Épisodes

  • Santa's Little As
    Dec 12 2025
    A holiday-flavored Friday Q&A that covers a lot of ground without selling a single candy cane. Don answers listener questions on Medicare vs. Medicare Advantage (and the IRMAA buzzsaw), how to safely reposition an elderly parent’s taxable account, whether to ditch target-date funds for a DIY equity portfolio, how to think about international small-cap ETFs, why teaching kids to pick stocks is a terrible idea, and what to expect when a “free portfolio review” comes from a company whose name literally includes the word annuity. Skeptical, practical, and very on-brand. 0:17 Corny holiday Q&A musical intro and setup 0:33 Friday Q&A format, how questions get on the show, and holiday vibe 2:00 Medicare vs. Medicare Advantage, IRMAA penalties, and why private insurers are exhausting 3:37 Why capital gains can make Medicare shockingly expensive 4:15 The profit motive problem with Medicare Advantage plans 4:37 Question transition and listener call-in reminder 5:43 Managing an 82-year-old’s taxable account: safety vs. yield 6:18 Why bond funds like BND diversify interest-rate risk better than savings accounts 7:15 CD ladders: how they work and why discipline matters 7:39 Treasury funds vs. total bond funds for capital preservation 7:47 Closing thoughts on preservation-focused portfolios 8:52 Target-date funds vs. DIY 401(k) portfolios 9:20 Glide paths, rebalancing, and what target-date funds do well 10:35 100% equity risk, volatility, and why down markets help accumulators 10:53 Choosing between AVDV and AVES (international small value vs. emerging markets) 11:47 Why the correct answer is often “both” 12:33 Teaching high school students about investing 13:52 Why stock-picking education reinforces a dangerous myth 14:28 Luck vs. skill and the evidence against beating the market 15:39 Index funds, market efficiency, and investor behavior 16:49 Morningstar vs. other research tools 17:18 Empower’s “free portfolio review” and what might be coming next 18:06 Portfolio concentration concerns and tech exposure 19:33 Humor break and annuity skepticism 20:55 What Empower actually is and what that implies 21:16 Empower as an RIA and how to treat their recommendations 21:52 Getting a second opinion from a fee-only advisor 22:58 Thanks, holiday wrap-up, and call for more questions Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    25 min
  • Four Money Moods
    Dec 11 2025
    Today’s show turns a national mood ring into a money lesson. Don and Tom walk through a new Wall Street Journal/NORC survey that sorts Americans into four emotional quadrants—comfortable optimists, comfortable pessimists, stressed optimists, and stressed pessimists. Tom takes the quiz live, landing squarely where most Americans do: personally comfortable, broadly pessimistic. The two unpack why sentiment is so gloomy despite solid personal finances, how risk tolerance shifts with market cycles, and why feelings often overpower facts. Listener questions follow on retirement diversification, how much risk one really needs if Social Security covers the bills, whether younger investors should ever be 100% in stocks, and the practical challenges of automatic withdrawals from ETF-based portfolios. 0:04 Don’s intro and NPR-style location banter 1:08 Why the episode is about how we feel about money 1:40 Explaining the four sentiment quadrants in the WSJ/NORC poll 3:12 Tom begins the quiz: current financial satisfaction 4:23 Confidence levels across jobs, savings, and expenses 6:04 Vacations, stock market reactions, and financial worry 8:10 Comparing today’s challenges to parents’ generation 9:18 Buying a home, marriage, caregiving 10:07 Rating the strength of the U.S. economy 10:46 Optimism about the future and “the American dream” 11:26 Expectations for the next year and future generations 13:06 Results: Tom is a “comfortable pessimist” 14:44 Why pessimism dominates the national mood 15:16 What individuals can—and can’t—control about tomorrow 16:29 Listener question: retiring at 63 with mixed assets and too much cash 19:14 How risk tolerance should drive allocation, not income sources 20:35 Fixing the portfolio’s biggest issue: excess high-yield savings 21:54 Listener question: should a 47-year-old investor be 100% stocks? 23:11 Why very few people can stomach a 50% decline 23:59 The case for diversification even when accumulating 24:44 Listener question: automatic ETF withdrawals in retirement 26:15 Annual or semiannual rebalancing as a solution 27:28 ETFs vs. mutual funds: cost vs. convenience 29:13 Year-end cleanup and planning habits Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    32 min
  • Rolling In His Grave?
    Dec 10 2025
    Don and Tom take a sharp look at Vanguard’s surprising new direction, especially the decision to fold annuities into 401(k) target-date funds through lightly regulated collective trusts. They contrast Vanguard’s historical simplicity with today’s trend toward complexity, comparing costs, structure, and risk across major providers. Listeners call in with questions about Roth conversions, Schwab target-date funds, entering the market after a forced delay, and whether TIPS or buffered ETFs are worth owning. Throughout, Don and Tom hammer home the fundamentals: low costs matter, complexity harms investors, active management rarely pays, and your stock/bond mix—not gimmicks—drives long-term success. 0:04 Opening and setup: Vanguard’s recent drift toward complex products 1:03 Vanguard’s dominance in target-date funds and why simplicity used to be the point 1:58 Vanguard adding annuities into 401(k) target-date funds — is this helping anyone? 3:11 What does an annuity inside a target-date fund even mean? 4:03 The 25% annuity allocation example and the misleading “8% payout” illusion 5:03 TIAA’s role and why annuity costs remain unclear 6:28 Are annuities inside retirement plans a solution in search of a problem? 7:38 The fine print: Vanguard’s new collective trusts and weak disclosure requirements 8:20 Why collective investment trusts are lightly regulated and potentially concerning 9:07 Caller: Roth conversions when you’re withdrawing to live on — should you stop? 11:32 When Roth conversions lose their benefit and why you need cash for taxes 12:21 Caller: Are Schwab target-date funds worth it in a Roth? (Short answer: No.) 13:31 Why Schwab’s higher fees and low international allocation are a problem 14:52 Active management inside target-date funds — unnecessary and risky 16:12 Risk vs. return: Schwab’s higher volatility and lower historical performance 16:41 Caller: Missed market gains while transferring funds — how to get back in 18:49 When market discomfort signals a stock/bond misalignment 20:16 Comparing Schwab vs. Vanguard target-date funds over 15 years 21:37 Why lower cost + lower volatility + better return makes Vanguard the clear win 22:02 Should you fear future gimmicks like private credit inside target-date funds? 23:29 Caller PSA: Realizing capital gains in a low-income year 24:06 ETF explosion — 908 new ETFs this year, most using leverage or derivatives 25:29 Why “ETF” doesn’t mean good; junk ETFs equal junk mutual funds 26:05 Structural benefits of ETFs and why the market prefers them 27:29 Soccer vs. NFL detour, then back to phone calls 29:07 Listener question from Colorado: Should you buy a TIPS fund? 31:01 Why TIPS rarely add value in diversified portfolios 33:22 TIPS behave more like inflation bets than true inflation protection 34:34 Why simple, short/intermediate, high-quality bonds—and CDs—often do the job 36:17 Caller: What is a buffered ETF, and why does it sound like an annuity? 37:29 Buffered ETFs explained: expensive, complicated, and unnecessary 38:30 Why gimmicks dominate product launches and how they hurt investors Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    44 min
  • Huh? or Duh!
    Dec 9 2025
    In this special seasonal episode, you and Tom resurrect Ha or Duh, tearing through Investopedia readers’ “rules to live by” and dismantling the silliest ones with mock gravitas. Between the dad-joke arms race, a spirited defense of compounding, strong opinions on due diligence, and a surprising detour into crypto-mad zip codes, the show blends real financial guidance with holiday-season chaos. The episode also hits deeper listener questions on rebalancing, Roth vs. pre-tax strategy in high brackets, and the danger of thinking blue chips alone equal diversification. 0:04 Seasonal return of Ha or Duh and setup of Investopedia’s “investing rules” 1:32 Rule 1: Never sell because of emotions — duh 2:44 Rule 2: “Only invest in what you know” — emphatic huh 3:35 Rule 3: Good investment in a bad market — phrasing unclear, lean duh 4:26 Rule 4: Never underestimate compounding — mega-duh 5:35 Rule 5: Cash and patience as “positions” — hard huh 6:25 Segment break into calls 7:49 Back to Ha or Duh lightning round 8:33 Buy low, sell high — duh (with caveats) 9:58 “Losses are tuition you won’t get at uni” — pass 10:21 Hold for the long term — duh 11:09 Marathon, not sprint — duh 11:39 Is education the best investment? Nuanced disagreement 12:45 “Always do your own due diligence” — modified duh (about advisors, not stocks) 15:22 FOMO avoidance — duh 16:27 Final rule: Start now — biggest duh of all 17:41 Wrap-up and transition back to regular Q&A 18:06 Listener question: Finding the “sociopath son” episode 19:28 Setup for Friday’s Q&A episode 20:18 Don’s town turns into “free Disney World” during holidays 21:51 Disney hotel pricing shock and personal stories 23:42 Don’s new original Christmas story: Santaverse 24:01 Story podcasts spike; Short Storyverses mention 25:28 Listener from Bothell: 90% blue chips, 10% cash — how to rebalance? 26:39 Why blue chips aren’t diversified and the S&P concentration problem 28:52 Listener in high bracket asks when Roth beats pre-tax 30:26 SECURE Act 2.0 catch-up rules; Roth vs. pre-tax philosophy 32:10 Monte Carlo vs. unknowable future tax rates 33:26 Why all-Roth 401(k)s would simplify life 34:28 Advice: Likely stay pre-tax in 24% bracket 35:50 Shocking stats: Seattle among highest crypto-owning zip codes 37:24 Air Force bases dominate crypto ownership — why it’s dangerous Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    45 min
  • Nobody’s Perfect
    Dec 8 2025
    In this episode, Don and Tom saddle up for a tour through Schwab’s “Good, Bad, and Ugly.” They applaud CEO Rick Wurster’s warning about the growing overlap between gambling and investing, take a hard look at Schwab’s retail-side conflicts and non-fiduciary sales practices, and then recoil at the truly ugly: Schwab’s acquisition of Forge Global and its push to open private-company speculation to everyday investors. From there, they field listener questions about crypto’s pointless search for a purpose, how to implement a disciplined 5 percent retirement withdrawal strategy, the ins and outs of tax-free Vanguard mutual-fund-to-ETF conversions, and whether a younger spouse should convert a large TSP balance to Roth. It’s classic Talking Real Money: skeptical, practical, consumer-first, and mildly exhausted by the Wild West of modern finance. 0:04 Investing as the Wild West and why caveat emptor still defines the industry 0:24 Schwab’s role as custodian vs. broker and how they reshaped trading costs 1:14 Schwab’s discount-broker origins and institutional dominance 2:37 Free trades, market influence, and why Schwab became the industry’s leader 3:52 CEO Rick Wurster’s warning about gambling creeping into investing 4:43 Sports betting numbers, prop bets, and why only 5 percent come out ahead 5:54 The “bad”: Schwab retail selling and the fiduciary confusion 6:40 The “ugly”: Schwab buying Forge Global and pushing private-company speculation 7:23 Why private equity is riskier, pricier, illiquid, and over-hyped 8:17 The myth of private companies outperforming public ones 9:22 Why the Wild West persists: weak oversight, self-dealing, and revolving doors 10:48 Listener question: stablecoins, crypto legitimation, and the greater-fool problem 13:00 Currency concerns and why crypto still solves nothing 13:50 5 percent withdrawal strategy: when and how to draw from your portfolio 15:28 Rebalancing, total return withdrawals, and annual cash-flow discipline 16:47 Why withdrawals should follow rebalancing, not lead it 17:56 Vanguard mutual-fund-to-ETF conversions: how they work and why they’re useful 20:10 Expense-ratio savings vs. capital-gains distributions 20:55 TSP-to-Roth conversion question: tax-rate timing matters 22:44 Only convert if you can pay taxes from outside savings 23:08 Reminder: free adviser meetings, no sales pressure 24:10 TRM’s longevity and approaching episode 2,000 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    28 min
  • Always Question Season
    Dec 5 2025
    This Friday Q&A episode tackles a wide range of listener questions: whether someone with full pension income still needs bonds, how to fix a cluttered 403(b) invested through Corebridge, what to make of Bill Bengen’s new comments about higher withdrawal rates, how inherited IRAs are taxed over the 10-year rule, and a quick explanation of the difference between “securities” and “equities.” Along the way, Don delivers a vintage KOA radio tag, explains why simplicity beats complexity in retirement plans, and walks through why 8% withdrawal fantasies collapse under real-world math. 0:04 Friday Q&A intro and listener call-ins 1:19 Do you need bonds when pensions cover all expenses? 3:01 Why fixed income still matters (and how to gauge risk tolerance) 4:33 Listener request: Don recreates a KOA radio tagline 7:29 A messy CoreBridge 403(b): what funds to keep and how simple it can be 11:37 Target-date vs. multi-fund portfolios and a small value tilt option 12:05 Bill Bengen’s new withdrawal rate comments — does 8% make any sense? 14:07 Why high withdrawal rates implode in historical simulations 16:02 Inherited IRA: what’s actually taxed and how to plan distributions 18:35 The bracket danger of big lump-sum withdrawals 19:31 Final question: difference between a security and an equity 21:15 Why music licensing on podcasts is a nightmare Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    25 min
  • Year-End Tax Shock
    Dec 4 2025
    This episode digs into the unwelcome December surprise of capital-gains distributions, especially from actively managed mutual funds. Don and Tom break down Morningstar’s latest list of high-distribution offenders, spotlighting the astonishing 83% capital-gains payout from the Royce Midcap Total Return Fund. They compare the tax drag, costs, turnover, and long-term underperformance of these funds against index funds and ETFs, and explain why tax-efficient investing matters far more than most people realize. Listener questions cover overly complex portfolios, Edward Jones stock positions, odd-lot tender offers, and whether large-cap blue-chip stocks remove the need for bonds. The episode closes with a reminder that detailed portfolio triage is best handled in one-on-one meetings. 0:04 Capital-gains season returns and why high fund returns can still hurt 0:29 Don & Tom on weather, wardrobe, and warming up in Florida 1:30 December capital-gains distributions and why they happen 2:07 Morningstar’s warning: active funds with big capital-gains payouts 3:06 Vanguard, T. Rowe Price, and American Funds distribution levels 4:09 The biggest offender: Royce Midcap Total Return Fund 5:41 Why 35 funds will distribute more than 10% of assets 5:52 The stunning number: Royce’s 83% capital-gains distribution 6:52 Why big outflows and poor performance drive big taxable events 7:21 Royce’s turnover, tiny size, high costs, and weak long-term returns 8:47 Why it’s critical to hold active funds only in tax-advantaged accounts 10:07 ETFs vs mutual funds: tax efficiency and turnover differences 11:42 Comparing Royce to Avantis AVGE on fees, turnover, and performance 12:16 How AVGE tracks its index vs Royce’s massive underperformance 13:33 When selling an active fund before a distribution may or may not help 14:05 Listener question: overly detailed allocation request — why it needs a meeting 16:29 Why some questions require one-on-one analysis 18:20 Why Appella’s free meetings exist (and what they’re not) 20:35 Odd-lot tender offers explained 22:14 Listener: selling Edward Jones stock holdings and leaving EJ 23:42 Why small, young investors should clean up taxable accounts early 24:24 The long decline of commission-based brokerage 25:26 Bothell check-in: blue-chip stocks vs bonds 27:18 Historical returns: 98 years of total market vs small-cap value 28:49 Why bonds exist in a portfolio despite low recent returns 29:30 Closing thoughts on discipline, diversification, and realism Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    33 min
  • Hard to Pick
    Dec 3 2025
    A fast, funny Thanksgiving-weekend show where you and Tom unpack why a tiny handful of stocks drive the S&P’s returns, revisit forgotten winners like Hormel and McDonald’s, explain why “you can’t pick them in advance,” and tie it all back to building global, diversified portfolios. Listener calls cover early-retirement withdrawals with 72(t), whether AVGV should replace AVGE, a Thanksgiving relative obsessed with dividends, and a listener being pitched a 1.24% Fidelity “wealth management” upsell. 0:06 Thanksgiving haze, Manhattans, overeating, and setting up the show 2:24 Magnificent 7 vs S&P 493 and how concentrated returns distort hindsight 4:49 1985’s shock winners: Hormel, Lowe’s (the other one), Franklin Resources 7:41 The 1980–1990 decade: Hormel and McDonald’s huge runs and why none were predictable 8:10 Why you need small, value, and international beyond the S&P 500 10:58 Caller: retiring at 56, 72(t) rules, penalties, and whether IRA vs 401(k) location matters 14:28 Correction: SEPP applies only to the chosen account, not all pre-tax assets 16:36 Travel while you can: knees, age, lie-flat flights, and holiday banter 20:21 Caller: AVGE vs AVGV, value tilts, the overlap, and whether it’s worth the swap 22:49 Why AVGV exists (and why advisors may not need it) 27:35 Thanksgiving email: dividend-obsessed relative critiques VXUS payouts 29:53 What dividends really mean—and don’t—and why payout “stability” is useless 35:49 Voicemail: Fidelity wants 1.24% to “manage” half a 401(k); is it worth it? (No.) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    45 min