Épisodes

  • Trump's Trade Threats Loom: Brazil Braces for Potential Tariff Escalation in 2025 US Presidential Race
    Jul 11 2025
    Welcome back to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. It’s Friday, July 11, 2025, and today’s top story focuses on US-Brazil trade relations and the spotlight that former President Donald Trump has returned to tariffs as a key talking point in his campaign trail this summer.

    With the US presidential race heating up, many listeners are asking how a potential Trump administration could shake up international commerce, particularly with Brazil—South America’s largest economy and a crucial agricultural exporter. This week, Bloomberg reports that Trump is promising to revive tough tariff policies, targeting both friends and rivals alike. He specifically mentioned South American nations, including Brazil, as possible subjects of new tariffs on steel, aluminum, and even agricultural products, if elected.

    Currently, the United States maintains a range of tariffs on Brazilian goods, especially steel and aluminum. Following Trump’s 2018 decision under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, Brazilian steel to the US has mostly been subject to quotas rather than direct tariffs, while aluminum faces a 10 percent tariff. According to the US International Trade Administration, those measures technically remain in place, although volumes have shifted due to ongoing negotiations and Brazilian government pressure.

    Meanwhile, Brazilian officials are closely monitoring Washington. Brazil’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs released a statement this week highlighting concerns that renewed tariffs and quota restrictions could hinder Brazil’s exports, particularly in agriculture and industrial metals. US soy imports from Brazil are also under the spotlight, as Trump’s campaign has floated the idea of retaliatory tariffs if Brazil boosts exports at the expense of US farmers, as reported by Reuters.

    On the business side, US trade groups—like the American Farm Bureau and the Steel Manufacturers Association—are watching developments closely. They caution that any aggressive tariff escalation could spark a trade dispute, ultimately raising costs for both US manufacturers and Brazilian exporters.

    In headline news, The Financial Times reports that Brazil’s government is preparing a contingency plan to counteract possible US tariffs, including options for reciprocal measures and diversification of export markets. Brazilian exporters are said to be on alert as the US election season stokes further policy uncertainty.

    To recap, while there have been no new tariffs implemented this week, the threat of renewed trade friction is front and center, with both US and Brazilian officials and industries preparing for possible policy shifts. We’ll keep tracking developments and bring you the latest on Brazil-US trade and tariffs as the 2024 US election approaches.

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    3 min
  • Trump Delays Brazil Tariffs Amid Economic Tensions, BRICS Summit Sparks Trade Uncertainty
    Jul 9 2025
    Welcome to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker, your go-to podcast for the latest updates on tariffs and trade policy affecting Brazil and its relationship with the United States.

    Listeners, the big headline this week is President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone the implementation of sweeping new tariffs on imports to the U.S. until August 1. According to World Footwear, the White House sent formal letters to 14 countries, including Brazil, specifying the new country-specific tariff rates. This action follows a previous announcement on April 2nd when Trump declared a national emergency over what he described as a large and persistent U.S. trade deficit and invoked the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose a baseline 10% tariff on all U.S. imports, effective since April 5th. The administration is also targeting 57 countries and territories with even higher rates, aiming to drive bilateral trade deficits to zero—a move described by several economists as one of the most significant shocks in trade policy history.

    The formula behind these so-called “reciprocal tariffs” is controversial, as the administration essentially divides a country’s bilateral trade deficit with the U.S. by the value of its exports, then applies half that result as the new tariff rate. This formula has been widely criticized by trade experts and economists, including from The Economist, who call it almost as random as taxing people based on the number of vowels in their name. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently described the likely economic impacts of these tariffs as “significantly larger than expected,” while the OECD and World Bank have downgraded U.S. growth projections in part due to this aggressive tariff policy.

    The recent BRICS Summit in Rio added further tension to the U.S.–Brazil trade relationship. Foreign Policy reports that Brazil, as summit host, tried to focus on economic development and climate initiatives to avoid provoking additional tariff threats from Trump, but the effort didn’t shield the group. Trump’s social media post threatened an extra 10% tariff on any country aligning themselves with the anti-American policies of BRICS. While the statement wasn’t entirely clear on which nations would be hit, the threat created anxiety among BRICS members and partners, particularly for Brazil—which has sought to maintain constructive ties with both Washington and fellow BRICS economies.

    Meanwhile, at a bilateral level, Economic Times of India reports that Brazil and India have just set a new trade target of $20 billion over the next five years and plan to elevate the level of trade talks. This includes enhanced cooperation across sectors like defense, agriculture, climate, critical minerals, and technology, with Brazil’s rich reserves of lithium, copper, and rare earths positioned as vital resources for India’s clean energy transition.

    In summary, Brazil faces the prospect of higher tariffs on its exports to the U.S. as of August, part of Trump’s broader effort to realign American trade policy and pressure economic partners. These developments place Brazil at a critical crossroads—balancing a growing BRICS role with the imperative to maintain open trade with the United States.

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    4 min
  • BRICS Summit Erupts as Trump Threatens Massive Tariffs Against Brazil and Allies in Global Trade Showdown
    Jul 8 2025
    Listeners, welcome back to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. It’s Tuesday, July 8, 2025, and global headlines are dominated by sharp tariff threats from the U.S., escalating tensions between President Donald Trump and the Brazilian government.

    On Sunday night, President Trump made waves by announcing via Truth Social that any country aligning with what he calls the “anti-American” policies of the BRICS group—Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—will be hit with an additional 10% tariff on exports to the United States. He warned there would be no exceptions, and specifically cautioned BRICS nations not to introduce alternatives to the U.S. dollar or back a new BRICS currency, threatening tariffs as high as 100% if they proceed with such moves. This threat landed squarely on the agenda at the BRICS summit, held this year in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

    Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva fired back immediately from the summit stage, calling Trump’s threats “irresponsible” and insisting Brazil will not be bullied. Lula said, “The world has changed. We don’t want an emperor.” He further emphasized BRICS’ desire to diversify global economic governance and reduce reliance on the dollar, making clear that Brazil is committed to a more multipolar world economy, according to statements covered by the Times of India and widely echoed in international press.

    The summit concluded with BRICS members—Brazil among them—signing a joint declaration criticizing the rising wave of tariffs for being inconsistent with World Trade Organization rules and warning that such measures threaten to reduce global trade, disrupt supply chains, and introduce uncertainty. Chinese and South African officials also condemned the use of tariffs as coercion, rejecting the label of “anti-American” and insisting their bloc seeks cooperation, not confrontation.

    While Trump’s administration had set a July 9 deadline for finalizing several key bilateral trade deals, including with China, Vietnam, and the UK, Brazil was pointedly not listed as having a new deal in place as of today. However, the White House announced an executive order yesterday delaying the imposition of new reciprocal tariffs previously set to go into effect July 9, signaling more negotiations may yet occur before any tariff hike is enforced.

    Meanwhile, Brazil’s B3 stock exchange fell by 1.26% yesterday, reflecting market anxiety over the rising trade tensions and global volatility—underscoring just how sensitive Brazil’s markets are to tariff news and international trade disputes.

    Thank you for tuning in to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. Be sure to subscribe so you don’t miss our next update as this story develops. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.

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    3 min
  • US Imposes 10% Tariff on Brazilian Imports, Sparking Trade Tensions and Potential WTO Dispute in 2025
    Jul 7 2025
    Listeners, welcome to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. As of July 7, 2025, the trade relationship between the United States and Brazil is under significant strain following sweeping changes to U.S. tariff policy under President Trump. Effective April 10, 2025, the Trump administration imposed a flat 10% tariff on imports from all countries, including Brazil, replacing more complex country-specific rates for at least 90 days. China and Hong Kong are exceptions, facing a much higher 30% tariff after a recent reduction from an even steeper rate, but Brazil is squarely in the crosshairs of this new across-the-board measure, as detailed by Passport Global.

    This flat 10% tariff now applies to virtually all Brazilian exports to the U.S., impacting a broad array of goods beyond sectors like steel, aluminum, and automotive parts, which had already been subject to previous targeted duties. The Brazilian government responded with immediate concern, calling the tariffs a violation of World Trade Organization obligations and highlighting the U.S. trade surplus with Brazil—which hit $28.6 billion in 2024 when goods and services are combined, according to a joint press release from Brazil’s foreign and trade ministries. The Brazilian government is exploring its options, including possible recourse to the WTO and consultations with national producers on next steps. In a defensive move to protect domestic industry, the Brazilian Senate has already approved the Economic Reciprocity Bill, now awaiting deliberation in the Chamber of Deputies.

    The White House describes these tariffs as part of a broader “reciprocal tariff” approach, intended to address what it calls persistent annual trade deficits. Supporters of the move point to U.S. deficits and argue the new structure simplifies enforcement and strengthens American leverage. Critics, however, warn of higher costs for consumers and potential retaliation.

    Politifact notes that President Trump recently claimed the government is collecting almost $2 billion a day in tariffs. However, government and independent analysis shows this figure is likely much lower. Economists caution that higher tariff rates tend to reduce import volumes, which dampens revenue and can disrupt global supply chains.

    Trade policy analysts at the Carnegie Endowment highlight another risk: by making U.S. markets less accessible to countries like Brazil, these tariffs may push China and other exporters to seek new partners, potentially flooding Brazil with cheap imports and further pressuring local industries. The Lula government has responded cautiously, wary of both domestic and international fallout.

    Listeners, these are turbulent times for Brazil-U.S. trade. We’ll keep tracking the latest headlines and policy shifts. Thank you for tuning in, and be sure to subscribe so you never miss an episode. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.

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    3 min
  • US Imposes 10% Tariff on Brazil Sparking Trade Tensions and Potential WTO Dispute in 2025
    Jul 6 2025
    Listeners, it’s July 6, 2025, and welcome back to the Brazil Tariff News and Tracker podcast, your source for the latest headlines on tariffs, U.S. policy, and how it all impacts Brazil.

    Just this spring, the Trump administration shook up global trade yet again. As of April 10, 2025, the United States imposed a flat 10% tariff on imports from all countries, including Brazil. This sweeping measure replaced earlier complex country-specific tariffs in favor of a single rate for nearly every nation, with China and Hong Kong as notable exceptions, facing a much steeper 30% tariff. According to Passport Global, this move was positioned as a way to simplify trade and ensure "reciprocity" but left many trading partners scrambling to respond.

    The Brazilian government responded with official regret and strong criticism. In a joint press release, officials argued that the U.S. already enjoys a substantial trade surplus with Brazil – about $7 billion in goods last year and a staggering $28.6 billion when including services. Over the past fifteen years, the U.S. surplus with Brazil has totaled $410 billion. Brazilian authorities see the new blanket tariff as unjustified and potentially damaging, especially since it builds on earlier sector-specific tariffs on steel, aluminum, and autos. Brazil maintains that these actions violate the United States’ WTO commitments.

    Brazil’s government is now considering every available option, including bringing a case to the World Trade Organization. They’re also looking at legislative tools, such as the Economic Reciprocity Bill, recently approved by the Federal Senate and now under review in the Chamber of Deputies, as a way to pressure the U.S. for fairer treatment. Still, officials in Brasília say they remain open to dialogue but are prepared to defend Brazil’s interests vigorously.

    On the ground, these tariffs risk deepening some of Brazil’s persistent economic challenges. The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace points out that while some Brazilian sectors, like agribusiness and footwear, might benefit as U.S.-China trade tensions redirect Chinese demand, others could suffer. Cheaper Chinese goods, originally intended for the U.S. market, may flood Brazil and threaten local manufacturers, potentially forcing Brazil to consider raising its own tariffs. This, in turn, could complicate its vital trade relationship with China, adding yet another layer of complexity to the global economic picture.

    The flat 10% U.S. tariff is in effect now, and there are no clear exemptions for Brazilian goods outside of sector-specific carve-outs. As the situation continues to evolve, Brazilian businesses and policymakers are closely monitoring both U.S. decisions and the broader ripple effects on global trade flows, prices, and jobs.

    Listeners, thank you for tuning in to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. Be sure to subscribe for weekly updates and stay informed about every turn in Brazil’s trade story. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.

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    3 min
  • US Imposes 10% Tariff on Brazilian Imports, Sparking Trade Tensions and Potential Retaliatory Measures
    Jul 4 2025
    Welcome to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. Today is July 4, 2025, and we’re covering the latest developments on U.S. tariffs affecting Brazil, Donald Trump’s trade moves, and what this all means for Brazilian businesses and global trade.

    Earlier this year, the Trump administration rolled out a flat 10% tariff on imports from all countries, including Brazil. This applied as of April 10 and is currently in effect after a 90-day pause on earlier country-specific rates. While China and Hong Kong are subject to a much higher 30% rate under a temporary deal, for Brazil and most of the world, that flat 10% is the key figure as of today. Reports from Passport Global indicate this sweeping tariff is part of President Trump’s commitment to what he calls “reciprocal trade” policy, designed to ensure trading partners impose rates similar to those the U.S. faces in their markets.

    Brazil’s government immediately responded, voicing strong regret and arguing that the new tariffs violate U.S. commitments under the World Trade Organization. The Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs highlighted that the U.S. has long run a substantial trade surplus with Brazil, $28.6 billion last year when counting both goods and services — one of the largest U.S. surpluses worldwide. Brazil’s officials say this context makes the “reciprocity” justification questionable, stressing the impact on Brazilian exporters and workers.

    In response to the U.S. move, Brazil has published a new Economic Reciprocity Law, allowing its government to impose countermeasures on imports from countries that take unilateral actions against Brazilian goods or investments. While the law paves the way for potential retaliatory tariffs or trade barriers, Brazilian officials have emphasized their preference for dialogue and negotiation to roll back the U.S. tariffs. The law notably allows Brazil to suspend trade concessions, restrict imports, or even limit intellectual property obligations if necessary, aiming to protect Brazilian interests without immediately escalating the trade dispute further.

    Meanwhile, there’s a broader context weighing on Brazil: special envoys from the Trump administration have warned that Brazil could lose out if the growing U.S.-China trade relationship leads Beijing to increase its imports of American agricultural goods, potentially squeezing Brazil’s own exports to China. There are also concerns that global supply chains are being reshuffled, which could affect Brazilian value-added exports, especially manufactured goods.

    Looking ahead, listeners should watch for further developments, including whether Brazil will take its case to the WTO or enact its own reciprocal measures, and whether the U.S. will adjust its approach as negotiations continue.

    Thanks for tuning in to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. Don’t forget to subscribe for the latest updates on this rapidly shifting story. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.

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    3 min
  • US Imposes 10% Tariff on Brazilian Exports Sparking Trade Tensions and Potential WTO Dispute in 2025
    Jun 30 2025
    Welcome to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker, your source for the latest developments on tariffs, trade policy, and the evolving relationship between the United States, President Trump, and Brazil.

    The big headline for Brazilian exporters in 2025 centers on the Trump administration’s sweeping tariff changes. On April 2nd, the U.S. government imposed an additional 10% tariff on all Brazilian exports to the American market. The Brazilian government has been vocal in its criticism, calling these measures a violation of World Trade Organization commitments and warning that the decision will hit all Brazilian goods exports to the United States. In response, Brazilian officials are now considering taking the dispute to the WTO and are weighing possible reciprocal measures, including a new Economic Reciprocity Bill currently under review by the Chamber of Deputies, as reported by Brazil’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

    The new blanket 10% tariff, effective since April, is part of a broader shift under Trump’s “America First” trade strategy, which replaced country-specific reciprocal rates with a simple 10% flat tariff on imports from nearly all countries, including Brazil, according to the latest data compiled by trade policy analysts like Passport Global.

    Beyond the blanket tariff, certain Brazilian industries have been hit even harder. The Trump administration raised the Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4th. These tariffs are intended to bolster U.S. national security and protect American industries, but they pose major challenges for Brazilian companies, as steel and aluminum products made up nearly $7 billion of Brazilian exports to the U.S. in 2024 alone. Automotive products are also affected by a 25% tariff, compounding the pressure on Brazil’s industrial sectors, as detailed by Brazil’s Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade, and Services.

    Despite the new U.S. tariffs, trade between Brazil and the U.S. reached a record $20 billion in the first quarter of 2025, buoyed by rising Brazilian industrial exports and a 15% surge in U.S. goods flowing into Brazil. Yet, experts like Abrão Neto of AMCHAM Brasil emphasize that Brazilian companies now face increased uncertainty and new costs, and warn that “Brazil needs to act sooner rather than later to ensure our exports continue to access the U.S. market under favorable conditions.” Neto also urges Brazilian authorities to seek exemptions and reduce surcharges, while using the current moment to deepen trade ties with other global partners.

    Brazil’s government remains open to negotiation with Washington, but is preparing to defend national interests at every level, including potential cases before the WTO.

    Thanks for tuning in to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker. Don’t forget to subscribe so you never miss an update. This has been a quiet please production, for more check out quiet please dot ai.

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    3 min