Description

An insight into junior mining and opportunities to invest. Company Interviews, a Crux Investor show, exists to cut through the jargon, bias and bluster. Matthew Gordon, and guest host Merlin Marr-Johnson hone in on the important factors that indicate a company's strong footing for growth and success.
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Épisodes
  • Atlas Salt (TSXV:SALT) - $100M Annual Cash Flow, 34 Years Mine Life
    Jul 11 2025

    Interview with Nolas Paterson, CEO of Atlas Salt Inc.

    Recording date: 8th July 2025

    Atlas Salt (TSXV: SALT) presents a compelling value proposition for investors seeking exposure to North America's critical infrastructure mineral supply deficit through a strategically positioned, environmentally sustainable industrial mineral project. Under new CEO Nolan Peterson's leadership, the company is advancing the Great Atlantic Salt project in Newfoundland to address the continent's persistent 10-12 million ton annual deicing salt import dependency.

    The investment opportunity centers on Atlas Salt's unique positioning to capture market share in a $1.5-2.5 billion annual market characterized by exceptional stability and predictable demand growth. Unlike volatile commodity markets, deicing salt demonstrates consistent 2% annual price appreciation tracking inflation, with periodic 4-5% increases during severe winters that establish new pricing floors. Municipal customers cannot defer winter road maintenance, creating recession-resistant demand that positions salt as an essential infrastructure commodity rather than a cyclical material.

    The Great Atlantic Salt project's competitive advantages stem from superior geological and geographical positioning. The shallow 200-meter deposit depth enables cost-effective drift mining with conveyor systems, contrasting sharply with competing projects requiring expensive shaft mining at 500-600 meter depths. This fundamental advantage positions Atlas Salt at the lower end of the cost curve while foreign competitors face 3-4x longer shipping timeframes and associated logistics costs that erode their competitive positioning.

    Project economics demonstrate infrastructure-grade investment characteristics with 34+ years of production generating over $100 million annual free cash flow after tax. The 18.5% after-tax IRR and sub-five-year payback period reflect conservative modeling using bulk deicing salt pricing, providing upside potential through higher-margin retail applications and production optimization initiatives. When contextualized against gold equivalent metrics, the resource represents a 25-35 million ounce deposit, highlighting the project's substantial scale.

    Environmental leadership distinguishes Atlas Salt within the mining sector through 100% battery electric operations eliminating diesel usage, chemical processing, water consumption, and tailings generation. The operation will produce greenhouse gas emissions equivalent to just four Newfoundland households annually, positioning the company to benefit from increasing ESG investment focus while delivering superior returns through operational efficiency.

    Strategic infrastructure positioning provides additional competitive moats. Located 3km from deep-water port facilities on the Trans-Canada Highway, the project enables efficient distribution to major northeastern US and eastern Canadian markets. The proximity advantage becomes particularly pronounced during severe weather periods when import logistics face maximum constraints.

    The financing strategy leverages the project's industrial mineral characteristics to access infrastructure-focused debt providers typically unavailable to traditional mining projects. With total capital requirements of $480 million, Atlas Salt is engaging sovereign wealth funds and institutional lenders attracted to long-term, stable cash flow profiles. The phased development approach mitigates near-term financing pressure while enabling progressive project derisking.

    Market entry timing provides exceptional opportunity as no new North American salt mines have been constructed in 25-30 years despite growing import dependence. The 2.5 million ton production target represents approximately 25% of current import volumes, positioning Atlas Salt as a meaningful market participant without threatening established supply relationships.

    Advanced permitting status further derisks the investment proposition. The project has completed environmental assessment approval, eliminating a primary risk factor in Canadian mining development while benefiting from strong community support that reduces regulatory and social license risks.

    Atlas Salt represents a distinctive opportunity to participate in addressing North America's critical infrastructure mineral deficit while capturing stable, long-term cash flows characteristic of essential industrial minerals. The convergence of market necessity, strategic positioning, environmental leadership, and proven economics creates compelling investment dynamics rarely available in commodity markets.

    View Atlas Salt's company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/atlas-salt

    Sign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com

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    45 min
  • Coda Minerals (ASX:COD) - 95% Copper Recovery, $802 Million Post-Tax NPV
    Jul 11 2025

    Interview with Chris Stevens, CEO of Coda Minerals Ltd.

    Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/coda-minerals-asxcod-copper-cobalt-project-demonstrates-robust-economics-7009

    Recording date: 8th July 2025

    Coda Minerals Limited (ASX:COD) represents a compelling investment opportunity in the rapidly strengthening copper market, positioned at the critical intersection of technical innovation, proven management execution, and exceptional infrastructure advantages. The Perth-based company has achieved a transformational metallurgical breakthrough at its Elizabeth Creek copper-cobalt-silver project in South Australia, fundamentally altering the project's economics and development pathway.

    The company's most significant achievement is the successful development of an ammonium chloride whole ore leaching process that delivers recovery rates exceeding 95%, representing a dramatic improvement from the previous 55% recovery rates at the Windabout deposit. CEO Chris Stevens characterizes this advancement as "effectively free money," highlighting the direct revenue enhancement potential over the mine's life. This breakthrough eliminates a major technical risk while opening possibilities for smaller-scale startup operations with reduced capital requirements and earlier cash flow generation.

    Elizabeth Creek's robust project economics align closely with recently acquired Australian copper companies, delivering an $802 million NPV post-tax with a 35% IRR based on over one million tons of contained copper equivalent in JORC indicated resources. Critically, 93% of resources are classified as indicated, providing exceptional geological confidence rarely seen at this development stage. These economics become particularly compelling when viewed against recent takeover activity, with Rex Minerals acquired for $393 million, New World Resources subject to competing bids exceeding $230 million, and Xanadu Mines accepting a $160 million offer.

    Stevens emphasizes the validation from peer transactions: "There is now empirical evidence that companies that are able to do that with credible solid projects with comparable MPVs, comparable IRRs, comparable capexes are being valued over $200 million." This peer group comparison suggests significant value realization potential as Coda advances through its 12-month Pre-Feasibility Study timeline.

    The company's management team brings proven execution capability, having previously developed 17 projects and transformed Elizabeth Creek from two open pits to five times the original resource base. Stevens notes: "This is a team that has taken, frankly, a bit of a busted project with two open pits, turned it into five times the resources." The team's disciplined approach to capital allocation and project advancement provides confidence in their ability to deliver on development milestones.

    Elizabeth Creek benefits from exceptional infrastructure advantages that distinguish it from typical remote Australian developments. Located adjacent to BHP's established haulage road with contractual usage rights, the project sits one hour from Roxby Downs and maintains access to power infrastructure and established supply chains. South Australia's streamlined regulatory environment offers additional advantages through its unique iterative approval process.

    The investment opportunity is enhanced by favorable copper market timing, with prices advancing from $8,000 to over $10,000 per ton while financing availability improves and capital costs reduce. Stevens observes the strategic timing: "I personally think doing that is maybe leaving a party just as it starts to get exciting with the way that copper's moving."

    Coda maintains strong financial positioning with over $4 million cash and low corporate costs, providing runway to advance critical path items without immediate dilution pressure. The company's critical minerals classification through cobalt credits enhances strategic value while multiple development pathways provide flexibility in capital structure approaches.

    For investors seeking exposure to the copper supply shortage driven by electrification trends, Coda offers a de-risked entry point with established resources, proven economics, exceptional infrastructure, and experienced management positioned to deliver significant value appreciation through the critical feasibility phase.

    View Coda Minerals' company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/coda-minerals-ltd

    Sign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com

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    41 min
  • Flagship Minerals (ASX:FLG) - Gold & Copper Potential in Chile
    Jul 11 2025

    Interview with Paul Lock, Managing Director of Flagship Minerals

    Recording date: 8th July 2025

    Flagship Minerals (ASX:FLG) presents a compelling investment opportunity following its strategic pivot from lithium to gold and copper assets in Chile's established mining jurisdiction. Under Managing Director Paul Lock's leadership, the company has transformed from an exploration entity to a near-development opportunity with the advanced Pantanillo Gold Project as its cornerstone asset.

    The Pantanillo Gold Project represents exceptional value with 1.05 million ounces of gold resources, featuring 80% measured classification that provides high geological confidence. The project's oxide and mixed mineralization profile makes it ideally suited for heap leach processing, creating favorable development economics. Supported by 20,500 meters of drilling, including substantial diamond drilling, the resource offers immediate expansion potential to 1.75-2 million ounces without additional drilling expenditure through pit shell optimization and cutoff grade adjustments utilizing current gold pricing.

    Management's strategic positioning leverages proximity to established operations for benchmarking and infrastructure advantages. Rio2's Fenix project, located 35 kilometers north, provides current market validation with proven economics, while Pantanillo offers superior grade characteristics at 0.69 grams per ton—representing 40% higher grade than Rio2's proven and probable reserves. This grade advantage suggests competitive operating cost potential in a proven metallurgical environment.

    The development timeline targets JORC resource conversion by October-November 2025, followed by pre-feasibility study (PFS) completion by end of 2026. This aggressive but achievable schedule leverages existing geological data and regional project benchmarks to accelerate progression toward production decisions. The target production profile of 100,000 ounces annually over 10 years provides sufficient scale to attract major royalty and streaming companies, addressing management's strategic approach to alternative financing pathways.

    Lock emphasized the financing strategy: "If we have a pathway to alternate financing and that would be one of the royalty streamers then we beat the Lassonde curve, but that doesn't mean I'm not going to look at traditional equity and so on." This approach positions the company to avoid dilutive equity raises during construction phases while maintaining development control.

    Chile's mining-friendly regulatory environment provides additional advantages with recent legislation reducing permitting timelines by 30-70%. The jurisdiction's established infrastructure, including three high-quality road access points and proximity to existing power transmission lines, reduces development risks and capital requirements compared to greenfield locations.

    The company's enterprise value of approximately $12 per ounce represents a significant discount to peer group averages of $90-100 per ounce for companies with similar resource profiles. This 87% valuation discount reflects limited market awareness of the strategic transformation and gold project acquisition, creating substantial revaluation potential as development milestones are achieved.

    Management's commodity trading and project finance background, combined with established Chilean operational experience, provides execution capability often lacking in junior mining companies. The strategic focus on proven metals markets offers diversified offtake opportunities compared to specialized battery metals facing structural oversupply conditions.

    Flagship Minerals offers investors exposure to a rare combination of proven resources, near-term development catalysts, infrastructure advantages, and significant valuation disconnect. The company's strategic positioning in Chile's established mining jurisdiction, combined with superior grade characteristics and alternative financing pathways, creates compelling risk-adjusted returns potential for gold-focused investors seeking exposure to advanced development opportunities.

    Learn more: https://cruxinvestor.com/compamies/flagship-minerals

    Sign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com

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    32 min

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