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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Welcome to the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker, your podcast for up-to-date insights on cocoa markets, trends, and all things chocolate. I am Vanessa Clark, and today is Monday, November tenth, twenty twenty-five. Whether you are a chocolate lover, commodity investor, or just curious about global food markets, I am glad you are here.
Let us start with the current trading price for cocoa. In New York, cocoa futures finished last week at six thousand eighty-six dollars per ton. That is according to Finimize. London cocoa futures closed near four thousand three hundred fifty-five pounds per ton. These prices have been under pressure, pulling back from recent highs as traders expect a strong main crop harvest out of West Africa. Ivory Coast, the world’s largest cocoa producer, has reported a robust nineteen percent year-over-year increase in port arrivals, and local farmers are feeling optimistic.
This is a real shift from earlier in the year, when cocoa prices hit all-time highs—in December twenty twenty-four, prices soared above twelve thousand nine hundred dollars per ton. That surge was driven by fears of global shortages, weather issues, and diseases like cacao swollen shoot virus affecting yields, particularly in Ghana and Ivory Coast. Since then, production has started to recover, but the dramatic price swings have left cocoa buyers and chocolate makers on edge.
From a supply perspective, the harvest season kicked off in October for both Ivory Coast and Ghana. Combined, these two countries account for about sixty percent of global cocoa production. Latest reports suggest cocoa trees are healthy, with favorable weather helping both bean quality and harvesting speed. Mondelez, the big chocolate maker, even reports that cocoa pod counts in West Africa are about seven percent above the five-year average and materially higher than last year’s crop.
On the demand side, you might expect cocoa demand to jump as we enter the holiday season. And typically, holiday months like November and December see a spike in chocolate sales—Christmas, Valentine’s, Easter, and Halloween altogether account for more than sixty percent of the yearly candy sales. This year, however, the picture is mixed. High cocoa and chocolate prices have forced some manufacturers to reduce cocoa content or find alternative ingredients, and recent market data shows global chocolate sales have softened, especially in North America and parts of Asia.
There is also a looming change for the cocoa industry on the investment front. Starting in January twenty twenty-six, cocoa will be included in the Bloomberg Commodity Index for the first time in two decades. Just to give you an idea of the impact, that index tracks over one hundred nine billion dollars of assets. With cocoa getting a dedicated weighting, we could see significant new investment flowing into cocoa futures over the coming months.
If you are a trader or investor, keep an eye on a few key numbers. First, market watchers are looking for the International Cocoa Organization’s monthly cocoa market report any day now. This report gives a snapshot of supply-and-demand trends, and a quarterly bulletin will follow at the end of November. Also, pay attention to West African weather reports and export data—these remain the biggest single driver of short-term cocoa pricing.
So, what does all this mean for you, whether you are a buyer, seller, or chocolate enthusiast? In short, expect continued price volatility. Cocoa markets are still digesting record highs, a rebound in crop yields, and potential demand adjustments from both consumers and manufacturers. If you are in the chocolate business or watching commodities, this is the time to brush up on your supply chain strategies and risk management. For chocolate lovers, watch out for recipe changes or price tags at the store as companies adjust to higher input costs.
That is all for today’s Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. Be sure to subscribe and tune in next time as we keep breaking down the world’s most delicious commodity market, one episode at a time. Thanks for listening—this is Vanessa Clark saying enjoy your chocolate, and I will catch you soon.
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4 min