Future Forecasting

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal...

You get ready to die the way you get ready for a trip. Start by realizing you don't know the way. Listen to a few travel guides. Study the language, look at maps, gather equipment. Let yourself imagine what it will be like. Pack your bags. This book is one of those travel guides - a guide to preparing for your own death and the deaths of people close to you. The fact of death is hard to believe. Sallie Tisdale explores our fears and all the ways death and talking about death make us uncomfortable - but she also explores its intimacies and joys.

*WINNER OF THE 2023 NATIONAL BUSINESS BOOK AWARD* *FINALIST FOR THE 2023 OTTAWA BOOK AWARD* *SHORTLISTED FOR THE SHAUGHNESSY COHEN PRIZE FOR POLITICAL WRITING* *SHORTLISTED FOR THE 2022 DONNER PRIZE* NATIONAL BESTSELLER From the former Governor of the Bank of Canada, a far-seeing guide to the...

Clarity. Confidence. Momentum. What if every decision you made could bring you closer to the life you truly want? In today’s world of constant noise, endless choices, and overthinking, it’s easy to get stuck in doubt. The Future of Decisive Choice offers a breakthrough path forward, showing you how to combine the wisdom of your intuition with the precision of artificial intelligence to make decisions that feel aligned, empowered, and unstoppable. Author Karen Romine introduces a transformational approach that goes beyond quick fixes.

A fascinating, eye-opening, and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the United States—and the world—from one of our most incisive futurists George Friedman has become a leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, sought after for his unmatched grasp of both historical and contemporary...

Businesses, organizations and society-at-large are all subject to unforeseeable events and incidents that often have a dramatic impact upon prosperity and profit. Due to their unpredictable nature, business leaders and executive teams are unable to prepare for these specific events. But, through innovation, strategizing and an open-minded approach, they can restructure their organization and practices in order to mitigate (or even take advantage of) the impact of such events.

NATIONAL BESTSELLER In this “gripping narrative of a world on the cusp of profound change” (New Statesman), an award-winning journalist and leading international social researcher argue that the global population’s inevitable decline will dramatically reshape our social, political, and...

From the bestselling author of The Age of Turbulence and Capitalism in America Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role...

This myth shattering book reveals the methods Nouriel Roubini used to foretell the current crisis before other economists saw it coming and shows how those methods can help us make sense of the present and prepare for the future. Renowned economist Nouriel Roubini electrified his profession and...

The marketplace and allocation of internal resources are both increasingly competitive. Safety strategies of the future must align with evolving business goals. Will your company's safety efforts keep up with the demands of the future? Emerging trends are becoming increasing visible regarding how safety is viewed, thought of, strategically managed, and how progress is measured. Moreover, the cast of characters, the roles they play, and accountability for responsibilities are evolving, all for the better.

For the past 10 years, Rohit Bhargava’s signature annual Non-Obvious Trend Report has helped over a million readers discover more than 100 trends changing our culture. Now for the first time, Rohit and his team of Non-Obvious trend curators reveal 10 revolutionary new megatrends that are transforming how we work, play, and live.

How do Michelin-ranked food stalls in Singapore and the decline of Swiss watches force all luxury brands to rethink their business models? What insights can the world's quietest place and a clothing dye produced by former tobacco farmers reveal about serving enlightened consumers? The answers to these questions may not be all that obvious. And that's exactly the point. For the past eight years, marketing expert and Georgetown University Professor Rohit Bhargava has curated his best-selling list of non-obvious trends.

Gigatrends offers a roadmap for navigating six of the most disruptive trends shaping the future. Humanity stands at the precipice of a remarkable new era in global history filled with both immense opportunities and daunting challenges. Gigatrends examines how six disruptive trends can be harnessed to create new social, economic, and organizational solutions that will usher in the promise of a human-centered future for billions of people.

Leadership is evolving. Have you future-proofed your career? AI isn’t coming—it's already here, reshaping leadership, decision-making, and success. The leaders who embrace AI-first strategies will thrive. The ones who don’t? They’ll be left behind. In The Leadership Playbook, Revisited, award-winning executive strategist Keryn Gold, PhD, MBA, delivers an actionable, high-impact, no-nonsense guide for executives and professionals ready to lead smarter, faster, and more effectively in the AI era. You’ll learn: How AI is transforming leadership—and what great AI-first leaders do differently.

New York Times bestseller! Legendary investment guru Ric Edelman offers a prescient personal finance guide on how technology and science is reshaping the way we save, invest, and plan for the future. In The Truth About Your Future, award-winning financial advisor Ric Edelman reveals how...

In today’s unpredictable environment, supply chains need to do more than just react; they must foresee, adjust, and lead change. Future-Ready Supply Chain Management by Dennis V. Rozario offers a practical action plan for leaders navigating volatility, complexity, and rapid innovation. This book is essential for executives, educators, and innovators focused on building smarter, faster, and more resilient supply chains.

When Donald Trump returned to the White House in January 2025, he ended the post-1945 Pax Americana which had underwritten eighty years of global stability and opportunity since World War II. After military interventions in Iran and Venezuela, and with Greenland on the cards, the United States...

Renowned technology and economics forecaster Mark Anderson reveals hidden patterns beneath the art and science of predicting the future. Through a series of personal vignettes, Anderson exposes a complex web of causes, influences, and effects that propel today’s world, then describes strategies that he employs to lay bare new trends, to make new discoveries in a wide variety of disciplines, and to accurately foresee future events.

Is it possible to predict your financial future? Most business owners spend more time focused on the weather forecast than the status and forecast of their business. The truth is that the weather changes very quickly and is uncontrollable, but our business forecast is much more in our control. What if you could see into the future of your business? What if you had less stress, chaos, and uncertainty, and more influence over where you are going financially?