton trading or textile production, watch how this Indian situation unfolds. The policy decision about import duty will be crucial. And if you're tracking global cotton prices, remember that while the futures markets show strength going into this holiday period, the real story on the ground is more complicated with farmers facing pressure and demand remaining sluggish worldwide.

    That's what we're watching in the cotton markets right now. Thanks so much for tuning in to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker. Be sure to subscribe so you don't miss our next episode when we'll have fresh updates on these evolving trends. I'm Vanessa Clark, and I'll see you next time.

    For more http://www.quietplease.ai

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    4 min
  • Cotton Crossroads: Navigating Holiday Markets & Harvest Highs
    Nov 26 2025
    https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai

    This is your Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

    Hello and welcome to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker. I’m Vanessa Clark, bringing you the latest news and essential updates from the cotton market. Whether you’re a grower, trader, or just cotton-curious, my goal is to keep you in the loop on price movements, global supply, and what’s driving the market today.

    It’s Wednesday, November twenty-sixth, and traders are settling in for a quieter week as the US holiday impacts market activity. Let’s kick things off with the latest on pricing. Cotton futures are up modestly across the board. The most actively traded March twenty twenty-six contract is holding at around sixty-four point six cents per pound this afternoon, having climbed over the past few sessions. December twenty twenty-five cotton is trading at about sixty-two point four cents, and May is up at sixty-five point seven cents per pound. For reference, recent online auctions have seen cash prices averaging just below sixty cents a pound. On the international front, imported cotton arriving at Chinese ports is trading significantly higher, recently hitting seventy-two cents per pound.

    Looking at price trends, cotton has bounced slightly from the five-year lows seen earlier this month but remains in a relatively narrow range. Experts at research firm BMI expect cotton futures to hold steady for the rest of this year, with an average forecast of sixty-seven cents per pound for twenty twenty-five. The overall trend is sideways, meaning prices are essentially drifting rather than surging up or collapsing further. Leading cotton brokers suggest the near-term range will likely stick between sixty-three and sixty-five cents per pound, unless new demand or supply surprises upend the market.

    Speaking of supply and demand, the latest US Department of Agriculture numbers show cotton harvest is about seventy-nine percent complete as of November twenty-third, very much in line with historical averages. Export sales have been solid, led by buyers from Vietnam, China, India, Guatemala, and Pakistan. Though US upland cotton exports have dipped slightly year on year, physical shipments are running ahead of last year’s pace. This confirms that, despite some market uncertainty, international demand for US cotton is steady and key global buyers remain active.

    A quick check-in on spinning margins: Chinese mills report profitability improving on lower inventories and better yarn sales, but there are signs that smaller factories may slow production if new orders don’t pick up soon. Xinjiang’s large cotton mills continue to operate near full capacity, and demand for specialty yarns has rebounded, especially in coastal China.

    So what’s the actionable takeaway for today’s cotton price tracker listeners? First, if you’re planning to sell cotton in the next few weeks, keep in mind that holiday trading tends to slow volume, which can mean more price volatility on lighter trades. If you’re a buyer looking to hedge, now’s a good time to consider locking in contracts while prices remain steady and exports strong. And for everyone in the supply chain, it is a great moment to review your forward positions, as global demand signals remain stable heading toward the new year.

    That wraps up today’s update on cotton prices, harvest progress, and world demand. Thanks for tuning in to the Daily Cotton Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. If you found today’s insights helpful, be sure to subscribe and join me again tomorrow for more market moves and practical tips. Until then, wishing you steady prices and smooth trading.

    For more http://www.quietplease.ai

    Check out Vanessa on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/vanessaclarkipai
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    4 min