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Wargaming, Combat Modeling, and Escalation Risk With CNA’s Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky

Wargaming, Combat Modeling, and Escalation Risk With CNA’s Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky

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In this episode of the podcast, we are shifting from modeling physical risks to exploring how wargaming and combat modeling is being used to understand the growing threat of geopolitical conflict.

Our guest is Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky, Lead Wargame Designer at CNA, a federally funded research and development center that supports national security analysis.

We dive deep into how wargaming differs from traditional combat modeling, how escalation and de-escalation decisions are captured through human dynamics, and what all of this means in the context of current tensions with Iran.

Whether it’s simulating natural disasters, cyber warfare to strategic miscommunication, Dr. Sepinsky explains how wargames help reveal the unpredictable—but actionable—dimensions of risk that quantitative models alone can’t capture.

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