Learning Bayesian Statistics

Auteur(s): Alexandre Andorra
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  • Résumé

  • Are you a researcher or data scientist / analyst / ninja? Do you want to learn Bayesian inference, stay up to date or simply want to understand what Bayesian inference is? Then this podcast is for you! You'll hear from researchers and practitioners of all fields about how they use Bayesian statistics, and how in turn YOU can apply these methods in your modeling workflow. When I started learning Bayesian methods, I really wished there were a podcast out there that could introduce me to the methods, the projects and the people who make all that possible. So I created "Learning Bayesian Statistics", where you'll get to hear how Bayesian statistics are used to detect black matter in outer space, forecast elections or understand how diseases spread and can ultimately be stopped. But this show is not only about successes -- it's also about failures, because that's how we learn best. So you'll often hear the guests talking about what *didn't* work in their projects, why, and how they overcame these challenges. Because, in the end, we're all lifelong learners! My name is Alex Andorra by the way, and I live in Estonia. By day, I'm a data scientist and modeler at the https://www.pymc-labs.io/ (PyMC Labs) consultancy. By night, I don't (yet) fight crime, but I'm an open-source enthusiast and core contributor to the python packages https://docs.pymc.io/ (PyMC) and https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/ (ArviZ). I also love https://www.pollsposition.com/ (election forecasting) and, most importantly, Nutella. But I don't like talking about it – I prefer eating it. So, whether you want to learn Bayesian statistics or hear about the latest libraries, books and applications, this podcast is for you -- just subscribe! You can also support the show and https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (unlock exclusive Bayesian swag on Patreon)!
    Copyright Alexandre Andorra
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Science
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Épisodes
  • BITESIZE | Hacking Bayesian Models for Better Performance, with Luke Bornn

    BITESIZE | Hacking Bayesian Models for Better Performance, with Luke Bornn
    May 7 2025

    Today’s clip is from episode 131 of the podcast, with Luke Bornn.

    Luke and Alex discuss the application of generative models in sports analytics. They emphasize the importance of Bayesian modeling to account for uncertainty and contextual variations in player data.

    The discussion also covers the challenges of balancing model complexity with computational efficiency, the innovative ways to hack Bayesian models for improved performance, and the significance of understanding model fitting and discretization in statistical modeling.

    Get the full discussion here.

    • Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)
    • Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Transcript

    This is an automatic transcript and may therefore contain errors. Please get in touch if you're willing to correct them.
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    14 min
  • #131 Decision-Making Under High Uncertainty, with Luke Bornn

    #131 Decision-Making Under High Uncertainty, with Luke Bornn
    Apr 30 2025

    Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

    • Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)
    • Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

    Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell, Bradley Rode, Patrick Kelley, Rick Anderson, Casper de Bruin, Philippe Labonde, Michael Hankin, Cameron Smith, Tomáš Frýda, Ryan Wesslen, Andreas Netti, Riley King, Yoshiyuki Hamajima, Sven De Maeyer, Michael DeCrescenzo, Fergal M, Mason Yahr, Naoya Kanai, Steven Rowland, Aubrey Clayton, Jeannine Sue, Omri Har Shemesh, Scott Anthony Robson, Robert Yolken, Or Duek, Pavel Dusek, Paul Cox, Andreas Kröpelin, Raphaël R, Nicolas Rode, Gabriel Stechschulte, Arkady, Kurt TeKolste, Gergely Juhasz, Marcus Nölke, Maggi Mackintosh, Grant Pezzolesi, Avram Aelony, Joshua Meehl, Javier Sabio, Kristian Higgins, Alex Jones, Gregorio Aguilar, Matt Rosinski, Bart Trudeau, Luis Fonseca, Dante Gates, Matt Niccolls, Maksim Kuznecov, Michael Thomas, Luke Gorrie, Cory Kiser, Julio, Edvin Saveljev, Frederick Ayala, Jeffrey Powell, Gal Kampel, Adan Romero, Will Geary, Blake Walters, Jonathan Morgan, Francesco Madrisotti, Ivy Huang, Gary Clarke, Robert Flannery, Rasmus Hindström, Stefan, Corey Abshire, Mike Loncaric, David McCormick, Ronald Legere, Sergio Dolia, Michael Cao, Yiğit Aşık and Suyog Chandramouli.

    Takeaways:

    • Player tracking data revolutionized sports analytics.
    • Decision-making in sports involves managing uncertainty and budget constraints.
    • Luke emphasizes the importance of portfolio optimization in team management.
    • Clubs with high budgets can afford inefficiencies in player acquisition.
    • Statistical methods provide a probabilistic approach to player value.
    • Removing human bias is crucial in sports decision-making.
    • Understanding player performance distributions aids in contract decisions.
    • The goal is to maximize performance value per dollar spent.
    • Model validation in sports requires focusing on edge cases.
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    1 h et 32 min
  • BITESIZE | Real-World Applications of Models in Public Health, with Adam Kucharski

    BITESIZE | Real-World Applications of Models in Public Health, with Adam Kucharski
    Apr 23 2025

    Today’s clip is from episode 130 of the podcast, with epidemiological modeler Adam Kucharski.

    This conversation explores the critical role of patient modeling during the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting how these models informed public health decisions and the relationship between modeling and policy.

    The discussion emphasizes the need for improved communication and understanding of data among the public and policymakers.

    Get the full discussion at https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/129-bayesian-deep-learning-ai-for-science-vincent-fortuin

    • Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)
    • Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Transcript

    This is an automatic transcript and may therefore contain errors. Please get in touch if you're willing to correct them.
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    16 min

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