Épisodes

  • The Greek That Breaks Traders | What Every Investor Needs to Know About Gamma
    Sep 9 2025

    In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler sits down with Kris Abdelmessih and Matt Cashman to break down one of the most important — and often misunderstood — concepts in options: gamma. They explore what gamma really is, how it interacts with delta and theta, why gamma scalping (a.k.a. delta hedging) matters, and what both individual traders and professionals need to know about it. If you’ve ever wondered how options traders actually make money from volatility, this is your guide.

    Topics Covered

    • Why understanding gamma is critical to options trading

    • The relationship between gamma, delta, and theta

    • Using physics and middle school math to explain gamma’s role

    • How gamma P&L works and why it creates curvature in returns

    • Where gamma “lives” (at-the-money vs. in/out of the money, short vs. long dated)

    • The mechanics of gamma scalping and delta hedging

    • Why option trading is really volatility trading

    • The practical applications for retail traders and professionals

    • Common misconceptions about “income from options”

    Timestamps
    00:00 – Why gamma matters in options trading
    02:22 – Defining gamma and its sensitivity to price moves
    05:04 – Practical explanation: delta vs. gamma
    09:00 – Physics/acceleration analogy for gamma P&L
    18:00 – Mapping acceleration math to options gamma
    23:30 – Where gamma lives: at-the-money and near-expiry options
    29:00 – Introduction to gamma scalping (delta hedging)
    36:00 – When gamma trading works best (volatility path dependence)
    41:00 – Real-world applications for individuals and professionals
    47:14 – Why selling options isn’t “guaranteed income”

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    49 min
  • The Lie Your Stock's Price is Telling You | Kris Abdelmessih on Why Options Hold the Truth
    Jul 21 2025

    What can bar bets, coin flips, and the length of your subway commute teach us about options pricing? In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Ziegler is joined once again by Kris Abdelmessih to break down complex options theory into intuitive, real-world analogies. From prediction markets to probability distributions, Kris helps us understand how the options market reveals what the stock market often hides—how investors are pricing not just if something happens, but how much it matters when it does. This is options math with a twist, taught like you’re five, but ready for Wall Street.

    📈 Whether you're an investor trying to size a high-risk, high-reward position, or simply curious about how the market “thinks” about uncertainty, this episode is full of mental models you’ll want to revisit.

    📌 Topics Covered:

    • Coin flips vs. futures: the two dominant styles of betting

    • Over/under bets and what they teach us about prediction markets

    • Why odds ≠ probabilities—and how to convert between them

    • The difference between probability and magnitude in financial outcomes

    • Bar bets and beer-drinking contests on Wall Street (!?)

    • Using call spreads to isolate probabilities, not potential profits

    • A visual breakdown of skewed vs. symmetric return distributions

    • Why two stocks can have the same price but completely different implications

    • How the options market understood the dot-com bust better than most investors

    • Why thinking in bets makes you a better investor and allocator

    ⏱️ Timestamps:

    00:00 – The stock market vs. the options market
    01:42 – Over/under bets and their connection to options
    05:59 – Understanding prediction markets and odds
    10:00 – Future-style bets: Magnitude vs. probability
    14:35 – The subway commute example and tail risk
    19:00 – Why volatility and skew matter in pricing
    20:38 – Stock A vs. Stock B: Same price, different outcomes
    24:00 – Visualizing probability distributions
    28:00 – How call values reflect both vol and probability
    32:00 – Truncating the tail: turning options into “bar bets”
    35:00 – Using call spreads to extract implied probabilities
    37:00 – What investors can learn from this framework
    39:00 – Options markets during the dot-com bubble
    40:45 – Where to follow Kris online

    🎙️ Guest: Kris Abdelmessih
    🧠 Follow Kris’s work: https://moontower.substack.com

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    41 min
  • Gamma, Vanna, Charm and the Basics of Options Dealer Flows
    Jul 10 2025

    What if the biggest market moves aren't driven by fundamentals—but by flows you can't see?

    In this episode, Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma joins us to explain the hidden mechanics of the options market that are quietly reshaping stock prices. We explore how dealer hedging, gamma squeezes, and volatility dynamics like Vanna and Charm are influencing everything from individual stocks to the S&P 500. Whether you're an active trader or a long-term investor, understanding these forces is crucial to interpreting today’s markets.

    We discuss:

    • Why dealer flows are moving billions in stocks each day

    • What Gamma, Vanna, and Charm really mean—and why they matter

    • How implied volatility creates powerful reflexive market moves

    • Why options expiration dates often mark key turning points

    • What long-term investors should know about short-term flows

    • Real-world examples: GameStop, Tesla, Nvidia, COVID, and more

    Even if you never trade an option, this conversation will change how you think about market behavior.



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    50 min
  • The Hidden Logic of Options | Put-Call Parity Explained With Legos
    May 28 2025

    In this episode of Teach Me Like I'm 5, options expert Kris Abdelmessih breaks down one of the most foundational—and misunderstood—concepts in options trading: put-call parity. Using Lego analogies, homemade spreadsheets, and Fast & Furious references, Kris shows how options are like building blocks you can combine to create any payoff you want—including replicating a stock itself.

    Whether you're a beginner trying to understand options basics or a seasoned investor looking for deeper insights into synthetic positions and implied interest rates, this episode is packed with practical lessons presented in the most approachable way possible.

    What We Cover:

    Why calls and puts are “the same” through the lens of put-call parity

    How to visualize and replicate stock payoffs using only options

    The concept of synthetic positions: synthetic stock, calls, and puts

    How put-call parity collapses complex strategies into basic building blocks

    The real mechanics behind covered calls—and what they really are

    How professional traders use options pricing to infer interest rates and stock borrowing conditions

    A deep dive into "box spreads" and how they replicate zero-coupon bonds

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    29 min
  • Decoding Volatility with the Rule of 16
    May 22 2025

    In this episode of our new show Teach Me Like I'm 5, we’re joined by Mat Cashman, Principal of Investor Education at the OCC, to break down a powerful yet often overlooked concept in options trading: the Rule of 16. Whether you're new to volatility or a market veteran, this conversation takes you from the sandbox to the risk desk, explaining how this simple rule transforms annualized volatility into daily insight—and how professionals use it to assess market surprises, portfolio risk, and trading decisions.

    What We Cover:

    What the Rule of 16 is and why it mattersTranslating annualized volatility into daily expectations

    Why understanding standard deviation helps traders interpret large price moves

    How experienced traders use the Rule of 16 to adjust to fast-changing volatility

    Real-world examples including recent five-standard-deviation events

    The psychological and behavioral impact of “surprising” moves on market participantsHow to build a daily baseline for expected price movement

    Using the Rule of 16 to contextualize options positions and risk management

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    17 min